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We explore past and recent developments in rare-event probability estimation with a particular focus on a novel Monte Carlo technique Empirical Likelihood Maximization (ELM). This is a versatile method that involves sampling from a sequence…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-12 A. Huang , Z. I. Botev

This article reviews the application of advanced Monte Carlo techniques in the context of Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC). MLMC is a strategy employed to compute expectations which can be biased in some sense, for instance, by using the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-25 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Carina Suciu

We investigate the convergence properties of the EM algorithm when applied to overspecified Gaussian mixture models -- that is, when the number of components in the fitted model exceeds that of the true underlying distribution. Focusing on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-16 Zhenisbek Assylbekov , Alan Legg , Artur Pak

Regression analysis with missing data is a long-standing and challenging problem, particularly when there are many missing variables with arbitrary missing patterns. Likelihood-based methods, although theoretically appealing, are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Ngok Sang Kwok , Kin Yau Wong

We establish quantitative convergence rates for stochastic particle approximation based on Nanbu-type Monte Carlo schemes applied to a broad class of collisional kinetic models. Using coupling techniques and stability estimates in the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Giacomo Borghi , Lorenzo Pareschi

This work proposes ensemble Kalman randomized maximum likelihood estimation, a new derivative-free method for performing randomized maximum likelihood estimation, which is a method that can be used to generate approximate samples from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Pavlos Stavrinides , Elizabeth Qian

Machine unlearning seeks to selectively remove the "influence" of specific training data on a model's outputs. The ideal goal is Retrain Equivalence--behavior identical to a model trained from scratch on only the retained data. This goal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Jiatong Yu , Yinghui He , Anirudh Goyal , Sanjeev Arora

Parameter estimation in Markov random fields (MRFs) is a difficult task, in which inference over the network is run in the inner loop of a gradient descent procedure. Replacing exact inference with approximate methods such as loopy belief…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Varun Ganapathi , David Vickrey , John Duchi , Daphne Koller

Extracting consistent statistics between relevant free-energy minima of a molecular system is essential for physics, chemistry and biology. Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations can aid in this task but are computationally expensive,…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-04-17 Ana Molina-Taborda , Pilar Cossio , Olga Lopez-Acevedo , Marylou Gabrié

Models that employ latent variables to capture structure in observed data lie at the heart of many current unsupervised learning algorithms, but exact maximum-likelihood learning for powerful and flexible latent-variable models is almost…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-18 Li K. Wenliang , Theodore Moskovitz , Heishiro Kanagawa , Maneesh Sahani

We study the trajectory of iterations and the convergence rates of the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm for two-component Mixed Linear Regression (2MLR). The fundamental goal of MLR is to learn the regression models from unlabeled…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Zhankun Luo , Abolfazl Hashemi

We investigate methods for parameter learning from incomplete data that is not missing at random. Likelihood-based methods then require the optimization of a profile likelihood that takes all possible missingness mechanisms into account.…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-02 Manfred Jaeger

The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm for mixture models often results in slow or invalid convergence. The popular convergence proof affirms that the likelihood increases with Q; Q is increasing in the M -step and non-decreasing in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-29 Chenguang Lu

Electromagnetismlike Optimization (EMO) is a global optimization algorithm, particularly well suited to solve problems featuring nonlinear and multimodal cost functions. EMO employs searcher agents that emulate a population of charged…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-05-21 Erik Cuevas , Diego Oliva , Daniel Zaldivar , Marco Perez , Gonzalo Pajares

Built upon the hypoelliptic analysis of the effective Mori-Zwanzig (EMZ) equation for observables of stochastic dynamical systems, we show that the obtained semigroup estimates for the EMZ equation can be used to drive prior estimates of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-06-21 Yuanran Zhu , Huan Lei

Most video-and-language representation learning approaches employ contrastive learning, e.g., CLIP, to project the video and text features into a common latent space according to the semantic similarities of text-video pairs. However, such…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Peng Jin , Jinfa Huang , Fenglin Liu , Xian Wu , Shen Ge , Guoli Song , David A. Clifton , Jie Chen

Likelihood-free methods, such as approximate Bayesian computation, are powerful tools for practical inference problems with intractable likelihood functions. Markov chain Monte Carlo and sequential Monte Carlo variants of approximate…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-26 David J. Warne , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

We study the optimization landscape of the log-likelihood function and the convergence of the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm in latent Gaussian tree models, i.e. tree-structured Gaussian graphical models whose leaf nodes are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Yuval Dagan , Constantinos Daskalakis , Anthimos Vardis Kandiros

The EM training algorithm of the classical i-vector extractor is often incorrectly described as a maximum-likelihood method. The i-vector model is however intractable: the likelihood itself and the hidden-variable posteriors needed for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-15 Niko Brümmer

The Stochastic Approximation EM (SAEM) algorithm, a variant stochastic approximation of EM, is a versatile tool for inference in incomplete data models. In this paper, we review the fundamental EM algorithm and then focus especially on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-30 Vahid Tadayon
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