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A general theory of stochastic extensive forms is developed to bridge two concepts of information flow: decision trees and refined partitions on the one side, filtrations from probability theory on the other. Instead of the traditional…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-11-27 E. Emanuel Rapsch

Large language models (LLMs) are currently aligned using techniques such as reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF). However, these methods use scalar rewards that can only reflect user preferences on average. Pluralistic…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Jadie Adams , Brian Hu , Emily Veenhuis , David Joy , Bharadwaj Ravichandran , Aaron Bray , Anthony Hoogs , Arslan Basharat

The comparison of alternative rankings of a set of items is a general and prominent task in applied statistics. Predictor variables are ranked according to magnitude of association with an outcome, prediction models rank subjects according…

This manuscript investigates the stochastic comparisons of the second-order statistics from dependent and heterogeneous general semi-parametric family of distributions observations. Some sufficient conditions on the usual stochastic order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-29 Guoqiang Lv

The well-studied problem of statistical rank aggregation has been applied to comparing sports teams, information retrieval, and most recently to data generated by human judgment. Such human-generated rankings may be substantially different…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2014-11-05 Andrew Mao , Hossein Azari Soufiani , Yiling Chen , David C. Parkes

Elections, the cornerstone of democratic societies, are usually regarded as unpredictable due to the complex interactions that shape them at different levels. In this work, we show that voter turnouts contain crucial information that can be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-06 Ritam Pal , Aanjaneya Kumar , M. S. Santhanam

We study stochastic choice across decision problems, each represented as a menu of action labels paired with observable outcome vectors. We propose a consistency condition for behavior in decision problems composed of two separable…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-18 Fedor Sandomirskiy , Po Hyun Sung , Omer Tamuz , Ben Wincelberg

One of the fundamental structural properties of many networks is triangle closure. Whereas the influence of this transitivity on a variety of contagion dynamics has been previously explored, existing models of coevolving or adaptive network…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-01-04 Nishant Malik , Feng Shi , Hsuan-Wei Lee , Peter J. Mucha

Convex combinations of i.i.d. random variables without a finite mean can behave in a strikingly different way from the finite-mean case: as the weight vector becomes more balanced, the resulting combination may become stochastically larger,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Tommaso Lando , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

Conjoint experiments randomize multidimensional profiles, offering a powerful design for recovering structural preference parameters -- including marginal rates of substitution, willingness to pay, and the distribution of preferences across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Avidit Acharya , Jens Hainmueller , Yiqing Xu

Recently several authors have proposed stochastic models of the growth of the Web graph that give rise to power-law distributions. These models are based on the notion of preferential attachment leading to the ``rich get richer''…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Mark Levene , Trevor Fenner , George Loizou , Richard Wheeldon

Understanding the nature of strategic voting is the holy grail of social choice theory, where game-theory, social science and recently computational approaches are all applied in order to model the incentives and behavior of voters. In a…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2014-11-19 Reshef Meir

We adopt an empirical approach to the characterization of the distribution of twin primes within the set of primes, rather than in the set of all natural numbers. The occurrences of twin primes in any finite sequence of primes are like…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. F. Kelly , Terry Pilling

Elections involving a very large voter population often lead to outcomes that surprise many. This is particularly important for the elections in which results affect the economy of a sizable population. A better prediction of the true…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-31 Palash Dey , Pravesh K. Kothari , Swaprava Nath

This paper establishes non-asymptotic convergence of the cutoffs in Random serial dictatorship in an environment with many students, many schools, and arbitrary student preferences. Convergence is shown to hold when the number of schools,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-26 Suhas Vijaykumar

To model combinatorial decision problems involving uncertainty and probability, we introduce stochastic constraint programming. Stochastic constraint programs contain both decision variables (which we can set) and stochastic variables…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-03-09 Toby Walsh

In the traditional voting manipulation literature, it is assumed that a group of manipulators jointly misrepresent their preferences to get a certain candidate elected, while the remaining voters are truthful. In this paper, we depart from…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2010-01-28 Yvo Desmedt , Edith Elkind

Proportional ranking rules aggregate approval-style preferences of agents into a collective ranking such that groups of agents with similar preferences are adequately represented. Motivated by the application of live Q&A platforms, where…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Jonas Israel , Markus Brill

Users of social networks display diversified behavior and online habits. For instance, a user's tendency to reply to a post can depend on the user and the person posting. For convenience, we group users into aggregated behavioral patterns,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Tiandong Wang , Sidney Resnick

Social dynamics determined by voting in a stochastic environment is analyzed for a society composed of two cohesive groups of similar size. Within the model of random walks determined by voting, explicit formulas are derived for the capital…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2011-09-21 P. Yu. Chebotarev , A. K. Loginov , Ya. Yu. Tsodikova , Z. M. Lezina , V. I. Borzenko