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Many statistical estimands can expressed as continuous linear functionals of a conditional expectation function. This includes the average treatment effect under unconfoundedness and generalizations for continuous-valued and personalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-23 David A. Hirshberg , Stefan Wager

We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form \[dX_t=\theta a(t,X_t)\,dt+\sigma_1(t,X_t)\sigma_2(t,Y_t)\,dW_t\] with multiplicative stochastic volatility, where $Y$ is some adapted stochastic process. We prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Meriem Bel Hadj Khlifa , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Mounir Zili

The maximum likelihood approach is adapted to the problem of estimation of drift and diffusion functions of stochastic processes from measured time series. We reconcile a previously devised iterative procedure [Kleinhans et al., Physics…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Kleinhans , R. Friedrich

We develop classification results for max--stable processes, based on their spectral representations. The structure of max--linear isometries and minimal spectral representations play important roles. We propose a general classification…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-18 Yizao Wang , Stilian A. Stoev

In this paper we study observation problem for linear 2-point BVP Dx=Bf assuming that information about system input f and random noise \eta in system state observation model y=Hx+\eta$ is incomplete (f and M\eta\eta' are some arbitrary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Serhiy Zhuk , Serhiy Demidenko , Alexander Nakonechniy

This paper deals with minimax rates of convergence for estimation of density functions on the real line. The densities are assumed to be location mixtures of normals, a global regularity requirement that creates subtle difficulties for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-22 Arlene K. H. Kim

This article improves on existing methods to estimate the spectral density of stationary and nonstationary time series assuming a Gaussian process prior. By optimising an appropriate eigendecomposition using a smoothing spline covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 Nick James , Max Menzies

This paper studies the problem of fault detection and estimation (FDE) for linear time-invariant (LTI) systems with a particular focus on frequency content information of faults, possibly as multiple disjoint continuum ranges, and under…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-02 Jingwei Dong , Kaikai Pan , Sergio Pequito , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

Individual random trajectories of stochastic processes are often analyzed by using quadratic forms such as time averaged (TA) mean square displacement (MSD) or velocity auto-correlation function (VACF). The appropriate quadratic form is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-03 D. S. Grebenkov

We develop a method to estimate the power spectrum of a stochastic process on the sphere from data of limited geographical coverage. Our approach can be interpreted either as estimating the global power spectrum of a stationary process when…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2013-06-17 Mark A. Wieczorek , Frederik J. Simons

We study the problem of parameters estimation in Indirect Observability contexts, where $X_t \in R^r$ is an unobservable stationary process parametrized by a vector of unknown parameters and all observable data are generated by an…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Robert Azencott , Peng Ren , Ilya Timofeyev

Consider the communication-constrained problem of nonparametric function estimation, in which each distributed terminal holds multiple i.i.d. samples. Under certain regularity assumptions, we characterize the minimax optimal rates for all…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Deheng Yuan , Tao Guo , Zhongyi Huang

Parametric estimation for diffusion processes is considered for high frequency observations over a fixed time interval. The processes solve stochastic differential equations with an unknown parameter in the diffusion coefficient. We find…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-03 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

We consider stationary hidden Markov models with finite state space and nonparametric modeling of the emission distributions. It has remained unknown until very recently that such models are identifiable. In this paper, we propose a new…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-29 Yohann De Castro , Élisabeth Gassiat , Claire Lacour

We consider constrained optimization problems with a nonsmooth objective function in the form of mathematical expectation. The Sample Average Approximation (SAA) is used to estimate the objective function and variable sample size strategy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-09 Natasa Krejic , Natasa Krklec Jerinkic , Tijana Ostojic

The asymptotic behavior, as $T\to\infty$, of some functionals of the form $I_T(t)=F_T(\xi_T(t))+\int_0^tg_T(\xi_T(s))\,dW_T(s)$, $t\ge0$ is studied. Here $\xi_T(t)$ is the solution to the time-inhomogeneous It\^{o} stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-06 Grigorij Kulinich , Svitlana Kushnirenko

Many causal estimands, such as average treatment effects under unconfoundedness, can be written as continuous linear functionals of an unknown regression function. We study a weighting estimator that sets weights by a minimax procedure:…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-21 Jing Kong

We consider the system of stochastic differential equation $dX_t = A(X_{t-}) \, dZ_t$, $ X_0 = x$, driven by cylindrical $\alpha$-stable process $Z_t$ in $\mathbb{R}^d$. We assume that $A(x) = (a_{ij}(x))$ is diagonal and $a_{ii}(x)$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Tadeusz Kulczycki , Michal Ryznar

We consider the problem of global optimization of an unknown non-convex smooth function with zeroth-order feedback. In this setup, an algorithm is allowed to adaptively query the underlying function at different locations and receives noisy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-26 Yining Wang , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Aarti Singh

We revisit the classical problem of finding an approximately stationary point of the average of $n$ smooth and possibly nonconvex functions. The optimal complexity of stochastic first-order methods in terms of the number of gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Alexander Tyurin , Lukang Sun , Konstantin Burlachenko , Peter Richtárik