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Due to their conjugate posteriors, Gaussian process priors are attractive for estimating the drift of stochastic differential equations with continuous time observations. However, their performance strongly depends on the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Jan van Waaij

We obtain rates of contraction of posterior distributions in inverse problems defined by scales of smoothness classes. We derive abstract results for general priors, with contraction rates determined by Galerkin approximation. The rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-15 Shota Gugushvili , Aad van der Vaart , Dong Yan

We use rescaled Gaussian processes as prior models for functional parameters in nonparametric statistical models. We show how the rate of contraction of the posterior distributions depends on the scaling factor. In particular, we exhibit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Aad van der Vaart , Harry van Zanten

We consider nonparametric Bayesian estimation inference using a rescaled smooth Gaussian field as a prior for a multidimensional function. The rescaling is achieved using a Gamma variable and the procedure can be viewed as choosing an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

Scale-mixture shrinkage priors have recently been shown to possess robust empirical performance and excellent theoretical properties such as model selection consistency and (near) minimax posterior contraction rates. In this paper, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-27 Ahmed Alhamzawi , Gorgees Shaheed Mohammad

We study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to linear inverse problems under discrete observations. We use the discrete Fourier transform to convert our model into a truncated Gaussian sequence model, that is closely related to the classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Shota Gugushvili , Aad van der Vaart , Dong Yan

We consider a prior for nonparametric Bayesian estimation which uses finite random series with a random number of terms. The prior is constructed through distributions on the number of basis functions and the associated coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems with functional unknowns, has received significant attention in recent years. An important component of the developing theory is the study of the asymptotic performance of the posterior distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-18 Sergios Agapiou , Peter Mathé

Given a smooth function $f$, we develop a general approach to turn Monte Carlo samples with expectation $m$ into an unbiased estimate of $f(m)$. Specifically, we develop estimators that are based on randomly truncating the Taylor series…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Nicolas Chopin , Francesca R. Crucinio , Sumeetpal S. Singh

We consider the estimation of quadratic functionals in a Gaussian sequence model where the eigenvalues are supposed to be unknown and accessible through noisy observations only. Imposing smoothness assumptions both on the signal and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Martin Kroll

We study the performance of nonparametric Bayes procedures for one-dimensional diffusions with periodic drift. We improve existing convergence rate results for Gaussian process (GP) priors with fixed hyper parameters. Moreover, we exhibit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-15 Jan van Waaij , Harry van Zanten

Isotonic regression or monotone function estimation is a problem of estimating function values under monotonicity constraints, which appears naturally in many scientific fields. This paper proposes a new Bayesian method with global-local…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-07 Ryo Okano , Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We consider priors for several nonparametric Bayesian models which use finite random series with a random number of terms. The prior is constructed through distributions on the number of basis functions and the associated coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

Completely random measures provide a principled approach to creating flexible unsupervised models, where the number of latent features is infinite and the number of features that influence the data grows with the size of the data set. Due…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-26 Peiyuan Zhu , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Trevor Campbell

We consider a class of linear ill-posed inverse problems arising from inversion of a compact operator with singular values which decay exponentially to zero. We adopt a Bayesian approach, assuming a Gaussian prior on the unknown function.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-09 Sergios Agapiou , Andrew M. Stuart , Yuan-Xiang Zhang

The results of a series of theoretical studies are reported, examining the convergence rate for different approximate representations of $\alpha$-stable distributions. Although they play a key role in modelling random processes with jumps…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Marina Riabiz , Tohid Ardeshiri , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Simon Godsill

This work examines under what circumstances adaptivity for truncated SVD estimation can be achieved by an early stopping rule based on the smoothed residuals $ \| ( A A^{\top} )^{\alpha / 2} ( Y - A \hat{\mu}^{( m )}) \|^{2} $. Lower and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Bernhard Stankewitz

In nonparameteric Bayesian approaches, Gaussian stochastic processes can serve as priors on real-valued function spaces. Existing literature on the posterior convergence rates under Gaussian process priors shows that it is possible to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Xiao Fang , Anindya Bhadra

We study high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression with a general beta prime distribution for the scale parameter. Under the assumption of sparsity, we show that appropriate selection of the hyperparameters in the beta prime prior leads…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-19 Ray Bai , Malay Ghosh

Gaussian processes are a fully Bayesian smoothing technique that allows for the reconstruction of a function and its derivatives directly from observational data, without assuming a specific model or choosing a parameterization. This is…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-11-27 Marina Seikel , Chris Clarkson
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