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Solving nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) using kernel methods offers a compelling alternative to traditional numerical solvers. However, the performance of these methods strongly depends on the choice of kernel. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Fatima-Zahrae El-Boukkouri , Josselin Garnier , Olivier Roustant

Process Outcome Prediction entails predicting a discrete property of an unfinished process instance from its partial trace. High-capacity outcome predictors discovered with ensemble and deep learning methods have been shown to achieve top…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Francesco Folino , Luigi Pontieri , Pietro Sabatino

Machine learning has become a common approach to predicting the outcomes of soccer matches, and the body of literature in this domain has grown substantially in the past decade and a half. This chapter discusses available datasets, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Rory Bunker , Calvin Yeung , Keisuke Fujii

This work incorporates the multi-modality of the data distribution into a Gaussian Process regression model. We approach the problem from a discriminative perspective by learning, jointly over the training data, the target space variance in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-20 Silvia L. Pintea , Jan C. van Gemert , Arnold W. M. Smeulders

In this paper, we study collective interaction dynamics emerging in the game of football-soccer. To do so, we surveyed a database containing body-sensors traces measured during three professional football matches, where we observed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-18 A. Chacoma , N. Almeira , J. I. Perotti , O. V. Billoni

This paper presents a Gaussian Process (GP) framework, a non-parametric technique widely acknowledged for regression and classification tasks, to address inverse problems in mean field games (MFGs). By leveraging GPs, we aim to recover…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Jinyan Guo , Chenchen Mou , Xianjin Yang , Chao Zhou

Cricket is unarguably one of the most popular sports in the world. Predicting the outcome of a cricket match has become a fundamental problem as we are advancing in the field of machine learning. Multiple researchers have tried to predict…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Harsh Mittal , Deepak Rikhari , Jitendra Kumar , Ashutosh Kumar Singh

Gaussian processes are machine learning models capable of learning unknown functions in a way that represents uncertainty, thereby facilitating construction of optimal decision-making systems. Motivated by a desire to deploy Gaussian…

Gaussian processes are ubiquitous in machine learning, statistics, and applied mathematics. They provide a flexible modelling framework for approximating functions, whilst simultaneously quantifying uncertainty. However, this is only true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-19 George Wynne , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

Motivated by the need for efficient and personalized learning in mobile health, we investigate the problem of online kernel selection for Gaussian Process regression in the multi-task setting. We propose a novel generative process on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Eura Shin , Pedja Klasnja , Susan Murphy , Finale Doshi-Velez

Quantum computers have the opportunity to be transformative for a variety of computational tasks. Recently, there have been proposals to use the unsimulatably of large quantum devices to perform regression, classification, and other machine…

We present a systematic approach to the prediction of soccer matches. First, we show that the information about chances for goals is by far more informative than about the actual results. Second, we present a multivariate regression…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-07-20 Andreas Heuer , Oliver Rubner

Existing methods for structure discovery in time series data construct interpretable, compositional kernels for Gaussian process regression models. While the learned Gaussian process model provides posterior mean and variance estimates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-22 David Janz , Brooks Paige , Tom Rainforth , Jan-Willem van de Meent , Frank Wood

Recommender systems are often designed based on a collaborative filtering approach, where user preferences are predicted by modelling interactions between users and items. Many common approaches to solve the collaborative filtering task are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Yinchong Yang , Florian Buettner

In-game win probability models, which provide a sports team's likelihood of winning at each point in a game based on historical observations, are becoming increasingly popular. In baseball, basketball and American football, they have become…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Pieter Robberechts , Jan Van Haaren , Jesse Davis

The kernel function and its hyperparameters are the central model selection choice in a Gaussian proces (Rasmussen and Williams, 2006). Typically, the hyperparameters of the kernel are chosen by maximising the marginal likelihood, an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-07 Vidhi Lalchand , Wessel P. Bruinsma , David R. Burt , Carl E. Rasmussen

Continuous-time assessments of game outcomes in sports have become increasingly common in the last decade. In American football, only discrete-time estimates of play value were possible, since the most advanced public football datasets were…

This paper focuses on "tracing player knowledge" in educational games. Specifically, given a set of concepts or skills required to master a game, the goal is to estimate the likelihood with which the current player has mastery of each of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-08-16 Pavan Kantharaju , Katelyn Alderfer , Jichen Zhu , Bruce Char , Brian Smith , Santiago Ontañón

Reliable prediction of protein variant effects is crucial for both protein optimization and for advancing biological understanding. For practical use in protein engineering, it is important that we can also provide reliable uncertainty…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-01 Peter Mørch Groth , Mads Herbert Kerrn , Lars Olsen , Jesper Salomon , Wouter Boomsma

Gaussian processes regression models are an appealing machine learning method as they learn expressive non-linear models from exemplar data with minimal parameter tuning and estimate both the mean and covariance of unseen points. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Vladimir Joukov , Dana Kulić