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Power systems face increasing challenges in maintaining resource adequacy due to lower operating margins, rising renewable energy uncertainty, and demand variability. Forecasting the probability distribution of peak demand on shorter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-28 Buyi Yu , Wenyuan Tang

The containment of epidemic spreading is a major challenge in science. Vaccination, whenever available, is the best way to prevent the spreading, because it eventually immunizes individuals. However, vaccines are not perfect, and total…

We present an ensemble learning method that predicts large increases in the hours of home care received by citizens. The method is supervised, and uses different ensembles of either linear (logistic regression) or non-linear (random…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-08-23 Casper Hansen , Christian Hansen , Stephen Alstrup , Christina Lioma

Customers represent their satisfactions of consuming products by sharing their experiences through the utilization of online reviews. Several machine learning-based approaches can automatically detect deceptive and fake reviews. Recently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Luis Gutierrez-Espinoza , Faranak Abri , Akbar Siami Namin , Keith S. Jones , David R. W. Sears

Ensemble learning is a technique where multiple component learners are combined through a protocol. We propose an Ensemble Neural Network (ENN) that uses the combined latent-feature space of multiple neural network classifiers to improve…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2021-05-06 Jack Y. Araz , Michael Spannowsky

A new age-distributed immuno-epidemiological model with information-based vaccine uptake suggested in this work represents a system of integro-differential equations for the numbers of susceptible individuals, infected individuals,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-02 Samiran Ghosh , Malay Banerjee , Vitaly Volpert

The decision of whether or not to vaccinate is a complex one. It involves the contribution both to a social good -- herd immunity -- and to one's own well being. It is informed by social influence, personal experience, education, and mass…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-15 Soya Miyoshi , Marko Jusup , Petter Holme

We introduce an immunization method where the percentage of required vaccinations for immunity are close to the optimal value of a targeted immunization scheme of highest degree nodes. Our strategy retains the advantage of being purely…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Lazaros K. Gallos , Fredrik Liljeros , Panos Argyrakis , Armin Bunde , Shlomo Havlin

Accurate and reliable predictions of infectious disease dynamics can be valuable to public health organizations that plan interventions to decrease or prevent disease transmission. A great variety of models have been developed for this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-04 Evan L. Ray , Nicholas G. Reich

Misinformation about vaccination poses a significant public health threat by reducing vaccination rates and increasing disease burden. Understanding population heterogeneity can aid in recognizing and mitigating the effects of such…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-11-19 Komal Tanwar , Viney Kumar , Jai Prakash Tripathi

The problem of targeted network immunization can be defined as the one of finding a subset of nodes in a network to immunize or vaccinate in order to minimize a tradeoff between the cost of vaccination and the final (stationary) expected…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-10 F. Altarelli , A. Braunstein , L. Dall'Asta , J. R. Wakeling , R. Zecchina

Childhood vaccination is a cornerstone of public health, yet disparities in vaccination coverage persist across England. These disparities are shaped by complex interactions among various factors, including geographic, demographic,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Amin Noroozi , Sidratul Muntaha Esha , Mansoureh Ghari

Developing accurate and reliable methods to estimate vaccine protection is a key goal in immunology and public health. While several statistical methods have been proposed, their potential inaccuracy in capturing fast intra-seasonal waning…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-26 Ariel Nikas , Hasan Ahmed , Veronika I. Zarnitsyna

The pursuit of strategies that minimize the number of individuals needing vaccination to control an outbreak is a well-established area of study in mathematical epidemiology. However, for certain diseases, public policy tends to prioritize…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-30 J. Orestes Cerdeira , Fabio A. C. C. Chalub , Matheus Hansen

Social media is a popular platform for timely information sharing. One of the important challenges for social media platforms like Twitter is whether to trust news shared on them when there is no systematic news verification process. On the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Chandra Mouli Madhav Kotteti , Xishuang Dong , Lijun Qian

Herd immunity is shaped not only by the infection capacity of a spreading epidemic or the contact structure of the hosting population, but also by how and under what circumstances individuals acquire immunity. Immunization strategies may…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-20 Sámuel G. Balogh , Gergely Ódor , Márton Karsai

There is a lot of fact-based information and misinformation in the online discourses and discussions about the COVID-19 vaccines. Using a sample of nearly four million geotagged English tweets and the data from the CDC COVID Data Tracker,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Hanjia Lyu , Zihe Zheng , Jiebo Luo

Vaccination is crucial for the control of epidemics. Yet it is a social dilemma since non-vaccinators can benefit from the herd immunity created by the vaccinators. Thus the optimum vaccination level is not reached via voluntary vaccination…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-06 Yuting Wei , Yaosen Lin , Bin Wu

The approach of N. Gay for estimating the coverage of a multivalent vaccine from antibody prevalence data in certain age cohorts is improved by using computer aided elimination theory of variables. Hereby, Gay's usage of numerical…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 D. Altmann , K. Altmann

Quantifying forecast uncertainty is a key aspect of state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction and data assimilation systems. Ensemble-based data assimilation systems incorporate state-dependent uncertainty quantification based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-17 Maximiliano A. Sacco , Manuel Pulido , Juan J. Ruiz , Pierre Tandeo