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Machine Learning (ML) inspired algorithms provide a flexible set of tools for analyzing and forecasting chaotic dynamical systems. We here analyze the performance of one algorithm for the prediction of extreme events in the two-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-25 Martin Lellep , Jonathan Prexl , Moritz Linkmann , Bruno Eckhardt

Recent deep learning methods for vessel trajectory prediction are able to learn complex maritime patterns from historical Automatic Identification System (AIS) data and accurately predict sequences of future vessel positions with a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Samuele Capobianco , Nicola Forti , Leonardo M. Millefiori , Paolo Braca , Peter Willett

This contribution addresses vessel trajectory prediction (VTP), focusing on the evaluation of different deep learning-based approaches. The objective is to assess model performance in diverse traffic complexities and compare the reliability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Zahra Rastin , Kathrin Donandt , Dirk Söffker

Ships, or vessels, often sail in and out of cluttered environments over the course of their trajectories. Safe navigation in such cluttered scenarios requires an accurate estimation of the intent of neighboring vessels and their effect on…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-20 Jasmine Sekhon , Cody Fleming

In situ and remotely sensed observations have potential to facilitate data-driven predictive models for oceanography. A suite of machine learning models, including regression, decision tree and deep learning approaches were developed to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Stefan Wolff , Fearghal O'Donncha , Bei Chen

In real-world application scenarios, it is crucial for marine navigators and security analysts to predict vessel movement trajectories at sea based on the Automated Identification System (AIS) data in a given time span. This article…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Chih-Wei Chen , Charles Harrison , Hsin-Hsiung Huang

Motion trajectory planning is one crucial aspect for automated vehicles, as it governs the own future behavior in a dynamically changing environment. A good utilization of a vehicle's characteristics requires the consideration of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-31 Franz Gritschneder , Knut Graichen , Klaus Dietmayer

Physics-related and model-based vessel trajectory prediction is highly accurate but requires specific knowledge of the vessel under consideration which is not always practical. Machine learning-based trajectory prediction models do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Kathrin Donandt , Karim Böttger , Dirk Söffker

Weather routing methods are essential for planning routes for commercial shipping and recreational craft. This paper provides a methodology for quantifying the significance of numerical error and performance model uncertainty on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Thomas Dickson , Helen Farr , David Sear , James Blake

For robots to be a part of our daily life, they need to be able to navigate among crowds not only safely but also in a socially compliant fashion. This is a challenging problem because humans tend to navigate by implicitly cooperating with…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-05-18 Anirudh Vemula , Katharina Muelling , Jean Oh

A `trajectory' refers to a trace generated by a moving object in geographical spaces, usually represented by of a series of chronologically ordered points, where each point consists of a geo-spatial coordinate set and a timestamp. Rapid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Seongjin Choi

In trajectory forecasting tasks for traffic, future output trajectories can be computed by advancing the ego vehicle's state with predicted actions according to a kinematics model. By unrolling predicted trajectories via time integration…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Laura Zheng , Sanghyun Son , Jing Liang , Xijun Wang , Brian Clipp , Ming C. Lin

Trajectory forecasting is a widely-studied problem for autonomous navigation. However, existing benchmarks evaluate forecasting based on independent snapshots of trajectories, which are not representative of real-world applications that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Ziqi Pang , Deva Ramanan , Mengtian Li , Yu-Xiong Wang

When driving, people make decisions based on current traffic as well as their desired route. They have a mental map of known routes and are often able to navigate without needing directions. Current self-driving models improve their…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-10-08 Iulia Paraicu , Marius Leordeanu

In the field of Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships (MASS), the accurate modeling of ship maneuvering motion for harbor maneuvers is a crucial technology. Non-parametric system identification (SI) methods, which do not require prior knowledge…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-03 Kouki Wakita , Youhei Akimoto , Atsuo Maki

This paper addresses the challenge of boosting the precision of multi-path long-term vessel trajectory forecasting on engineered sequences of Automatic Identification System (AIS) data using feature fusion for problem shifting. We have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Gabriel Spadon , Jay Kumar , Derek Eden , Josh van Berkel , Tom Foster , Amilcar Soares , Ronan Fablet , Stan Matwin , Ronald Pelot

Forecasting the behavior of high-dimensional dynamical systems using machine learning requires efficient methods to learn the underlying physical model. We demonstrate spatiotemporal chaos prediction using a machine learning architecture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Wendson A. S. Barbosa , Daniel J. Gauthier

Trajectory optimization methods have achieved an exceptional level of performance on real-world robots in recent years. These methods heavily rely on accurate analytical models of the dynamics, yet some aspects of the physical world can…

Besides the classical offline setup of machine learning, stream learning constitutes a well-established setup where data arrives over time in potentially non-stationary environments. Concept drift, the phenomenon that the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Fabian Hinder , Valerie Vaquet , David Komnick , Barbara Hammer

The real-time motion prediction of a floating offshore platform refers to forecasting its motions in the following one- or two-wave cycles, which helps improve the performance of a motion compensation system and provides useful early…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Xiaoxian Guo , Xiantao Zhang , Xinliang Tian , Wenyue Lu , Xin Li