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Parameter shrinkage applied optimally can always reduce error and projection variances from those of maximum likelihood estimation. Many variables that actuaries use are on numerical scales, like age or year, which require parameters at…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-22 Gary Venter , Şule Şahin

In astronomical observations, the estimation of distances from parallaxes is a challenging task due to the inherent measurement errors and the non-linear relationship between the parallax and the distance. This study leverages ideas from…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-05 Soham Ghosh , Uttaran Chatterjee , Jyotishka Datta

This paper proposes a class of asymmetric priors to perform Bayesian wavelet shrinkage in the standard nonparametric regression model with Gaussian error. The priors are composed by mixtures of a point mass function at zero and one of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-03 Alex Rodrigo dos Santos Sousa

This paper shows that the implicit bias of gradient descent on linearly separable data is exactly characterized by the optimal solution of a dual optimization problem given by a smoothed margin, even for general losses. This is in contrast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Ziwei Ji , Matus Telgarsky

Estimation of parameters that obey specific constraints is crucial in statistics and machine learning; for example, when parameters are required to satisfy boundedness, monotonicity, or linear inequalities. Traditional approaches impose…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Lachlan Astfalck , Deborshee Sen , Sayan Patra , Edward Cripps , David Dunson

Penalization of the likelihood by Jeffreys' invariant prior, or by a positive power thereof, is shown to produce finite-valued maximum penalized likelihood estimates in a broad class of binomial generalized linear models. The class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Ioannis Kosmidis , David Firth

The rising interest in Bayesian deep learning (BDL) has led to a plethora of methods for estimating the posterior distribution. However, efficient computation of inferences, such as predictions, has been largely overlooked with Monte Carlo…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-23 Rui Li , Marcus Klasson , Arno Solin , Martin Trapp

We study how the posterior contraction rate under a Gaussian process (GP) prior depends on the intrinsic dimension of the predictors and the smoothness of the regression function. An open question is whether a generic GP prior that does not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-26 Tao Tang , Nan Wu , Xiuyuan Cheng , David Dunson

Motivated by the increasing use of and rapid changes in array technologies, we consider the prediction problem of fitting a linear regression relating a continuous outcome $Y$ to a large number of covariates $\mathbf {X}$, for example,…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-13 Philip S. Boonstra , Bhramar Mukherjee , Jeremy M. G. Taylor

Modern applications routinely collect high-dimensional data, leading to statistical models having more parameters than there are samples available. A common solution is to impose sparsity in parameter estimation, often using penalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Paolo Onorati , David B. Dunson , Antonio Canale

We introduce BLAST, Bayesian Linear regression with Adaptive Shrinkage for Transfer, a Bayesian multi-source transfer learning framework for high-dimensional linear regression. The proposed analytical framework leverages global-local…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Parsa Jamshidian , Donatello Telesca

In Bayesian analysis, reference priors are widely recognized for their objective nature. Yet, they often lead to intractable and improper priors, which complicates their application. Besides, informed prior elicitation methods are penalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-23 Antoine Van Biesbroeck

We develop a framework to study posterior contraction rates in sparse high dimensional generalized linear models (GLM). We introduce a new family of GLMs, denoted by clipped GLM, which subsumes many standard GLMs and makes minor…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Biraj Subhra Guha , Debdeep Pati

We present a new model and methods for the posterior drift problem where the regression function in the target domain is modeled as a linear adjustment (on an appropriate scale) of that in the source domain, an idea that inherits the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-14 Subha Maity , Diptavo Dutta , Jonathan Terhorst , Yuekai Sun , Moulinath Banerjee

We consider a Bayesian nonparametric approach to a family of linear inverse problems in a separable Hilbert space setting with Gaussian noise. We assume Gaussian priors, which are conjugate to the model, and present a method of identifying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-05 Sergios Agapiou , Stig Larsson , Andrew M. Stuart

Specifying a Bayesian prior is notoriously difficult for complex models such as neural networks. Reasoning about parameters is made challenging by the high-dimensionality and over-parameterization of the space. Priors that seem benign and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-22 Eric Nalisnick , Jonathan Gordon , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

If we have an unbiased estimate of some parameter of interest, then its absolute value is positively biased for the absolute value of the parameter. This bias is large when the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) is small, and it becomes even…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 Erik van Zwet , Andrew Gelman

Many modern experiments, such as microarray gene expression and genome-wide association studies, present the problem of estimating a large number of parallel effects. Bayesian inference is a popular approach for analyzing such data by…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-26 J G Liao , Arthur Berg , Timothy L McMurry

Bayesian model selection poses two main challenges: the specification of parameter priors for all models, and the computation of the resulting Bayes factors between models. There is now a large literature on automatic and objective…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-11 Leonhard Held , Daniel Sabanés Bové , Isaac Gravestock

We consider Bayesian linear regression with sparsity-inducing prior and design efficient sampling algorithms leveraging posterior contraction properties. A quasi-likelihood with Gaussian spike-and-slab (that is favorable both statistically…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-13 Qijia Jiang
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