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In this paper we consider Bayesian parameter inference for partially observed fractional Brownian motion (fBM) models. The approach we follow is to time-discretize the hidden process and then to design Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-02 Mohamed Maama , Ajay Jasra , Hernando Ombao

This paper studies the effect of quarterly earnings reports on the stock price. The profitability of the stock is modelled by geometric Brownian diffusion and the Constant Elasticity of Variance model. We fit several variations of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-23 Daniil Karzanov

We consider the estimation of parameter-dependent statistics of functional outputs of elliptic boundary value problems (BVPs) with parametrized random and deterministic inputs. For a given value of the deterministic paremeter, a stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Sebastian Ullmann , Christopher Müller , Jens Lang

We consider the problem of designing a sparse Gaussian process classifier (SGPC) that generalizes well. Viewing SGPC design as constructing an additive model like in boosting, we present an efficient and effective SGPC design method to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-27 Sundararajan Sellamanickam , Shirish Shevade

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) can be used for model fitting when the likelihood function is intractable but simulating from the model is feasible. However, even a single evaluation of a complex model may take several hours,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-19 Marko Järvenpää , Michael Gutmann , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

Bayesian inference for fractionally integrated exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (FIEGARCH) models using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods is described. A simulation study is presented to access the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-16 Taiane S. Prass , Sílvia R. C. Lopes , Jorge A. Achcar

We consider the semi-parametric estimation of a scale parameter of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with known smoothness. We suggest an estimator based on quadratic variations and on the moment method. We provide asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Jean-Marc Azaïs , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

We study a well-known estimator of the fractal index of a stochastic process. Our framework is very general and encompasses many models of interest; we show how to extend the theory of the estimator to a large class of non-Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-02 Mikkel Bennedsen

Maximum likelihood methods, while widely used, may be non-robust due to disagreement between the assumptions upon which the models are based and the true density probability distribution of observed data. Because the Empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-26 Mor Ndongo , Abdou Kâ Diongue , Aliou Diop , Simplice Dossou-Gbété

Learning a categorical distribution comes with its own set of challenges. A successful approach taken by state-of-the-art works is to cast the problem in a continuous domain to take advantage of the impressive performance of the generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-09 Florence Regol , Mark Coates

Rolling bearings are subject to various faults due to its long-time operation under harsh environment, which will lead to unexpected breakdown of machinery system and cause severe accidents. Deep learning methods recently have gained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-21 Mingxuan Liang , Kai Zhou

Bayesian estimation of Gaussian graphical models has proven to be challenging because the conjugate prior distribution on the Gaussian precision matrix, the G-Wishart distribution, has a doubly intractable partition function. Recent…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-10 Max Hinne , Alex Lenkoski , Tom Heskes , Marcel van Gerven

This paper studies a method to estimate the parameters governing the distribution of a stationary marked Gibbs point process. This procedure, known as the Takacs-Fiksel method, is based on the estimation of the left and right hand sides of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-27 Jean-François Coeurjolly , David Dereudre , Rémy Drouilhet , Frédéric Lavancier

The recently proposed generalized epidemic modeling framework (GEMF) \cite{sahneh2013generalized} lays the groundwork for systematically constructing a broad spectrum of stochastic spreading processes over complex networks. This article…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-11 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Aram Vajdi , Heman Shakeri , Futing Fan , Caterina Scoglio

Gaussian Boson Sampling (GBS) is a near-term platform for photonic quantum computing. Applications have been developed which rely on directly programming GBS devices, but the ability to train and optimize circuits has been a key missing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-07-22 Leonardo Banchi , Nicolás Quesada , Juan Miguel Arrazola

Sampling-based algorithms are classical approaches to perform Bayesian inference in inverse problems. They provide estimators with the associated credibility intervals to quantify the uncertainty on the estimators. Although these methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-28 Pierre-Antoine Thouvenin , Audrey Repetti , Pierre Chainais

Data-driven modeling plays an increasingly important role in different areas of engineering. For most of existing methods, such as genetic programming (GP), the convergence speed might be too slow for large scale problems with a large…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-08-16 Chen Chen , Changtong Luo , Zonglin Jiang

Continuous-time state estimation is gaining in popularity due to its abilities to provide smooth solutions, handle asynchronous sensors, and interpolate between data points. While there are two main paradigms, parametric (e.g., temporal…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Connor Holmes , Sven Lilge , Zi Cong Guo , Frank Dellaert , Timothy D. Barfoot

Accurate identification of parameters of load models is essential in power system computations, including simulation, prediction, and stability and reliability analysis. Conventional point estimation based composite load modeling approaches…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Chang Fu , Zhe Yu , Di Shi , Haifeng Li , Caisheng Wang , Zhiwei Wang , Jie Li

Gaussian processes are a versatile framework for learning unknown functions in a manner that permits one to utilize prior information about their properties. Although many different Gaussian process models are readily available when the…

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