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Phylogenetic trees are simple models of evolutionary processes. They describe conditionally independent divergent evolution of taxa from common ancestors. Phylogenetic trees commonly do not have enough flexibility to adequately model all…
Branching processes and Fleming-Viot processes are two main models in stochastic population theory. Incorporating an immigration in both models, we generalize the results of Shiga (1990) and Birkner et al. (2005) which respectively connect…
A branching process in a Markovian environment consists of an irreducible Markov chain on a set of "environments" together with an offspring distribution for each environment. At each time step the chain transitions to a new random…
A multi-type branching process is defined as a random tree with labeled vertices, where each vertex produces offspring independently according to the same multivariate probability distribution. We demonstrate that in realizations of the…
There has been substantial interest in developing Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms based on piecewise-deterministic Markov processes. However existing algorithms can only be used if the target distribution of interest is differentiable…
Consider N particles moving independently, each one according to a subcritical continuous-time Galton-Watson process unless it hits 0, at which time it jumps instantaneously to the position of one of the other particles chosen uniformly at…
A class of Fleming-Viot processes with decaying sampling rates and $\alpha$-stable motions that correspond to distributions with growing populations are introduced and analyzed. Almost sure long-time scaling limits for these processes are…
Consider a system $X = ((x_\xi(t)), \xi \in \Omega_N)_{t \geq 0}$ of interacting Fleming-Viot diffusions with mutation and selection which is a strong Markov process with continuous paths and state space $(\CP(\I))^{\Omega_N}$, where $\I$…
We study the distribution of the unobserved states of two measure-valued diffusions of Fleming-Viot and Dawson-Watanabe type, conditional on observations from the underlying populations collected at past, present and future times. If seen…
This paper deals with branching processes in varying environment, namely, whose offspring distributions depend on the generations. We provide sufficient conditions for survival or extinction which rely only on the first and second moments…
We prove an apparently novel concentration of measure result for Markov tree processes. The bound we derive reduces to the known bounds for Markov processes when the tree is a chain, thus strictly generalizing the known Markov process…
We study (plane) tree-valued Markov chains $(T_n,n \geq 1)$ with uniform backward dynamics and show that they can be obtained by sampling from a real tree. As non--plane trees, every such Markov chain is represented by a weighted real tree.…
We study the long-term behavior of weighted multi-type branching processes, focusing on extending classical laws of large numbers and martingale convergence to settings with infinitely many weighted particles, arbitrary type spaces and…
This paper describes the Context Tree Switching technique, a modification of Context Tree Weighting for the prediction of binary, stationary, n-Markov sources. By modifying Context Tree Weighting's recursive weighting scheme, it is possible…
The existence of a weak solution to a McKean-Vlasov type stochastic differential system corresponding to the Enskog equation of the kinetic theory of gases is established under natural conditions. The distribution of any solution to the…
We study a class of Markov processes that combine local dynamics, arising from a fixed Markov process, with regenerations arising at a state-dependent rate. We give conditions under which such processes possess a given target distribution…
We consider stochastic processes on complete, locally compact tree-like metric spaces $(T,r)$ on their "natural scale" with boundedly finite speed measure $\nu$. Given a triple $(T,r,\nu)$ such a speed-$\nu$ motion on $(T,r)$ can be…
A new family of tree-structured Markov random fields for a vector of discrete counting random variables is introduced. According to the characteristics of the family, the marginal distributions of the Markov random fields are all Poisson…
We study weighted particle systems in which new generations are resampled from current particles with probabilities proportional to their weights. This covers a broad class of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, widely-used in applied…
An inequality of K. Marton shows that the joint distribution of a Markov chain with uniformly contracting transition kernels exhibits concentration. We prove an analogous inequality for broadcast models on finite trees. We use this…