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We analyse the structure of imprecise Markov chains and study their convergence by means of accessibility relations. We first identify the sets of states, so-called minimal permanent classes, that are the minimal sets capable of containing…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Damjan Skulj

An autoregressive process with Markov regime is an autoregressive process for which the regression function at each time point is given by a nonobservable Markov chain. In this paper we consider the asymptotic properties of the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Tobias Ryden

Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms, the method of choice to sample from generic high-dimensional distributions, are rarely used for continuous one-dimensional distributions, for which more effective approaches are usually available (e.g.…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-10 Ari Pakman

The aim of this article is to prove that diffusion processes in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with a drift can be approximated by suitable Markov chains on $n^{-1}\mathbb{Z}^d$. Moreover, we investigate sufficient conditions on the conductances which…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Marvin Weidner

Markov chains are the de facto finite-state model for stochastic dynamical systems, and Markov decision processes (MDPs) extend Markov chains by incorporating non-deterministic behaviors. Given an MDP and rewards on states, a classical…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-11-13 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Laurent Doyen

Consider a sequence of continuous-time irreducible reversible Markov chains and a sequence of initial distributions, $\mu_n$. The sequence is said to exhibit $\mu_n$-cutoff if the convergence to stationarity in total variation distance is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-27 Jonathan Hermon

In the present paper, we investigate the relationship between hitting times and hitting probabilities in discrete-time imprecise Markov chains (IMCs). We define lower and upper hitting times and probabilities for IMCs whose set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Marco Sangalli , Erik Quaeghebeur , Thomas Krak

Consider a continuous time particle system $\eta^t=(\eta^t(k),k\in \mathbb{L})$, indexed by a lattice $\mathbb{L}$ which will be either $\mathbb{Z}$, $\mathbb{Z}/n\mathbb{Z}$, a segment $\{1,\cdots, n\}$, or $\mathbb{Z}^d$, and taking its…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-11 Luis Fredes , Jean-François Marckert

This paper studies the asymptotic behavior of processes with switching. More precisely, the stability under fast switching for diffusion processes and discrete state space Markovian processes is considered. The proofs are based on…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Sören Christensen , Albrecht Irle

We describe an exact approach for calculating transition probabilities and waiting times in finite-state discrete-time Markov processes. All the states and the rules for transitions between them must be known in advance. We can then…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Semen A. Trygubenko , David J. Wales

In this paper, we study a biased version of the nearest-neighbor transposition Markov chain on the set of permutations where neighboring elements $i$ and $j$ are placed in order $(i,j)$ with probability $p_{i,j}$. Our goal is to identify…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2017-08-18 Sarah Miracle , Amanda Pascoe Streib

We present a recurrence-transience classification for discrete-time Markov chains on manifolds with negative curvature. Our classification depends only on geometric quantities associated to the increments of the chain, defined via the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-10 John Armstrong , Tim King

An important problem in applied dynamical systems is to compute the external forcing that provokes the largest response of a desired observable quantity. For this, we investigate the perturbation theory of Markov matrices in connection with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-21 Manuel Santos Gutierrez , Niccolo Zagli , Giulia Carigi

The Markov chain approximation of a one-dimensional symmetric diffusion is investigated in this paper. Given an irreducible reflecting diffusion on a closed interval with scale function $s$ and speed measure $m$, the approximating Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-16 Xiaodan Li , Jiangang Ying

In any Markov chain with finite state space the distribution of transition records always belongs to the exponential family. This observation is used to prove a fluctuation theorem, and to show that the dynamical entropy of a stationary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Jan Naudts , Erik Van der Straeten

Given a unichain Markov reward process (MRP), we provide an explicit expression for the bias values in terms of mean first passage times. This result implies a generalization of known Markov chain perturbation bounds for the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-09 Ronald Ortner

The Markov Chain Monte Carlo method is the dominant paradigm for posterior computation in Bayesian analysis. It is common to control computation time by making approximations to the Markov transition kernel. Comparatively little attention…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-30 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Sayan Mukherjee , David Dunson

This paper studies a large number of homogeneous Markov decision processes where the transition probabilities and costs are coupled in the empirical distribution of states (also called mean-field). The state of each process is not known to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Jalal Arabneydi , Amir G. Aghdam

Historically time-reversibility of the transitions or processes underpinning Markov chain Monte Carlo methods (MCMC) has played a key r\^ole in their development, while the self-adjointness of associated operators together with the use of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Christophe Andrieu , Samuel Livingstone

Affinity has proven to be a useful tool for quantifying the non-equilibrium character of time continuous Markov processes since it serves as a measure for the breaking of time reversal symmetry. It has recently been conjectured that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-27 Matthias Uhl , Udo Seifert