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Empirical evidence shows stock returns are often heavy-tailed rather than normally distributed. The $\kappa$-generalised distribution, originated in the context of statistical physics by Kaniadakis, is characterised by the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-17 Samuel Forbes

Stylized facts of empirical assets log-returns $Z$ include the existence of (semi) heavy tailed distributions $f_Z(z)$ and a non-linear spectrum of Hurst exponents $\tau(\beta)$. Empirical data considered are daily prices of 10 large…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Stefan Reimann

We study the daily trading volume volatility of 17,197 stocks in the U.S. stock markets during the period 1989--2008 and analyze the time return intervals $\tau$ between volume volatilities above a given threshold q. For different…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-28 Wei Li , Fengzhong Wang , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

The analysis of logarithmic return distributions defined over large time scales is crucial for understanding the long-term dynamics of asset price movements. For large time scales of the order of two trading years, the anticipated Gaussian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-16 Stijn De Backer , Luis E. C. Rocha , Jan Ryckebusch , Koen Schoors

This paper offers a precise analytical characterization of the distribution of returns for a portfolio constituted of assets whose returns are described by an arbitrary joint multivariate distribution. In this goal, we introduce a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 D. Sornette , P. Simonetti , J. V. Andersen

We study the temporal fluctuations in time-dependent stock prices (both individual and composite) as a stochastic phenomenon using general techniques and methods of nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. In particular, we analyze stock price…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Constantin , S. Das Sarma

We compare systematically several classes of stochastic volatility models of stock market fluctuations. We show that the long-time return distribution is either Gaussian or develops a power-law tail, while the short-time return distribution…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-15 Frantisek Slanina

The volatility characterizes the amplitude of price return fluctuations. It is a central magnitude in finance closely related to the risk of holding a certain asset. Despite its popularity on trading floors, the volatility is unobservable…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Josep Perello , Jaume Masoliver

From the data analysis we defined distribution function against the population on the level of various structure units, namely regions, federal districts and the country on the whole. We have studied peculiarities of the distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-06-12 B. R. Gadjiev , M. A. Korolev , T. B. Progulova

Quasi-power law ensembles are discussed from the perspective of nonextensive Tsallis distributions characterized by a nonextensive parameter $q$. A number of possible sources of such distributions are presented in more detail. It is further…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-19 Grzegorz Wilk , Zbigniew Włodarczyk

Distributions exhibiting fat tails occur frequently in many different areas of science. A dynamical reason for fat tails can be a so-called superstatistics, where one has a superposition of local Gaussians whose variance fluctuates on a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Christian Beck

The Tsallis $q$-Gaussian distribution is a powerful generalization of the standard Gaussian distribution and is commonly used in various fields, including non-extensive statistical mechanics, financial markets and image processing. It…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-19 Viktor Witkovský

The distribution of price returns for a class of uncorrelated diffusive dynamics is considered. The basic assumptions are (1) that there is a "consensus" value associated with a stock, and (2) that the rate of diffusion depends on the…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 A. L. Alejandro-Quinones , K. E. Bassler , M. Field , J. L. McCauley , M. Nicol , I. Timofeyef , A. Torok , G. H. Gunaratne

We show that the moments of the distribution of historic stock returns are in excellent agreement with the Heston model and not with the multiplicative model, which predicts power-law tails of volatility and stock returns. We also show that…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-01 Zhiyuan Liu , M. Dashti Moghaddam , R. A. Serota

Starting from the model of continuous time random walk, we focus our interest on random walks in which the probability distributions of the waiting times and jumps have fat tails characterized by power laws with exponent between 0 and 1 for…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-03 Rudolf Gorenflo , Entsar A. A. Abdel-Rehim

Universal features in stock markets and their derivative markets are studied by means of probability distributions in internal rates of return on buy and sell transaction pairs. Unlike the stylized facts in log normalized returns, the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-11-11 Lukas Pichl , Taisei Kaizoji , Takuya Yamano

In a seminal paper in 1973, Black and Scholes argued how expected distributions of stock prices can be used to price options. Their model assumed a directed random motion for the returns and consequently a lognormal distribution of asset…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2009-11-07 Joseph L. McCauley , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

It has been noticed recently that transverse momenta (p_T) distributions observed in high energy production processes exhibit remarkably universal scaling behaviour. This is the case when a suitable variable replaces the usual p_T. On the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-06-04 Maciej Rybczynski , Zbigniew Wlodarczyk , Grzegorz Wilk

We present an empirical study of the subordination hypothesis for a stochastic time series of a stock price. The fluctuating rate of trading is identified with the stochastic variance of the stock price, as in the continuous-time random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 A. Christian Silva , Victor M. Yakovenko

We present in this paper a rigorous method to derive the nonlinear Fokker-Planck (FP) equation of anomalous diffusion directly from a generalization of the principle of least action of Maupertuis proposed by Wang for smooth or quasi-smooth…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-20 Wei Li , Alexandre Wang , Alain Le Mehaute