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We analyze the relative price change of assets starting from basic supply/demand considerations subject to arbitrary motivations. The resulting stochastic differential equation has coefficients that are functions of supply and demand. We…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-26 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp

Identifying and quantifying co-dependence between financial instruments is a key challenge for researchers and practitioners in the financial industry. Linear measures such as the Pearson correlation are still widely used today, although…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-29 Haochun Ma , Davide Prosperino , Alexander Haluszczynski , Christoph Räth

Volatility-based trading strategies have attracted a lot of attention in financial markets due to their ability to capture opportunities for profit from market dynamics. In this article, we propose a new volatility-based trading strategy…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-21 Ivan Letteri

The stock market has been established since the 13th century, but in the current epoch of time, it is substantially more practicable to anticipate the stock market than it was at any other point in time due to the tools and data that are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-27 Ryan Chipwanya

Recent studies have revealed a number of striking dependence patterns in high frequency stock price dynamics characterizing probabilistic interrelation between two consequent price increments x (push) and y (response) as described by the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Andrei Leonidov , Vladimir Trainin , Alexander Zatsev , Sergey Zaitsev

Reliable estimates of volatility and correlation are fundamental in economics and finance for understanding the impact of macroeconomics events on the market and guiding future investments and policies. Dependence across financial returns…

We study the temporal evolution of the market efficiency in the stock markets using the complexity, entropy density, standard deviation, autocorrelation function, and probability distribution of the log return for Standard and Poor's 500…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Jae-Suk Yang , Wooseop Kwak , Taisei Kaizoji , In-mook Kim

In an analysis of the US, the UK, and the German stock market we find a change in the behavior based on the stock's beta values. Before 2006 risky trades were concentrated on stocks in the IT and technology sector. Afterwards risky trading…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-16 Matthias Raddant , Friedrich Wagner

In this paper we explore the specific role of randomness in financial markets, inspired by the beneficial role of noise in many physical systems and in previous applications to complex socio- economic systems. After a short introduction, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-16 A. E. Biondo , A. Pluchino , A. Rapisarda , D. Helbing

An empirical study of joint bivariate probability distribution of two consecutive price increments for a set of stocks at time scales ranging from one minute to thirty minutes reveals asymmetric structures with respect to the axes y=0, y=x,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Andrei Leonidov , Vladimir Trainin , Alexander Zaitsev , Sergey Zaitsev

We introduce a new system of stochastic differential equations which models dependence of market beta and unsystematic risk upon size, measured by market capitalization. We fit our model using size deciles data from Kenneth French's data…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-28 Andrey Sarantsev , Blessing Ofori-Atta , Brandon Flores

The study aims to explore the strength of causal relationship between stock price search interest and real stock market outcomes on worldwide equity market indices. Such a phenomenon could also be mediated by investor behavior and extent of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-06 Arjun R , Suprabha KR

This study investigates the relationship between the market volatility of the iShares Asia 50 ETF (AIA) and economic and market sentiment indicators from the United States, China, and globally during periods of economic uncertainty.…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-23 Bahram Adrangi , Arjun Chatrath , Saman Hatamerad , Kambiz Raffiee

Market Mill is a complex dependence pattern leading to nonlinear correlations and predictability in intraday dynamics of stock prices. The present paper puts together previous efforts to build a dynamical model reflecting the market mill…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 Sergey Zaitsev , Alexander Zaitsev , Andrei Leonidov , Vladimir Trainin

Financial market resilience reflects the ability of a financial market to withstand external shocks and to recover from them, while its measurement has yet to be standardized. Accordingly, this paper quantifies the adaptability and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-13 Si-Yao Wei , Kun-Liang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou

Financial markets are interconnected, with micro-currents propagating across global markets and shaping economic trends. This paper moves beyond traditional stock market indices to examine cross-sectional return distributions-15 in our…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-27 Ping Wu , Dan Zhu

The properties of q-dependent cross-correlation matrices of stock market have been analyzed by using the random matrix theory and complex network. The correlation structures of the fluctuations at different magnitudes have unique…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-14 Longfeng Zhao , Wei Li , Andrea Fenu , Boris Podobnik , Yougui Wang , H. Eugene Stanley

We investigated the network structures of the Japanese stock market through the minimum spanning tree. We defined grouping coefficient to test the validity of conventional grouping by industrial categories, and found a decreasing in trend…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Woo-Sung Jung , Okyu Kwon , Fengzhong Wang , Taisei Kaizoji , Hie-Tae Moon , H. Eugene Stanley

Stable and efficient food markets are crucial for global food security, yet international staple food markets are increasingly exposed to complex risks, including intensified risk contagion and escalating external uncertainties. This paper…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-28 Yun-Shi Dai , Peng-Fei Dai , Stéphane Goutte , Duc Khuong Nguyen , Wei-Xing Zhou

We show how bad and good volatility propagate through forex markets, i.e., we provide evidence for asymmetric volatility connectedness on forex markets. Using high-frequency, intra-day data of the most actively traded currencies over 2007 -…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-28 Jozef Barunik , Evzen Kocenda , Lukas Vacha