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The most well known probability distribution of probabilities is the Beta distribution. If we have observed $r$ `successes', each having a probability $\theta$, and $n-r$ `failures', each having a probability $1-\theta$. In this paper we…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-04 H. R. N. van Erp , R. O. Linger , P. H. A. J. M. van Gelder

This paper aims to improve existing results about using averaging method for analysis of dynamic systems on time scales. We obtain a more accurate estimate for proximity between solutions of original and averaged systems regarding…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-02-07 Aleksey Ogulenko

The collapse of man-made and natural structures is a complex phenomenon that has been studied for centuries. We propose a new approach to understanding catastrophic instabilities, based on the idea that they do not occur at the critical…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2023-08-29 Klaus Regenauer-Lieb , Manman Hu

Cascading failure models are typically used to capture the phenomenon where failures possibly trigger further failures in succession, causing knock-on effects. In many networks this ultimately leads to a disintegrated network where the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-15 Fiona Sloothaak , Sem C. Borst , Bert Zwart

We analyze the temporal structure of long ((T_{90}>2sec)) and short ((T_{90}<2sec)) BATSE bursts. We find that: (i) In many short bursts (\delta t_{min}/T\ll 1) (where (\delta t_{min}) is the shortest pulse). This indicates that short…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-06 E. Nakar , T. Piran

An initially planar shock wave propagating into a medium of non-uniform density will be perturbed, leading to the generation of post-shock velocity perturbations. Using numerical simulations we study this phenomenon in the case of…

We study an asymmetric version of the threshold model with anticonformity under asynchronous update mode that mimics continuous time. We study this model on a complete graph using three different approaches: mean-field approximation, Monte…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-15 Bartłomiej Nowak , Michel Grabisch , Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron

In the classical stochastic resetting problem, a particle, moving according to some stochastic dynamics, undergoes random interruptions that bring it to a selected domain, and then, the process recommences. Hitherto, the resetting mechanism…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-12-08 Carlos A. Plata , Deepak Gupta , Sandro Azaele

This paper deals with the assessment of the performance of a system under a finite planning horizon. The system is subject to two dependent causes of failure: internal degradation and sudden shocks. We assume that internal degradation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-21 Nuria Caballé , Inma T. Castro

We study the time evolution of perturbations in spatially extended chaotic systems in the presence of quenched disorder. We find that initially random perturbations tend to exponentially localize in space around static pinning centers that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Ivan G. Szendro , Juan M. Lopez , Miguel A. Rodriguez

This paper considers the problem of approximating the failure frequency of large-scale composite $k$-terminal reliability systems. In such systems, the nodes ($k$ of which are terminals) are connected through components which are subject to…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-12-29 Anoosheh Heidarzadeh , Alex Sprintson , Chanan Singh

Cascading failures, wherein the failure of one component triggers subsequent failures in complex interconnected systems, pose a significant risk of disruptions and emerge across various domains. Understanding and mitigating the risk of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Agnieszka Janicka , Fiona Sloothaak , Maria Vlasiou

This paper considers a model for cascades on random networks in which the cascade propagation at any node depends on the load at the failed neighbor, the degree of the neighbor as well as the load at that node. Each node in the network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-17 Srikanth K. Iyer , Rahul Vaze , Dheeraj Narasimha

Trust is a collective, self-fulfilling phenomenon that suggests analogies with phase transitions. We introduce a stylized model for the build-up and collapse of trust in networks, which generically displays a first order transition. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-17 João da Gama Batista , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Damien Challet

We introduce here the two-fractal model of earthquake dynamics. As the fractured surfaces have self-affine properties, we consider the solid-solid interface of the earth's crust and the tectonic plate below as fractal surfaces. The overlap…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Bikas K Chakrabarti , Arnab Chatterjee

The modeling of cascading failure in power systems is difficult because of the many different mechanisms involved; no single model captures all of these mechanisms. Understanding the relative importance of these different mechanisms is an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-17 Jiajia Song , Eduardo Cotilla-Sanchez , Goodarz Ghanavati , Paul D. H. Hines

In this paper, we consider the stability analysis of large-scale distributed networked control systems with random communication delays between linearly interconnected subsystems. The stability analysis is performed in the Markov jump…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-11-13 Kooktae Lee , Raktim Bhattacharya

Feedback dynamic routing is a commonly used control strategy in transportation systems. This class of control strategies relies on real-time information about the traffic state in each link. However, such information may not always be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-16 Qian Xie , Li Jin

Empirical estimation of critical points at which complex systems abruptly flip from one state to another is among the remaining challenges in network science. However, due to the stochastic nature of critical transitions it is widely…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-07-09 B. Podobnik , T. Lipic , D. Horvatic , A. Majdandzic , S. Bishop , H. E. Stanley

The present paper describes a stochastic model of fracture, whose fragment size distribution can be calculated analytically as a power-law-like distribution. The model is basically cascade fracture, but incorporates the effect that each…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-04-10 Ken Yamamoto , Yoshihiro Yamazaki