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Transformer LMs show emergent reasoning that resists mechanistic understanding. We offer a statistical physics framework for continuous-time chain-of-thought reasoning dynamics. We model sentence-level hidden state trajectories as a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Jack David Carson , Amir Reisizadeh

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are powerful models for processing time-series data, but it remains challenging to understand how they function. Improving this understanding is of substantial interest to both the machine learning and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Jimmy T. H. Smith , Scott W. Linderman , David Sussillo

Recurrent event time data arise in many studies, including biomedicine, public health, marketing, and social media analysis. High-dimensional recurrent event data involving many event types and observations have become prevalent with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-02 Fangyi Chen , Yunxiao Chen , Zhiliang Ying , Kangjie Zhou

Time series generation is a crucial research topic in the area of decision-making systems, which can be particularly important in domains like autonomous driving, healthcare, and, notably, robotics. Recent approaches focus on learning in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Jian Qian , Bingyu Xie , Biao Wan , Minhao Li , Miao Sun , Patrick Yin Chiang

Data augmentation is gaining importance across various aspects of time series analysis, from forecasting to classification and anomaly detection tasks. We introduce the Latent Generative Transformer Augmentation (L-GTA) model, a generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Luis Roque , Carlos Soares , Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo

Clinical time series data from electronic health records and medical registries offer unprecedented opportunities to understand patient trajectories and inform medical decision-making. However, leveraging such data presents significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Muhammad Aslanimoghanloo , Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven

Learning identifiable representations and models from low-level observations is helpful for an intelligent spacecraft to complete downstream tasks reliably. For temporal observations, to ensure that the data generating process is provably…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Congxi Zhang , Yongchun Xie

We consider statistical inference in factor analysis for ergodic and non-ergodic diffusion processes from discrete observations. Factor model based on high frequency time series data has been mainly discussed in the field of high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Shogo Kusano , Masayuki Uchida

There has been considerable recent interest in Bayesian modeling of high-dimensional networks via latent space approaches. When the number of nodes increases, estimation based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo can be extremely slow and show poor…

Computation · Statistics 2022-05-30 Emanuele Aliverti , Massimiliano Russo

Time series datasets are often composed of a variety of sequences from the same domain, but from different entities, such as individuals, products, or organizations. We are interested in how time series models can be specialized to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Alex Bird , Christopher K. I. Williams , Christopher Hawthorne

We propose FNETS, a methodology for network estimation and forecasting of high-dimensional time series exhibiting strong serial- and cross-sectional correlations. We operate under a factor-adjusted vector autoregressive (VAR) model which,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Dom Owens

Mathematical modeling is an essential step, for example, to analyze the transient behavior of a dynamical process and to perform engineering studies such as optimization and control. With the help of first-principles and expert knowledge, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

Learning shared structure across environments facilitates rapid learning and adaptive behavior in neural systems. This has been widely demonstrated and applied in machine learning to train models that are capable of generalizing to novel…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-09 Ayesha Vermani , Josue Nassar , Hyungju Jeon , Matthew Dowling , Il Memming Park

Alzheimer's disease (AD) alters brain electrophysiology and disrupts multichannel EEG dynamics, making accurate and clinically useful EEG-based diagnosis increasingly important for screening and disease monitoring. However, many existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Hairong Chen , Yicheng Feng , Ziyu Jia , Samir Bhatt , Hengguan Huang

High-Dimensional and Incomplete (HDI) data is commonly encountered in big data-related applications like social network services systems, which are concerning the limited interactions among numerous nodes. Knowledge acquisition from HDI…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Yurong Zhong , Zhe Xie , Weiling Li , Xin Luo

A key question in brain sciences is how to identify time-evolving functional connectivity, such as that obtained from recordings of neuronal activity over time. We wish to explain the observed phenomena in terms of latent states which, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Yiwei Gong , Susanna B. Mierau , Sinead A. Williamson

Dynamic functional connectivity, as measured by the time-varying covariance of neurological signals, is believed to play an important role in many aspects of cognition. While many methods have been proposed, reliably establishing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-30 Lingge Li , Dustin Pluta , Babak Shahbaba , Norbert Fortin , Hernando Ombao , Pierre Baldi

The advent of complex, interconnected long-horizon LLM systems has made it incredibly tricky to identify where and when these systems break down. Evaluation capabilities that currently exist today are limited in that they often focus on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Chenyang Zhu , Spencer Hong , Jingyu Wu , Kushal Chawla , Charlotte Tang , Youbing Yin , Nathan Wolfe , Erin Babinsky , Daben Liu

Neuromorphic architectures achieve low-power operation by using many simple spiking neurons in lieu of traditional hardware. Here, we develop methods for precise linear computations in spiking neural networks and use these methods to map…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-06-07 David G. Clark , Jesse A. Livezey , Edward F. Chang , Kristofer E. Bouchard
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