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Data cleaning is naturally framed as probabilistic inference in a generative model of ground-truth data and likely errors, but the diversity of real-world error patterns and the hardness of inference make Bayesian approaches difficult to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Alexander K. Lew , Monica Agrawal , David Sontag , Vikash K. Mansinghka

Causal inference can be formalized as Bayesian inference that combines a prior distribution over causal models and likelihoods that account for both observations and interventions. We show that it is possible to implement this approach…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-11-01 Sam Witty , Alexander Lew , David Jensen , Vikash Mansinghka

Is it possible to make statistical inference broadly accessible to non-statisticians without sacrificing mathematical rigor or inference quality? This paper describes BayesDB, a probabilistic programming platform that aims to enable users…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-12-17 Vikash Mansinghka , Richard Tibbetts , Jay Baxter , Pat Shafto , Baxter Eaves

Software systems are complex, and behavioral comprehension with the increasing amount of AI components challenges traditional testing and maintenance strategies.The lack of tools and methodologies for behavioral software comprehension…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-12-19 Hannes Thaller , Lukas Linsbauer , Rudolf Ramler , Alexander Egyed

Bayesian inference involves the specification of a statistical model by a statistician or practitioner, with careful thought about what each parameter represents. This results in particularly interpretable models which can be used to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-07 Jonathan Law , Darren Wilkinson

After data selection, pre-processing, transformation, and feature extraction, knowledge extraction is not the final step in a data mining process. It is then necessary to understand this knowledge in order to apply it efficiently and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-23 Dominik Fisch , Christian Gruhl , Edgar Kalkowski , Bernhard Sick , Seppo J. Ovaska

Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGM) are very useful in the fields of machine learning and data mining. The crucial limitation of those models,however, is the scalability. The Bayesian Network, which is one of the most common PGMs used in…

Sequential algorithms are popular for experimental design, enabling emulation, optimisation and inference to be efficiently performed. For most of these applications bespoke software has been developed, but the approach is general and many…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-18 Matthew A. Fisher , Onur Teymur , Chris. J. Oates

Probabilistic programming (PP) allows flexible specification of Bayesian statistical models in code. PyMC3 is a new, open-source PP framework with an intutive and readable, yet powerful, syntax that is close to the natural syntax…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-30 John Salvatier , Thomas Wiecki , Christopher Fonnesbeck

The idea of computer vision as the Bayesian inverse problem to computer graphics has a long history and an appealing elegance, but it has proved difficult to directly implement. Instead, most vision tasks are approached via complex…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-07-02 Vikash K. Mansinghka , Tejas D. Kulkarni , Yura N. Perov , Joshua B. Tenenbaum

Generalisability and transportability of clinical prediction models (CPMs) refer to their ability to maintain predictive performance when applied to new populations. While CPMs may show good generalisability or transportability to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-06 Kritchavat Ploddi , Matthew Sperrin , Glen P. Martin , Maurice M. O'Connell

Probabilistic Programming Languages (PPLs) are a powerful tool in machine learning, allowing highly expressive generative models to be expressed succinctly. They couple complex inference algorithms, implemented by the language, with an…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Alexander Collins , Vinod Grover

This paper investigates Gaussian copula mixture models (GCMM), which are an extension of Gaussian mixture models (GMM) that incorporate copula concepts. The paper presents the mathematical definition of GCMM and explores the properties of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Ke Wan , Alain Kornhauser

Probabilistic programming (PP) is a programming paradigm that allows for writing statistical models like ordinary programs, performing simulations by running those programs, and analyzing and refining their statistical behavior using…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Martin Kuhn , Joscha Grüger , Christoph Matheja , Andrey Rivkin

This article presents GenSQL, a probabilistic programming system for querying probabilistic generative models of database tables. By augmenting SQL with only a few key primitives for querying probabilistic models, GenSQL enables complex…

Arguing for the need to combine declarative and probabilistic programming, B\'ar\'any et al. (TODS 2017) recently introduced a probabilistic extension of Datalog as a "purely declarative probabilistic programming language." We revisit this…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Martin Grohe , Benjamin Lucien Kaminski , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Peter Lindner

The use of a hypothetical generative model was been suggested for causal analysis of observational data. The very assumption of a particular model is a commitment to a certain set of variables and therefore to a certain set of possible…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Nimrod Megiddo

Probabilistic programming is a growing area that strives to make statistical analysis more accessible, by separating probabilistic modelling from probabilistic inference. In practice this decoupling is difficult. No single inference…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2022-04-15 Maria I. Gorinova

Generating functions, which are widely used in combinatorics and probability theory, encode function values into the coefficients of a polynomial. In this paper, we explore their use as a tractable probabilistic model, and propose…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Honghua Zhang , Brendan Juba , Guy Van den Broeck

Gaussian Process (GP) models are a powerful tool in probabilistic machine learning with a solid theoretical foundation. Thanks to current advances, modeling complex data with GPs is becoming increasingly feasible, which makes them an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Sarem Seitz