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We consider the problem of inferring a latent function in a probabilistic model of data. When dependencies of the latent function are specified by a Gaussian process and the data likelihood is complex, efficient computation often involve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-23 Martin Tegner , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Stephen Roberts

We propose an unconstrained stochastic approximation method of finding the optimal measure change (in an a priori parametric family) for Monte Carlo simulations. We consider different parametric families based on the Girsanov theorem and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Vincent Lemaire , Gilles Pagès

For H\"older continuous functions $f_i$, $i=0,\ldots ,d$, on a subshift of finite type and $\Theta\subset \mathbb \R^d$ we consider a parametrized family of potentials $\{F_\theta= f_0+\sum_{i=1}^d \theta_i f_i : \theta\in \Theta\}$. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-05 Manfred Denker , Marc Keßeböhmer , Artur O. Lopes , Silvia R. C. Lopes

Quantum sensing harnesses the unique properties of quantum systems to enable precision measurements of physical quantities such as time, magnetic and electric fields, acceleration, and gravitational gradients well beyond the limits of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-07-23 Ivana Nikoloska , Ruud Van Sloun , Osvaldo Simeone

We consider statistical methods based on finite samples of locally randomized measurements in order to certify different degrees of multiparticle entanglement in intermediate-scale quantum systems. We first introduce hierarchies of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-06-08 Andreas Ketterer , Satoya Imai , Nikolai Wyderka , Otfried Gühne

The parametric maximum likelihood estimation problem is addressed in the context of quantum walk theory for quantum walks on the lattice of integers. A coin action is presented, with the real parameter $\theta$ to be estimated identified…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-05-31 Demosthenes Ellinas , Peter D. Jarvis , Matthew Pearce

This article provides an introduction to the asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes. Maximum likelihood estimation is considered. The aim of this introduction is to be accessible to a wide audience and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-16 François Bachoc

In many applications it is desirable to infer coarse-grained models from observational data. The observed process often corresponds only to a few selected degrees of freedom of a high-dimensional dynamical system with multiple time scales.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-06 Serafim Kalliadasis , Sebastian Krumscheid , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

Much of uncertainty quantification to date has focused on determining the effect of variables modeled probabilistically, and with a known distribution, on some physical or engineering system. We develop methods to obtain information on the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Kamaljit Chowdhary , Paul Dupuis

Random dynamics in isolated quantum systems is of practical use in quantum information and is of theoretical interest in fundamental physics. Despite a large number of theoretical studies, it has not been addressed how random dynamics can…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-10-12 Masahiro Fujii , Ryosuke Kutsuzawa , Yasunari Suzuki , Yoshifumi Nakata , Masaki Owari

A common method for assessing validity of Bayesian sampling or approximate inference methods makes use of simulated data replicates for parameters drawn from the prior. Under continuity assumptions, quantiles of functions of the simulated…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-21 Xuejun Yu , David J. Nott , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Nadja Klein

The three-parameter generalized extreme value distribution arises from classical univariate extreme value theory and is in common use for analyzing the far tail of observed phenomena. Curiously, important asymptotic properties of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Likun Zhang , Benjamin Shaby

In this note, we give a short information-theoretic proof of the consistency of the Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator in linear auto-regressive models. Our proof yields nearly optimal non-asymptotic rates for parameter recovery and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Ingvar Ziemann

Note: Accepted version, published in Statistical Papers, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00362-023-01414-3. It is shown that some theoretically identifiable parameters cannot be empirically identified, meaning that no consistent estimator of them…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-18 Christian Hennig

The characterization of the Hamiltonian parameters defining a quantum walk is of paramount importance when performing a variety of tasks, from quantum communication to computation. When dealing with physical implementations of quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-15 Ilaria Gianani , Claudia Benedetti

We introduce a novel Bayesian approach for variable selection using Gaussian process regression, which is crucial for enhancing interpretability and model regularization. Our method employs nearest neighbor Gaussian processes, serving as…

Quantum measurements are not deterministic. For this reason quantum measurements are repeated for a number of shots on identically prepared systems. The uncertainty in each measurement depends on the number of shots and the expected outcome…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-03-12 Pieter Thijs Eendebak

It has been recently suggested that probabilities of different events in the multiverse are given by the frequencies at which these events are encountered along the worldline of a geodesic observer (the "watcher"). Here I discuss an…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2015-06-18 Alexander Vilenkin

In the Bayesian approach to probability theory, probability quantifies a degree of belief for a single trial, without any a priori connection to limiting frequencies. In this paper we show that, despite being prescribed by a fundamental…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 Carlton M. Caves , Christopher A. Fuchs , Ruediger Schack

Latent Gaussian models have a rich history in statistics and machine learning, with applications ranging from factor analysis to compressed sensing to time series analysis. The classical method for maximizing the likelihood of these models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Alexander Lin , Bahareh Tolooshams , Yves Atchadé , Demba Ba