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We formulate a strong equivalence between machine learning, artificial intelligence methods and the formulation of statistical data assimilation as used widely in physical and biological sciences. The correspondence is that layer number in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-07-06 Henry Abarbanel , Paul Rozdeba , Sasha Shirman

This paper addresses the problem of inverse covariance (also known as precision matrix) estimation in high-dimensional settings. Specifically, we focus on two classes of estimators: linear shrinkage estimators with a target proportional to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-21 Lucas Morisset , Adrien Hardy , Alain Durmus

Training data attribution (TDA) provides insights into which training data is responsible for a learned model behavior. Gradient-based TDA methods such as influence functions and unrolled differentiation both involve a computation that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Andrew Wang , Elisa Nguyen , Runshi Yang , Juhan Bae , Sheila A. McIlraith , Roger Grosse

The nudging data assimilation algorithm is a powerful tool used to forecast phenomena of interest given incomplete and noisy observations. Machine learning is becoming increasingly popular in data assimilation given its ease of computation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-24 Harbir Antil , Rainald Löhner , Randy Price

Causal inference is fundamental across scientific disciplines, yet existing methods struggle to capture instantaneous, time-evolving causal relationships in complex, high-dimensional systems. In this paper, assimilative causal inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Marios Andreou , Nan Chen , Erik Bollt

Statistical Data Assimilation (SDA) is the transfer of information from field or laboratory observations to a user selected model of the dynamical system producing those observations. The data is noisy and the model has errors; the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-16 Adrian S. Wong , Kangbo Hao , Zheng Fang , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

Data assimilation algorithms combine prior and observational information, weighted by their respective uncertainties, to obtain the most likely posterior of a dynamical system. In variational data assimilation the posterior is computed by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-24 Jemima M. Tabeart , Sarah L. Dance , Amos S. Lawless , Nancy K. Nichols , Joanne A. Waller

With the increasing penetration of high-frequency sensors across a number of biological and physical systems, the abundance of the resulting observations offers opportunities for higher statistical accuracy of down-stream estimates, but…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-06 Shushu Zhang , Vivak Patel

Abrupt transitions ("tipping") in nonlinear dynamical systems are often accompanied by changes in the geometry of the attracting set, but quantifying such changes from partial and noisy observations in high-dimensional systems remains…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-20 Tomomasa Hirose , Yohei Sawada

Variational data assimilation and deep learning share many algorithmic aspects in common. While the former focuses on system state estimation, the latter provides great inductive biases to learn complex relationships. We here design a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-18 Arthur Filoche , Julien Brajard , Anastase Charantonis , Dominique Béréziat

Systems biology and systems neurophysiology in particular have recently emerged as powerful tools for a number of key applications in the biomedical sciences. Nevertheless, such models are often based on complex combinations of multiscale…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Matteo Ferrante , Andera Duggento , Nicola Toschi

Data assimilation combines information from physical observations and numerical simulation results to obtain better estimates of the state and parameters of a physical system. A wide class of physical systems of interest have solutions that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-02 Amit N. Subrahmanya , Adrian Sandu

We present a new continuous data assimilation algorithm based on ideas that have been developed for designing finite-dimensional feedback controls for dissipative dynamical systems, in particular, in the context of the incompressible…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-06-15 Abderrahim Azouani , Eric Olson , Edriss S. Titi

Data assimilation refers to the process of obtaining an estimate of a system's state using a model for the system's time evolution and a time series of measurements that are possibly noisy and incomplete. However, for practical reasons, the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Matthew Cornick , Brian Hunt , Edward Ott , Michael F. Schatz

We address data assimilation for linear and nonlinear dynamical systems via the so-called \emph{model reference adaptive system}. Continuing our theoretical developments in \cite{Tram_Kaltenbacher_2021}, we deliver the first practical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Benedikt Kaltenbach , Christian Aarset , Tram Thi Ngoc Nguyen

The integration of observational data into numerical models, known as data assimilation (DA), is fundamental for making Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) possible, with breathtaking success over the past 60 years (Bauer et al. 2015).…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-04 Jan D. Keller , Roland Potthast

Variational data assimilation in continuous time is revisited. The central techniques applied in this paper are in part adopted from the theory of optimal nonlinear control. Alternatively, the investigated approach can be considered as a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-18 Jochen Bröcker

Neuron models built from experimental data have successfully predicted observed voltage oscillations within and beyond training range. A tantalising prospect is the possibility of estimating the unobserved dynamics of ion channels which is…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-28 Ian Williams , Joseph D. Taylor , Alain Nogaret

Continuous data assimilation (CDA) methods, such as the nudging algorithm introduced by Azouani, Olson, and Titi (AOT), have proven to be highly effective in deterministic settings for asymptotically synchronizing approximate solutions with…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Kush Kinra

We describe a new approach allowing for systematic causal attribution of weather and climate-related events, in near-real time. The method is purposely designed to facilitate its implementation at meteorological centers by relying on data…