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We propose a methodology for modeling and comparing probability distributions within a Bayesian nonparametric framework. Building on dependent normalized random measures, we consider a prior distribution for a collection of discrete random…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-01 Mario Beraha , Jim E. Griffin

Continuous time random walks are non-Markovian stochastic processes, which are only partly characterized by single-time probability distributions. We derive a closed evolution equation for joint two-point probability density functions of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. Baule , R. Friedrich

It has experimentally been found by Lampo et al. [Biophys. J. 112, 532 (2017)] that, for two different types of cell, the distribution of the diffusivities of RNA-protein particles over cytoplasm obeys an exponential law. Then, an…

Biological Physics · Physics 2019-08-02 Yuichi Itto

We experimentally demonstrate that highly structured distributions of work emerge during even the simple task of erasing a single bit. These are signatures of a refined suite of time-reversal symmetries in distinct functional classes of…

Probabilistic model checking traditionally verifies properties on the expected value of a measure of interest. This restriction may fail to capture the quality of service of a significant proportion of a system's runs, especially when the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Xiaotong Ji , Hanchun Wang , Antonio Filieri , Ilenia Epifani

Computation of the marginal likelihood from a simulated posterior distribution is central to Bayesian model selection but is computationally difficult. I argue that the marginal likelihood can be reliably computed from a posterior sample by…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2010-06-24 Martin D. Weinberg

We present an algorithmic approach to estimate the value distributions of random variables of probabilistic loops whose statistical moments are (partially) known. Based on these moments, we apply two statistical methods, Maximum Entropy and…

This article examines how diseases on random networks spread in time. The disease is described by a probability distribution function for the number of infected and recovered individuals, and the probability distribution is described by a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-05-29 M. Marder

In this paper, we propose a new class of distributions by exponentiating the random variables associated with the probability density functions of composite distributions. We also derive some mathematical properties of this new class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-05 Bowen Liu , Malwane M. A. Ananda

Stochastic models of sequential mutation acquisition are widely used to quantify cancer and bacterial evolution. Across manifold scenarios, recurrent research questions are: how many cells are there with $n$ alterations, and how long will…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-07 Michael D. Nicholson , David Cheek , Tibor Antal

Brownian yet non-Gaussian processes have recently been observed in numerous biological systems and the corresponding theories have been built based on random diffusivity models. Considering the particularity of random diffusivity, this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-31 Xudong Wang , Yao Chen

To answer questions of "causes of effects", the probability of necessity is introduced for assessing whether or not an observed outcome was caused by an earlier treatment. However, the statistical inference for probability of necessity is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-14 Ping Zhang , Ruoyu Wang , Wang Miao

In this paper we introduce the space-fractional Poisson process whose state probabilities $p_k^\alpha(t)$, $t>0$, $\alpha \in (0,1]$, are governed by the equations $(\mathrm d/\mathrm dt)p_k(t) = -\lambda^\alpha (1-B)p_k^\alpha(t)$, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-28 Enzo Orsingher , Federico Polito

Recent interest in human dynamics has stimulated the investigation of the stochastic processes that explain human behaviour in various contexts, such as mobile phone networks and social media. In this paper, we extend the stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-23 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou

The limitations resulting from the dichtomisation of continuous outcomes have been extensively described. But the need to present results based on binary outcomes in particular in health science remains. Alternatives based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Odile Sauzet

We revisit the problem of finding the probability distribution of a fermionic number of one-dimensional spinless free fermions on a segment of a given length. The generating function for this probability distribution can be expressed as a…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2011-12-19 Alexander G. Abanov , Dmitri A. Ivanov , Yachao Qian

In a previous work, the authors proposed a Grammatical Evolution algorithm to automatically generate Lindenmayer Systems which represent fractal curves with a pre-determined fractal dimension. This paper gives strong statistical evidence…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2010-10-18 Manuel Cebrian , Manuel Alfonseca , Alfonso Ortega

In this paper we describe a theory of a cumulative distribution function on a space with an order from a probability measure defined in this space. This distribution function plays a similar role to that played in the classical case.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-12 J. F. Gálvez-Rodríguez , M. A. Sánchez-Granero

Here we try and delienate the properties of the function that corresponds to fluctuations in the momentum distribution. The quantity denoted by $ N(k,k^{'}) $ is quite an interesting object. It satisfies various elegant sum rules and is…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Girish S. Setlur , Yia-Chung Chang

The probability distribution function for thermodynamics and econophysics is obtained by solving an equilibrium equation. This approach is different from the common one of optimizing the entropy of the system or obtaining the state of…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Diego Saa