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We study seasonal epidemic spreading in a susceptible-infected-removed-susceptible (SIRS) model on smallworld graphs. We derive a mean-field description that accurately captures the salient features of the model, most notably a phase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-03-26 Daniel Malz , Andrea Pizzi , Andreas Nunnenkamp , Johannes Knolle

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic continues to affect communities around the world. To date, almost 6 million people have died as a consequence of COVID-19, and more than one-quarter of a billion people are estimated to have been infected…

Since Granell et al. proposed a multiplex network for information and epidemic propagation, researchers have explored how information propagation affects epidemic dynamics. However, the role of individuals acquiring information through…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Xianglai Yuan , Yichao Yao , Han Wu , Minyu Feng

The dynamic nature of system gives rise to dynamical features of epidemic spreading, such as oscillation and bistability. In this paper, by studying the epidemic spreading in growing networks, in which susceptible nodes may adaptively break…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-20 Jie Zhou , Gaoxi Xiao , Siew Ann Cheong , Xiuju Fu , Lim Soon Wong , Stefan Ma , Tee Hiang Cheng

We consider hundreds of thousands of individual economic transactions to ask: how predictable are consumers in their merchant visitation patterns? Our results suggest that, in the long-run, much of our seemingly elective activity is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-07 Coco Krumme , Alejandro Llorente , Manuel Cebrián , Alex , Pentland , Esteban Moro

The dynamics of human mobility characterizes the trajectories humans follow during their daily activities and is the foundation of processes from epidemic spreading to traffic prediction and information recommendation. In this paper, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 Zhi-Dan Zhao , Shi-Min Cai , Yang Lu

The COVID-19 pandemic and the implementation of social distancing policies have rapidly changed people's visiting patterns, as reflected in mobility data that tracks mobility traffic using location trackers on cell phones. However, the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Prajindra Sankar Krishnan , Chai Phing Chen , Gamal Alkawsi , Sieh Kiong Tiong , Luiz Fernando Capretz

The periodic swarming of bacteria is one of the simplest examples for pattern formation produced by the self-organized collective behavior of a large number of organisms. In the spectacular colonies of Proteus mirabilis (the most common…

Biological Physics · Physics 2016-09-08 Andras Czirok , Mitsugu Matsushita , Tamas Vicsek

The COVID-19 pandemic began over two years ago, yet schools, businesses, and other organizations are still struggling to keep the risk of disease outbreak low while returning to (near) normal functionality. Observations from these past…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-02 Sarah C. Fay , Dalton J. Jones , Munther A. Dahleh , A. E. Hosoi

Complex networks represent the natural backbone to study epidemic processes in populations of interacting individuals. Such a modeling framework, however, is naturally limited to pairwise interactions, making it less suitable to properly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-04 Sandeep Chowdhary , Aanjaneya Kumar , Giulia Cencetti , Iacopo Iacopini , Federico Battiston

Much of economic theory is built on observations of aggregate, rather than individual, behavior. Here, we present novel findings on human shopping patterns at the resolution of a single purchase. Our results suggest that much of our…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2013-04-23 Coco Krumme , Manuel Cebrian , Alex Pentland

Many complex human and natural phenomena can usefully be represented as networks describing the relationships between individuals. While these relationships are typically intermittent, previous research has used network representations that…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2013-06-06 Vassilis Kostakos , Eamonn O'Neill , Alan Penn

Temporal social networks of human interactions are preponderant in understanding the fundamental patterns of human behavior. In these networks, interactions occur locally between individuals (i.e., nodes) who connect with each other at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-11 Shaunette T. Ferguson , Teruyoshi Kobayashi

Human mobility forms the backbone of contact patterns through which infectious diseases propagate, fundamentally shaping the spatio-temporal dynamics of epidemics and pandemics. While traditional models are often based on the assumption…

By incorporating delayed epidemic information and self-restricted travel behavior into the SIS model, we have investigated the coupled effects of timely and accurate epidemic information and people's sensitivity to the epidemic information…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-16 Wen-Juan Xu , Chen-Yang Zhong , Hui-Fen Ye , Rong-Da Chen , Tian Qiu , Fei Ren , Li-Xin Zhong

The success of an infectious disease to invade a population is strongly controlled by the population's specific connectivity structure. Here a network model is presented as an aid in understanding the role of social behavior and…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2007-07-10 Anna Litvak-Hinenzon , Lewi Stone

In this study, we use US county-level COVID-19 case data from January 21-March 25, 2020 to study the exponential behavior of case growth at the metropolitan scale. In particular, we assume that all localized outbreaks are in an early stage…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-07 Samuel Heroy

The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted billions of people around the world. To capture some of these impacts in the United States, we are conducting a nationwide longitudinal survey collecting information about activity and travel-related…

The science of cities seeks to understand and explain regularities observed in the world's major urban systems. Modelling the population evolution of cities is at the core of this science and of all urban studies. Quantitatively, the most…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-14 Vincent Verbavatz , Marc Barthelemy

Although a lot of attentions have been paid to human mobility, the relationship between travel pattern with city structure is still unclear. Here we probe into this relationship by analyzing the metro passenger trip data.There are two…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-01-14 Zi-Yang Wang , Wen-Yu Li , Peng Zhu , Yong Qin , Li-Min Jia