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In 2020 and 2021, the spread of COVID-19 was globally addressed by imposing restrictions on the distance of individual travel. Recent literature has uncovered a clear pattern in human mobility that underlies the complexity of urban…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-05 Cate Heine , Kevin P. O'Keeffe , Paolo Santi , Li Yan , Carlo Ratti

Vector-borne diseases arise from the coupled dynamics of human mobility and mosquito ecology, producing outbreaks shaped by both spatial distributions and temporal patterns of movement. Here we develop a coarse-grained hub--leaf reduction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-29 Bibandhan Poudyal , Gourab Ghoshal

The ongoing Zika virus (ZIKV) epidemic poses a major global public health emergency. It is known that ZIKV is spread by \textit{Aedes} mosquitoes, recent studies show that ZIKV can also be transmitted via sexual contact and cases of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-07-08 Daozhou Gao , Yijun Lou , Daihai He , Travis C. Porco , Yang Kuang , Gerardo Chowell , Shigui Ruan

Aedes Aegypti is the vector of several deadly diseases, including Zika. Effective and sustainable vector control measures must be deployed to keep A. aegypti numbers under control. The distribution of A. Aegypti is subject to spatial and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-08-05 Chathika Gunaratne , Mustafa Ilhan Akbas , Ivan Garibay , Ozlem Ozmen

Zika virus (ZIKV), a disease spread primarily through the Aedes aegypti mosquito, was identified in Brazil in 2015 and was declared a global health emergency by the World Health Organization (WHO). Epidemiologists often use common…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-27 Derek Lo , Briton Park

To understand the contact patterns of a population -- who is in contact with whom, and when the contacts happen -- is crucial for modeling outbreaks of infectious disease. Traditional theoretical epidemiology assumes that any individual can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-22 Petter Holme

Magal, Webb and Wu [Nonlinearity 31, 5589-5614 (2018)] studied the model describing outbreak of Zika in Rio De Janerio, and provided a complete analysis of dynamical properties for the solutions. In this note we first use a very simple…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-06-26 Mingxin Wang

The size and shape of the region affected by an outbreak is relevant to understand the dynamics of a disease and help to organize future actions to mitigate similar events. A simple extension of the SIR model is considered, where agents…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-03 Paulo Murilo C. de Oliveira , Daniel A. Stariolo , Jeferson J. Arenzon

Tropical diseases like \textit{Chikungunya} and \textit{Zika} have come to prominence in recent years as the cause of serious, long-lasting, population-wide health problems. In large countries like Brasil, traditional disease prevention…

Multiple instances of Zika virus epidemic have been reported around the world in the last two decades, turning the related illness into an international concern. In this context the use of mathematical models for epidemics is of great…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-14 Eber Dantas , Michel Tosin , Americo Cunha

Human mobility plays a crucial role in the spread of human diseases, but is rarely quantified in plant disease epidemics. To address this gap, we integrate a unique, high-resolution network of human movements in New Zealand with a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-26 Varun K. Rao , Ryan Higgs , Hautahi Kingi , Filippo Radicchi , Santo Fortunato , Maria Litvinova

Understanding and predicting outbreaks of contagious diseases are crucial to the development of society and public health, especially for underdeveloped countries. However, challenging problems are encountered because of complex epidemic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-15 Ruiqi Li , Wenxu Wang , Zengru Di

This paper is about simulating the spread of opinions in a society and about finding ways to counteract that spread. To abstract away from potentially emotionally laden opinions, we instead simulate the spread of a zombie outbreak in a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-01-27 Ronald Hochreiter , Christoph Waldhauser

The interaction of all mobile species with their environment hinges on their movement patterns: the places they visit and how frequently they go there. In human society, where the prevalent form of cohabitation is in cities, the highly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-17 Markus Schläpfer , Michael Szell , Hadrien Salat , Carlo Ratti , Geoffrey B. West

This open-access dataset provides consistent records of air travel volumes between 205 airport catchments in Colombia and the associated number of reported human cases of Zika virus within these catchments during the arbovirus outbreak…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Aiman Soliman , Priyam Mazumdar , Aaron Hoyle-Katz , Brian Allan , Allison Gardner

We investigate a model for a mosquito-borne epidemic in which human hosts may adopt protective behaviour against vector bites in response to information on both past and current disease prevalence. Assuming that mosquitoes can also feed on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-08 Simone De Reggi , Andrea Pugliese , Mattia Sensi , Cinzia Soresina

Host mobility plays a fundamental role in the spatial spread of infectious diseases. Previous theoretical works based on the integration of network theory into the metapopulation framework have shown that the heterogeneities that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-26 Chiara Poletto , Michele Tizzoni , Vittoria Colizza

Daily variation in human mobility modulates the speed and severity of emerging outbreaks, yet most epidemiological studies assume static contact patterns. With a highly mobile population exceeding 24 million people, Shanghai, China is a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-09-17 Zhanwei Du , Spencer J Fox , Petter Holme , Jiming Liu , Alison P. Galvani , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Background: Travel is a potent force in the emergence of disease. We discussed how the traveler case reports could aid in a timely detection of a disease outbreak. Methods: Using the traveler data, we estimated a few indicators of the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-28 Le Bao , Ying Zhang , Xiaoyue Niu

Epidemics are emergent phenomena depending on the epidemiological characteristics of pathogens and the interaction and movement of people. Public transit systems have provided much important information about the movement of people, but…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-09-24 Zhanwei Du , Chao Gao , Yuan Bai , Yongjian Yang , Petter Holme