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We present and study a Minority Game based model of a financial market where adaptive agents -- the speculators -- interact with deterministic agents -- called producers. Speculators trade only if they detect predictable patterns which…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Damien Challet , Matteo Marsili , Yi-Cheng Zhang

We study the competition for partners in two-sided matching markets with heterogeneous agent preferences, with a focus on how the equilibrium outcomes depend on the connectivity in the market. We model random partially connected markets,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Yash Kanoria , Seungki Min , Pengyu Qian

We study a generic model for self-referential behaviour in financial markets, where agents attempt to use some (possibly fictitious) causal correlations between a certain quantitative information and the price itself. This correlation is…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Matthieu Wyart , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

This paper considers the ideal gas-like model of trading markets, where each individual is identified as a gas molecule that interacts with others trading in elastic or money-conservative collisions. Traditionally this model introduces…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-13 Carmen Pellicer-Lostao , Ricardo Lopez-Ruiz

Assessing the stability of economic systems is a fundamental research focus in economics, that has become increasingly interdisciplinary in the currently troubled economic situation. In particular, much attention has been devoted to the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-24 Matteo Serri , Guido Caldarelli , Giulio Cimini

Cooperation between individuals is emergent in all parts of society, yet mechanistic reasons for this emergence is ill understood in the literature. A specific example of this is insurance. Recent work has, though, shown that assuming the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-20 Tobias Wand , Oliver Kamps , Benjamin Skjold

The aim of this work is to explore the possible types of phenomena that simple macroeconomic Agent-Based models (ABM) can reproduce. We propose a methodology, inspired by statistical physics, that characterizes a model through its 'phase…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-30 Stanislao Gualdi , Marco Tarzia , Francesco Zamponi , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In this article, we present a discrete time modeling framework, in which the shape and dynamics of a Limit Order Book (LOB) arise endogenously from an equilibrium between multiple market participants (agents). We use the proposed modeling…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-10 Roman Gayduk , Sergey Nadtochiy

Building on similarities between earthquakes and extreme financial events, we use a self-organized criticality-generating model to study herding and avalanche dynamics in financial markets. We consider a community of interacting investors,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda , Dirk Helbing

We explore various extensions of Challet and Zhang's Minority Game in an attempt to gain insight into the dynamics underlying financial markets. First we consider a heterogeneous population where individual traders employ differing `time…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Neil F. Johnson , Michael Hart , Pak Ming Hui , Dafang Zheng

Using Trades and Quotes data from the Paris stock market, we show that the random walk nature of traded prices results from a very delicate interplay between two opposite tendencies: long-range correlated market orders that lead to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Yuval Gefen , Marc Potters , Matthieu Wyart

Social movements, neurons in the brain or even industrial suppliers are best described by agents evolving on networks with basic interaction rules. In these real systems, the connectivity between agents corresponds to the a critical state…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Philippe Curty

Economic interactions often occur in networks where heterogeneous agents (such as workers or firms) sort and produce. However, most existing estimation approaches either require the network to be dense, which is at odds with many empirical…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-24 Stéphane Bonhomme , Kevin Dano

We propose a series of simple models for the microstructure of a double auction market without intermediaries. We specialize to those markets, such interdealer broker markets, which are dominated by professional traders, who trade mainly…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 David Eliezer , Ian I. Kogan

The emergence of new communication technologies allows us to expand our understanding of distributed control and consider collaborative decision-making paradigms. With collaborative algorithms, certain local decision-making entities (or…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Bryce L. Ferguson , Dario Paccagnan , Bary S. R. Pradelski , Jason R. Marden

The transient fluctuation of the prosperity of firms in a network economy is investigated with an abstract stochastic model. The model describes the profit which firms make when they sell materials to a firm which produces a product and the…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2013-07-19 Yoshiharu Maeno

This study explores the potential of large language models (LLMs) to conduct market experiments, aiming to understand their capability to comprehend competitive market dynamics. We model the behavior of market agents in a controlled…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Jingru Jia , Zehua Yuan

Agent-based models (ABMs) are fit to model heterogeneous, interacting systems like financial markets. We present the latest advances in Evology: a heterogeneous, empirically calibrated market ecology agent-based model of the US stock…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-02-03 Aymeric Vie , J. Doyne Farmer

This paper suggests that business cycles may be a manifestation of coupled real economy and stock market dynamics and describes a mechanism that can generate economic fluctuations consistent with observed business cycles. To this end, we…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-27 Dimitri Kroujiline , Maxim Gusev , Dmitry Ushanov , Sergey V. Sharov , Boris Govorkov

Using the Minority Game model we study a broad spectrum of problems of market mechanism. We study the role of different types of agents: producers, speculators as well as noise traders. The central issue here is the information flow :…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Damien Challet , Matteo Marsili , Yi-Cheng Zhang
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