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This article introduces a non-parametric information-theoretic approach to inference about the tail of a continuous or a discrete distribution. Leveraging a new concept named tail profile -- a set of information-theoretic quantities…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-19 Jialin Zhang , Zhiyi Zhang

We observe a realization of a stationary generalized weighted Voronoi tessellation of the d-dimensional Euclidean space within a bounded observation window. Given a geometric characteristic of the typical cell, we use the minus-sampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Daniela Flimmel , Zbyněk Pawlas , Joseph E. Yukich

We study the fundamental task of outlier-robust mean estimation for heavy-tailed distributions in the presence of sparsity. Specifically, given a small number of corrupted samples from a high-dimensional heavy-tailed distribution whose mean…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Jasper C. H. Lee , Ankit Pensia

We study the finite-time behaviour of the popular temporal difference (TD) learning algorithm when combined with tail-averaging. We derive finite time bounds on the parameter error of the tail-averaged TD iterate under a step-size choice…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Gandharv Patil , Prashanth L. A. , Dheeraj Nagaraj , Doina Precup

We prove tail estimates for variables $\sum_i f(X_i)$, where $(X_i)_i$ is the trajectory of a random walk on an undirected graph (or, equivalently, a reversible Markov chain). The estimates are in terms of the maximum of the function $f$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-25 Roy Wagner

We establish an uniform factorial decay estimate for the Taylor approximation of solutions to controlled differential equations. Its proof requires a factorial decay estimate for controlled paths which is interesting in its own right.

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-02-16 Horatio Boedihardjo , Danyu Yang , Terry Lyons

A fundamental problem in analysis of complex systems is getting a reliable estimate of entropy of their probability distributions over the state space. This is difficult because unsampled states can contribute substantially to the entropy,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-07-19 Damián G. Hernández , Ahmed Roman , Ilya Nemenman

In this paper, we study the asymptotic distribution of some U-statistics whose entries are functions of empirical moments computed from non-overlapping consecutive blocks of an underlying weakly dependent process. The length of these blocks…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-27 Herold G. Dehling , Davide Giraudo , Sara K. Schmidt

Stable subordinators, and more general subordinators possessing power law probability tails, have been widely used in the context of subdiffusions, where particles get trapped or immobile in a number of time periods, called constant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-11 Phillip Kerger , Kei Kobayashi

In a seminal paper Biggins and Kyprianou \cite{BKy04} proved the existence of a non degenerate limit for the {\it Derivative martingale} of the branching random walk. As shown in \cite{Aid11} and \cite{Mad11}, this is an object of central…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Thomas Madaule

In this paper, we establish an exponential inequality for U-statistics of i.i.d. data, varying kernel and taking values in a separable Hilbert space. The bound are expressed as a sum of an exponential term plus an other one involving the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-19 Davide Giraudo

The central limit theorem introduced by Stute [The central limit theorem under random censorship. Ann. Statist. 1995; 23: 422-439] does not hold for some class of heavy-tailed distributions. In this paper, we make use of the extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-19 Louiza Soltane , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

We derive exponential bounds on probabilities of large deviations for "light tail" martingales taking values in finite-dimensional normed spaces. Our primary emphasis is on the case where the bounds are dimension-independent or nearly so.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadii S. Nemirovski

By application of the theory for second-order linear differential equations with two turning points developed in \cite{Olver1975}, uniform asymptotic approximations are obtained for the Lam\'{e} and Mathieu functions with a large real…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-07-31 Karen Ogilvie , Adri B. Olde Daalhuis

The non-asymptotic tail bounds of random variables play crucial roles in probability, statistics, and machine learning. Despite much success in developing upper bounds on tail probability in literature, the lower bounds on tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Anru R. Zhang , Yuchen Zhou

We obtain new equitightness and $C([0,T];L^p(\mathbb{R}^N))$-convergence results for finite-difference approximations of generalized porous medium equations of the form $$ \partial_tu-\mathfrak{L}[\varphi(u)]=g\qquad\text{in…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-02-03 Félix del Teso , Jørgen Endal , Espen R. Jakobsen

Via constructing an asymptotic coupling by reflection, in this paper we establish uniform-in-time estimates on probability distances for mean-field type SDEs, where the drift terms under consideration are dissipative merely in the long…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-26 Jianhai Bao , Jiaqing Hao

For multivariate distributions in the domain of attraction of a max-stable distribution, the tail copula and the stable tail dependence function are equivalent ways to capture the dependence in the upper tail. The empirical versions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-09 John H. J. Einmahl , Johan Segers

Extreme U-statistics arise when the kernel of a U-statistic has a high degree but depends only on its arguments through a small number of top order statistics. As the kernel degree of the U-statistic grows to infinity with the sample size,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Jochem Oorschot , Johan Segers , Chen Zhou

A weighted Gaussian approximation to tail product-limit process for Pareto-like distributions of randomly right-truncated data is provided and a new consistent and asymptotically normal estimator of the extreme value index is derived. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-07 Souad Benchaira , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir