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Symbolic regression is a nonlinear regression method which is commonly performed by an evolutionary computation method such as genetic programming. Quantification of uncertainty of regression models is important for the interpretation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-15 Fabricio Olivetti de Franca , Gabriel Kronberger

The role played by the composite analogue of the log likelihood ratio in hypothesis testing and in setting confidence regions is not as prominent as it is in the canonical likelihood setting, since its asymptotic distribution depends on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-30 Nicola Lunardon

We employ uncertain parametric CTMCs with parametric transition rates and a prior on the parameter values. The prior encodes uncertainty about the actual transition rates, while the parameters allow dependencies between transition rates.…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Thom S. Badings , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Marielle Stoelinga , Matthias Volk

Within a Bayesian retrospective framework, we present a way of examining the distribution of \cps through a novel set estimator. For a given level, $\alpha$, we aim at smallest sets that cover all \cps with a probability of at least…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Tobias Siems , Marc Hellmuth , Volkmar Liebscher

In this paper we first provide a method to compute confidence intervals for the center of a piecewise normal distribution given a sample from this distribution, under certain assumptions. We then extend this method to an asymptotic setting,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-08 Shu Lu , Hongsheng Liu

Image analysis frequently deals with shape estimation and image reconstruction. The ob jects of interest in these problems may be thought of as random sets, and one is interested in finding a representative, or expected, set. We consider a…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-09 Hanna K. Jankowski , Larissa I. Stanberry

We propose a multi-threshold change plane regression model which naturally partitions the observed subjects into subgroups with different covariate effects. The underlying grouping variable is a linear function of covariates and thus…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-03 Jialiang Li , Yaguang Li , Baisuo Jin

Detection of change-points in a sequence of high-dimensional observations is a very challenging problem, and this becomes even more challenging when the sample size (i.e., the sequence length) is small. In this article, we propose some…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Trisha Dawn , Angshuman Roy , Alokesh Manna , Anil K. Ghosh

Array comparative genomic hybridization(CGH) is a high resolution technique to assess DNA copy number variation. Identifying breakpoints where copy number changes will enhance the understanding of the pathogenesis of human diseases, such as…

Applications · Statistics 2012-01-26 Bin Zhu , Jeremy M. G. Taylor , Peter X. -K. Song

Confidence intervals are a popular way to visualize and analyze data distributions. Unlike p-values, they can convey information both about statistical significance as well as effect size. However, very little work exists on applying…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-23 Jussi Korpela , Emilia Oikarinen , Kai Puolamäki , Antti Ukkonen

We consider the testing and estimation of change-points, locations where the distribution abruptly changes, in a sequence of multivariate or non-Euclidean observations. We study a nonparametric framework that utilizes similarity information…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-23 Lynna Chu , Hao Chen

Certifiable, adaptive uncertainty estimates for unknown quantities are an essential ingredient of sequential decision-making algorithms. Standard approaches rely on problem-dependent concentration results and are limited to a specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Nicolas Emmenegger , Mojmír Mutný , Andreas Krause

We introduce a framework for online changepoint detection and simultaneous model learning which is applicable to highly parametrized models, such as deep neural networks. It is based on detecting changepoints across time by sequentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Michalis K. Titsias , Jakub Sygnowski , Yutian Chen

For regression model selection via maximum likelihood estimation, we adopt a vector representation of candidate models and study the likelihood ratio confidence region for the regression parameter vector of a full model. We show that when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Min Tsao

As time series data become increasingly prevalent in domains such as manufacturing, IT, and infrastructure monitoring, anomaly detection must adapt to nonstationary environments where statistical properties shift over time. Traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Muyan Anna Li , Aditi Gautam

Detecting and locating changes in highly multivariate data is a major concern in several current statistical applications. In this context, the first contribution of the paper is a novel non-parametric two-sample homogeneity test for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-13 Alexandre Lung-Yut-Fong , Céline Lévy-Leduc , Olivier Cappé

This article is motivated by the objective of providing a new analytically tractable and fully frequentist framework to characterize and implement regression trees while also allowing a multivariate (potentially high dimensional) response.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-24 Abhishek Kaul

Instance segmentation with neural networks is an essential task in environment perception. In many works, it has been observed that neural networks can predict false positive instances with high confidence values and true positives with low…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Kira Maag , Matthias Rottmann , Serin Varghese , Fabian Hueger , Peter Schlicht , Hanno Gottschalk

While previous distribution shift detection approaches can identify if a shift has occurred, these approaches cannot localize which specific features have caused a distribution shift -- a critical step in diagnosing or fixing any underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Sean Kulinski , Saurabh Bagchi , David I. Inouye

The identification of the dependent components in multiple data sets is a fundamental problem in many practical applications. The challenge in these applications is that often the data sets are high-dimensional with few observations or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-02 Martin Gölz , Tanuj Hasija , Michael Muma , Abdelhak M. Zoubir
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