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Spatial statistics is a growing discipline providing important analytical techniques in a wide range of disciplines in the natural and social sciences. In the R package GWmodel, we introduce techniques from a particular branch of spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-18 Isabella Gollini , Binbin Lu , Martin Charlton , Christopher Brunsdon , Paul Harris

Data-driven decision support tools play an increasingly central role in decision-making across various domains. In this work, we focus on binary classification models for predicting positive-outcome scores and deciding on resource…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Simon De Vos , Jente Van Belle , Andres Algaba , Wouter Verbeke , Sam Verboven

Feature allocation models postulate a sampling distribution whose parameters are derived from shared features. Bayesian models place a prior distribution on the feature allocation, and Markov chain Monte Carlo is typically used for model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-29 David B. Dahl , Devin J. Johnson , R. Jacob Andros

Considering the difficulty of financial time series forecasting in financial aid, much of the current research focuses on leveraging big data analytics in financial services. One modern approach is to utilize "predictive analysis",…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Md Khairul Islam , Ayush Karmacharya , Timothy Sue , Judy Fox

Small area estimation using survey data can be achieved by using either a design-based or a model-based inferential approach. Design-based direct estimators are generally preferable because of their consistency, asymptotic normality, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-13 Alana McGovern , Katherine Wilson , Jon Wakefield

Multivariate spatially-oriented data sets are prevalent in the environmental and physical sciences. Scientists seek to jointly model multiple variables, each indexed by a spatial location, to capture any underlying spatial association for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-19 Lu Zhang , Sudipto Banerjee

The use of the social accounting matrix (SAM) in income distribution analysis is a method recommended by economists. However, until now, there have only been a few SAM developed in Malaysia. The last SAM produced for Malaysia was developed…

General Economics · Economics 2020-01-13 Mukaramah Harun , A. R. Zakariah , M. Azali

Algorithmic predictions are emerging as a promising solution concept for efficiently allocating societal resources. Fueling their use is an underlying assumption that such systems are necessary to identify individuals for interventions. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Ali Shirali , Rediet Abebe , Moritz Hardt

Many countries measure poverty based only on income or consumption. However, there is a growing awareness of measuring poverty through multiple dimensions that captures a more reasonable status of poverty. Estimating poverty measure(s) for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-13 Soumojit Das , Dilshanie Deepawansa , Partha Lahiri

We investigate joint modeling of longevity trends using the spatial statistical framework of Gaussian Process regression. Our analysis is motivated by the Human Mortality Database (HMD) that provides unified raw mortality tables for nearly…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-06 Nhan Huynh , Mike Ludkovski

Understanding the how the distribution of an economic outcome, such as income, changes with respect to space and covariates is a key concern for policy makers. To address this, we develop a Bayesian nonparametric model, the Normalised…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ziyou Wang , Jim Griffin , Maria Kalli

In flood disasters, decision-makers have to rapidly prioritise the areas that need assistance based on a high volume of information. While approaches that combine GIS with Bayesian networks are generally effective in integrating multiple…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-24 Moritz Schneider , Lukas Halekotte , Tina Comes , Frank Fiedrich

Likelihood-free Bayesian inference algorithms are popular methods for calibrating the parameters of complex, stochastic models, required when the likelihood of the observed data is intractable. These algorithms characteristically rely…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , David J Warne , Ruth E Baker

The lack of emergency medical transportation is viewed as the main barrier to the access of emergency medical care in low and middle-income countries (LMICs). In this paper, we present a robust optimization approach to optimize both the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-02 Justin J. Boutilier , Timothy C. Y. Chan

Spatial autoregressive combined (SAC) model has been widely studied in the literature for the analysis of spatial data in various areas such as geography, economics, demography, regional sciences. This is a linear model with scalar…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-17 Alassane Aw , Emmanuel Nicolas Cabral

Developing spatio-temporal crime prediction models, and to a lesser extent, developing measures of accuracy and operational efficiency for them, has been an active area of research for almost two decades. Despite calls for rigorous and…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-16 Chaitanya Joshi , Clayton D'Ath , Sophie Curtis-Ham , Deane Searle

Extreme floods cause casualties, and widespread damage to property and vital civil infrastructure. We here propose a Bayesian approach for predicting extreme floods using the generalized extreme-value (GEV) distribution within gauged and…

Multi-armed bandits (MAB) model sequential decision making problems, in which a learner sequentially chooses arms with unknown reward distributions in order to maximize its cumulative reward. Most of the prior work on MAB assumes that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-22 Onur Atan , Cem Tekin , Mihaela van der Schaar

The aggressive densification of modern wireless networks necessitates judicious resource allocation to mitigate severe mutual interference. However, classical iterative algorithms remain computationally prohibitive for real-time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Yucheng Sheng , Jiacheng Wang , Le Liang , Hao Ye , Shi Jin

Flow matching has recently emerged as a powerful paradigm for generative modeling and has been extended to probabilistic time series forecasting in latent spaces. However, the impact of the specific choice of probability path model on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-19 Soon Hoe Lim , Yijin Wang , Annan Yu , Emma Hart , Michael W. Mahoney , Xiaoye S. Li , N. Benjamin Erichson
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