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Mental simulation is a critical cognitive function for goal-directed behavior because it is essential for assessing actions and their consequences. When a self-generated or externally specified goal is given, a sequence of actions that is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-13 Minju Jung , Takazumi Matsumoto , Jun Tani

We propose a new class of probabilistic neural-symbolic models, that have symbolic functional programs as a latent, stochastic variable. Instantiated in the context of visual question answering, our probabilistic formulation offers two key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-01 Ramakrishna Vedantam , Karan Desai , Stefan Lee , Marcus Rohrbach , Dhruv Batra , Devi Parikh

This paper is a multidisciplinary review of empirical, statistical learning from a graphical model perspective. Well-known examples of graphical models include Bayesian networks, directed graphs representing a Markov chain, and undirected…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-11-17 W. L. Buntine

Markov models have been widely used to represent and analyse user web navigation data. In previous work we have proposed a method to dynamically extend the order of a Markov chain model and a complimentary method for assessing the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jose Borges , Mark Levene

Autonomous mobile robots require accurate human motion predictions to safely and efficiently navigate among pedestrians, whose behavior may adapt to environmental changes. This paper introduces a self-supervised continual learning framework…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Luzia Knoedler , Chadi Salmi , Hai Zhu , Bruno Brito , Javier Alonso-Mora

Bayesian models of cognition hypothesize that human brains make sense of data by representing probability distributions and applying Bayes' rule to find the best explanation for available data. Understanding the neural mechanisms underlying…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Milad Kharratzadeh , Thomas R. Shultz

Knowledge tracing aims to track students' knowledge status over time to predict students' future performance accurately. Markov chain-based knowledge tracking (MCKT) models can track knowledge concept mastery probability over time. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Hengyu Liu , Tiancheng Zhang , Fan Li , Minghe Yu , Ge Yu

Large language models (LLMs) struggle on processing complicated observations in interactive decision making tasks. To alleviate this issue, we propose a simple hierarchical prompting approach. Diverging from previous prompting approaches…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Abishek Sridhar , Robert Lo , Frank F. Xu , Hao Zhu , Shuyan Zhou

Motivated by applications in movement ecology, in this paper I propose a new class of integrated continuous-time hidden Markov models in which each observation depends on the underlying state of the process over the whole interval since the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-01 Paul G Blackwell

In the process of building (structural learning) a probabilistic graphical model from a set of observed data, the directional, cyclic dependencies between the random variables of the model are often found. Existing graphical models such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Oleksii Sirotkin

Mathematical models of cognition are often memoryless and ignore potential fluctuations of their parameters. However, human cognition is inherently dynamic. Thus, we propose to augment mechanistic cognitive models with a temporal dimension…

Sequential modelling of high-dimensional data is an important problem that appears in many domains including model-based reinforcement learning and dynamics identification for control. Latent variable models applied to sequential data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-23 Oliver Limoyo , Trevor Ablett , Jonathan Kelly

Network models are applied across many domains where data can be represented as a network. Two prominent paradigms for modeling networks are statistical models (probabilistic models for the observed network) and mechanistic models (models…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-20 Sixing Chen , Antonietta Mira , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Recent studies in the field of human vision science suggest that the human responses to the stimuli on a visual display are non-deterministic. People may attend to different locations on the same visual input at the same time. Based on this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Akisato kimura , Derek Pang , Tatsuto Takeuchi , Kouji Miyazato , Junji Yamato , Kunio Kashino

Knowledge graph reasoning, which aims at predicting the missing facts through reasoning with the observed facts, is critical to many applications. Such a problem has been widely explored by traditional logic rule-based approaches and recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Meng Qu , Jian Tang

Predictive process monitoring is a subfield of process mining that aims to estimate case or event features for running process instances. Such predictions are of significant interest to the process stakeholders. However, most of the…

The past two decades have seen a growing interest in combining causal information, commonly represented using causal graphs, with machine learning models. Probability trees provide a simple yet powerful alternative representation of causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Tue Herlau

Herein, the Hidden Markov Model is expanded to allow for Markov chain observations. In particular, the observations are assumed to be a Markov chain whose one step transition probabilities depend upon the hidden Markov chain. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-18 Michael A. Kouritzin

Predicting other people's action is key to successful social interactions, enabling us to adjust our own behavior to the consequence of the others' future actions. Studies on action recognition have focused on the importance of individual…

Symbolic regression automates the process of learning closed-form mathematical models from data. Standard approaches to symbolic regression, as well as newer deep learning approaches, rely on heuristic model selection criteria, heuristic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-29 Roger Guimera , Marta Sales-Pardo
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