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In the present paper we consider the problem of Laplace deconvolution with noisy discrete non-equally spaced observations on a finite time interval. We propose a new method for Laplace deconvolution which is based on expansions of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Fabienne Comte , Charles-A. Cuenod , Marianna Pensky , Yves Rozenholc

This paper revisits a fundamental problem in statistical inference from a non-asymptotic theoretical viewpoint $\unicode{x2013}$ the construction of confidence sets. We establish a finite-sample bound for the estimator, characterizing its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-03 Lang Liu , Zaid Harchaoui

This paper provides conditions under which subsampling and the bootstrap can be used to construct estimators of the quantiles of the distribution of a root that behave well uniformly over a large class of distributions $\mathbf{P}$. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh

Experimental data in particle and nuclear physics, particle astrophysics, and radiation protection dosimetry are collected using experimental facilities that consist of a complex system of sensors, electronics, and software. Measured…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-03-04 Nikolay D. Gagunashvili

We study a blind deconvolution problem on graphs, which arises in the context of localizing a few sources that diffuse over networks. While the observations are bilinear functions of the unknown graph filter coefficients and sparse input…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-19 Chang Ye , Gonzalo Mateos

Using the mathematical framework of information geometry, we introduce a novel method which allows one to efficiently determine the exact shape of simultaneous confidence regions for non-linearly parametrised models. Furthermore, we show…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-08 Rafael Arutjunjan , Bjoern Malte Schaefer , Clemens Kreutz

Inference via simultaneous confidence band is studied for stationary covariance function of dense functional data. A two-stage estimation procedure is proposed based on spline approximation, the first stage involving estimation of all the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-31 Jiangyan Wang , Guanqun Cao , Li Wang , Lijian Yang

An important problem in statistics is the construction of confidence regions for unknown parameters. In most cases, asymptotic distribution theory is used to construct confidence regions, so any coverage probability claims only hold…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Ryan Martin

To conduct Bayesian inference with large data sets, it is often convenient or necessary to distribute the data across multiple machines. We consider a likelihood function expressed as a product of terms, each associated with a subset of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-09 Lewis J. Rendell , Adam M. Johansen , Anthony Lee , Nick Whiteley

We consider nonparametric regression in the context of functional data, that is, when a random sample of functions is observed on a fine grid. We obtain a functional asymptotic normality result allowing to build simultaneous confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-13 David A. Degras

This work develops formal statistical inference procedures for machine learning ensemble methods. Ensemble methods based on bootstrapping, such as bagging and random forests, have improved the predictive accuracy of individual trees, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-11 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker

We address the problem of uncertainty quantification for the deconvolution model \(Z = X + Y\), where \(X\) and \(Y\) are nonnegative random variables and the goal is to estimate the signal's distribution of \(X \sim F_0\) supported…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Francesco Gili , Geurt Jongbloed

Uncertainty analysis in the outcomes of model predictions is a key element in decision-based material design to establish confidence in the models and evaluate the fidelity of models. Uncertainty Propagation (UP) is a technique to determine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Danial Khatamsaz , Vahid Attari , Raymundo Arroyave , Douglas L. Allaire

Surface normal estimation from a single image is an important task in 3D scene understanding. In this paper, we address two limitations shared by the existing methods: the inability to estimate the aleatoric uncertainty and lack of detail…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Gwangbin Bae , Ignas Budvytis , Roberto Cipolla

Conformal prediction provides a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification via prediction sets with exact finite-sample coverage. In low dimensions these sets are easy to interpret, but in high-dimensional or structured…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Trevor Harris

Purpose: The localisation and segmentation of individual bones is an important preprocessing step in many planning and navigation applications. It is, however, a time-consuming and repetitive task if done manually. This is true not only for…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-22 Eva Schnider , Antal Huck , Mireille Toranelli , Georg Rauter , Azhar Zam , Magdalena Müller-Gerbl , Philippe Cattin

Band structure unfolding is a key technique for analyzing and simplifying the electronic band structure of large, internally distorted supercells that break the primitive cell's translational symmetry. In this work, we present an efficient…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-02-10 Jingkai Quan , Nikita Rybin , Matthias Scheffler , Christian Carbogno

In this paper, we study a simple algorithm to construct asymptotically valid confidence regions for model parameters using the batch means method. The main idea is to cancel out the covariance matrix which is hard/costly to estimate. In the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-03 Yi Zhu , Jing Dong

Data-driven models are subject to model errors due to limited and noisy training data. Key to the application of such models in safety-critical domains is the quantification of their model error. Gaussian processes provide such a measure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

One of the most commonly used methods for forming confidence intervals for statistical inference is the empirical bootstrap, which is especially expedient when the limiting distribution of the estimator is unknown. However, despite its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Morgane Austern , Vasilis Syrgkanis
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