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In this paper, we investigate a stochastic approximation procedure $\left(X_n\right)_{n\ge 0}$ taking values in $R$. The process is adapted to a filtration $(F_n)_{n\ge 0}$ and satisfies the recursion…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Jianan Shi , Qing Yin , Yu Miao

We characterize the fundamental limits of high-dimensional mean testing under arbitrary truncation, where samples are drawn from the conditional distribution $P(\cdot \mid S)$ for an unknown truncation set $S$ that may hide up to an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Yuhao Wang , Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira , Themis Gouleakis

Robust estimation of location is a fundamental problem in statistics, particularly in scenarios where data contamination by outliers or model misspecification is a concern. In univariate settings, methods such as the sample median and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Alejandro Cholaquidis , Ricardo Fraiman , Leonardo Moreno , Gonzalo Perera

We obtain moderate deviations theorems and exponential (Bernstein type) concentration inequalities for "nonconventional" sums of the form $S_N=\sum_{n=1}^N (F(\xi_{q_1(n)},\xi_{q_2(n)},...,\xi_{q_\ell(n)})-\bar F)$.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Yeor Hafouta

The random field Curie-Weiss model is derived from the classical Curie-Weiss model by replacing the deterministic global magnetic field by random local magnetic fields. This opens up a new and interestingly rich phase structure. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-18 Matthias Löwe , Raphael Meiners

In this paper we study the moderate deviations for the magnetization of critical Curie-Weiss model. Chen, Fang and Shao considered a similar problem for non-critical model by using Stein method. By direct and simple arguments based on…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-31 Van Hao Can , Viet-Hung Pham

This paper addresses the following question: given a sample of i.i.d. random variables with finite variance, can one construct an estimator of the unknown mean that performs nearly as well as if the data were normally distributed? One of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-06 Stanislav Minsker

Let $(g_{n})_{n\geq 1}$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed positive random $d\times d$ matrices and consider the matrix product $G_n: = g_n \ldots g_1$. Under suitable conditions, we establish the Berry-Esseen bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-02 Hui Xiao , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

As estimators of location parameters, univariate trimmed means are well known for their robustness and efficiency. They can serve as robust alternatives to the sample mean while possessing high efficiencies at normal as well as heavy-tailed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yijun Zuo

Two-sample $U$-statistics are widely used in a broad range of applications, including those in the fields of biostatistics and econometrics. In this paper, we establish sharp Cram\'{e}r-type moderate deviation theorems for Studentized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Jinyuan Chang , Qi-Man Shao , Wen-Xin Zhou

We establish a moderate deviations principle (MDP) for the log-determinant $\log | \det (M_n) |$ of a Wigner matrix $M_n$ matching four moments with either the GUE or GOE ensemble. Further we establish Cram\'er--type moderate deviations and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-16 Hanna Döring , Peter Eichelsbacher

This paper deals with U-statistics of Poisson processes and multiple Wiener-It\^o integrals on the Poisson space. Via sharp bounds on the cumulants for both classes of random variables, moderate deviation principles, concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-13 Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

Let $(Z_n)_{n\geq0}$ be a supercritical Galton-Watson process. The Lotka-Nagaev estimator $Z_{n+1}/Z_n$ is a common estimator for the offspring mean.In this paper, we establish some Cram\'{e}r moderate deviation results for the Lotka-Nagaev…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Paul Doukhan , Xiequan Fan , Zhi-Qiang Gao

We prove moderate deviations bounds for the lower tail of the number of odd cycles in a $\calG(n, m)$ random graph. We show that the probability of decreasing triangle density by $t^3$, is $\exp(-\Theta(n^2 t^2))$ whenever $n^{-3/4} \ll t^3…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-07 Joe Neeman , Charles Radin , Lorenzo Sadun

Let $\{Z_n, n\geq 0\}$ be a supercritical branching process in an independent and identically distributed random environment. We prove Cram\'{e}r moderate deviations and Berry-Esseen bounds for $\ln (Z_{n+n_0}/Z_{n_0})$ % under the annealed…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Xiequan Fan , Haijuan Hu , Quansheng Liu

Consider the random walk $G_n : = g_n \ldots g_1$, $n \geq 1$, where $(g_n)_{n\geq 1}$ is a sequence of independent and identically distributed random elements with law $\mu$ on the general linear group ${\rm GL}(V)$ with $V=\mathbb R^d$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Hui Xiao , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

We introduce a new disorder regime for directed polymers in dimension $1+1$ that sits between the weak and strong disorder regimes. We call it the intermediate disorder regime. It is accessed by scaling the inverse temperature parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-28 Tom Alberts , Konstantin Khanin , Jeremy Quastel

We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a random vector based on i.i.d. observations and adversarial contamination. We introduce a multivariate extension of the trimmed-mean estimator and show its optimal performance under minimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Gabor Lugosi , Shahar Mendelson

The moderate deviation regime is concerned with the finite block length trade-off between communication cost and error for information processing tasks in the asymptotic regime, where the communication cost approaches a capacity-like…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-10-10 Navneeth Ramakrishnan , Marco Tomamichel , Mario Berta

We derive rates of convergence for limit theorems that reveal the intricate structure of the phase transitions in a mean-field version of the Blume-Emery-Griffith model. The theorems consist of scaling limits for the total spin. The model…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-15 Peter Eichelsbacher , Bastian Martschink