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Near the beginning of the century, Wright and Fisher devised an elegant, mathematically tractable model of gene reproduction and replacement that laid the foundation for contemporary population genetics. The Wright-Fisher model and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Todd L. Parsons

The classical Schrodinger bridge seeks the most likely probability law for a diffusion process, in path space, that matches marginals at two end points in time; the likelihood is quantified by the relative entropy between the sought law and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-19 Tryphon T. Georgiou , Michele Pavon

We show that stochastic processes with linear conditional expectations and quadratic conditional variances are Markov, and their transition probabilities are related to a three-parameter family of orthogonal polynomials which generalize the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Wlodzimierz Bryc , Jacek Wesolowski

Spatial birth-and-death processes with a finite number of particles are obtained as unique solutions to certain stochastic equations. Conditions are given for existence and uniqueness of such solutions, as well as for continuous dependence…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Viktor Bezborodov

Motivated by applications in systems biology, we seek a probabilistic framework based on Markov processes to represent intracellular processes. We review the formal relationships between different stochastic models referred to in the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-08-13 Mukhtar Ullah , Olaf Wolkenhauer

Linear fractional Galton-Watson branching processes in i.i.d.~random environment are, on the quenched level, intimately connected to random difference equations by the evolution of the random parameters of their linear fractional marginals.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Gerold Alsmeyer

This paper is a step in the direction of understanding the behavior of non-intersecting Brownian motions on the real line, when the number of particles becomes large. Consider 2k non-intersecting Brownian motions, all starting at the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mark Adler , Pierre van Moerbeke

We study a Markov birth-and-death process on a space of locally finite configurations, which describes an ecological model with a density dependent fecundity regulation mechanism. We establish existence and uniqueness of this process and…

We study large random matrices with i.i.d. entries conditioned to have prescribed row and column sums (margins), a problem connected to relative entropy minimization, Schr\"odinger bridges, contingency tables, and random graphs with given…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-02 Hanbaek Lyu , Sumit Mukherjee

We study the large deviations of current-type observables defined for Markov diffusion processes evolving in smooth bounded regions of $\mathbb{R}^d$ with reflections at the boundaries. We derive for these the correct boundary conditions…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-22 Emil Mallmin , Johan du Buisson , Hugo Touchette

We explore the concept of a consistent exchangeable survival process - a joint distribution of survival times in which the risk set evolves as a continuous-time Markov process with homogeneous transition rates. We show a correspondence with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-10 Walter Dempsey , Peter McCullagh

We consider partial differential equations (PDE) of drift-diffusion type in the unit interval, supplemented by either two conservation laws or by a conservation law and a further boundary condition. We treat two different cases: (i) uniform…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Olga Danilkina , Max O. Souza , Fabio A. C. C. Chalub

The perturbed GUE corners ensemble is the joint distribution of eigenvalues of all principal submatrices of a matrix $G+\mathrm{diag}(\mathbf{a})$, where $G$ is the random matrix from the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble (GUE), and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Leonid Petrov , Mikhail Tikhonov

We present a novel method for computing reachability probabilities of parametric discrete-time Markov chains whose transition probabilities are fractions of polynomials over a set of parameters. Our algorithm is based on two key…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-03-28 Nils Jansen , Florian Corzilius , Matthias Volk , Ralf Wimmer , Erika Ábrahám , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Bernd Becker

Let S be a denumerable state space and let P be a transition probability matrix on S. If a denumerable set M of nonnegative matrices is such that the sum of the matrices is equal to P, then we call M a partition of P. Let K denote the set…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-08 Thomas Kaijser

Continuous time random walks are non-Markovian stochastic processes, which are only partly characterized by single-time probability distributions. We derive a closed evolution equation for joint two-point probability density functions of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. Baule , R. Friedrich

In order to give quantitative estimates for approximating the ergodic limit, we investigate probabilistic limit behaviors of time-averaging estimators of numerical discretizations for a class of time-homogeneous Markov processes, by…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-13 Chuchu Chen , Tonghe Dang , Jialin Hong , Guoting Song

Dynamic processes in complex networks are crucial for better understanding collective behavior in human societies, biological systems, and the internet. In this paper, we first focus on the continuous Markov-based modeling of evolving…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Minyu Feng , Ziyan Zeng , Qin Li , Matjaž Perc , Jürgen Kurths

We find conditions required to achieve complete population transfer, via coherent population trapping, from an initial state to a designated final state at a designated time in a degenerate $n$-state atom, where transitions are caused by an…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Kh. Yu. Rakhimov , Kh. Kh. Shakov , J. H. McGuire

Branching processes are a class of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) with ubiquitous applications. A general difficulty in statistical inference under partially observed CTMC models arises in computing transition probabilities when the…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-10 Jason Xu , Vladimir N. Minin