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We explore two notions of stationary processes. The first is called a random-step Markov process in which the stationary process of states, $(X_i)_{i \in \mathbb{Z}}$ has a stationary coupling with an independent process on the positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-07 Neal Bushaw , Karen Gunderson , Steven Kalikow

We study convergence to equilibrium for a large class of Markov chains in random environment. The chains are sparse in the sense that in every row of the transition matrix $P$ the mass is essentially concentrated on few entries. Moreover,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Justin Salez

We consider random walks on discrete state spaces, such as general undirected graphs, where the random walkers are designed to approximate a target quantity over the network topology via sampling and neighborhood exploration in the form of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Vishwaraj Doshi , Jie Hu , Do Young Eun

We address the problem of estimating the mixing time $t_{\mathsf{mix}}$ of an arbitrary ergodic finite-state Markov chain from a single trajectory of length $m$. The reversible case was addressed by Hsu et al. [2019], who left the general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

The emergence of heavy-tailed statistics in complex systems is conventionally attributed to non-local stochastic jumps or non-Markovian memory. Here, we present a one-dimensional random walk where power-law behaviors arise instead from a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-25 Henrique S. Lima , Evaldo M. F. Curado

We consider reversible ergodic Markov chains with finite state space, and we introduce a new notion of quasi-stationary distribution that does not require the presence of any absorbing state. In our setting, the hitting time of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Roberto Fernandez , Francesco Manzo , Matteo Quattropani , Elisabetta Scoppola

We develop a new bidirectional algorithm for estimating Markov chain multi-step transition probabilities: given a Markov chain, we want to estimate the probability of hitting a given target state in $\ell$ steps after starting from a given…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-11-05 Siddhartha Banerjee , Peter Lofgren

In this paper we study the dynamics of nonlinear random walks. While typical random walks on networks consist of standard Markov chains whose static transition probabilities dictate the flow of random walkers through the network, nonlinear…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2019-02-25 Per Sebastian Skardal , Sabina Adhikari

In this note we derive the exact probability that a specific state in a two-state Markov chain is visited exactly $k$ times after $N$ transitions. We provide a closed-form solution for $\mathbb{P}(N_l = k \mid N)$, considering initial state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Mohammad Taha Shah

The rotor walk is a derandomized version of the random walk on a graph. On successive visits to any given vertex, the walker is routed to each of the neighboring vertices in some fixed cyclic order, rather than to a random sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-08 Alexander E. Holroyd , James Propp

The approximate uniform sampling of graph realizations with a given degree sequence is an everyday task in several social science, computer science, engineering etc. projects. One approach is using Markov chains. The best available current…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Péter L. Erdős , Tamás Róbert Mezei , István Miklós

A classical approach for approximating expectations of functions w.r.t. partially known distributions is to compute the average of function values along a trajectory of a Metropolis-Hastings (MH) Markov chain. A key part in the MH algorithm…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-20 Daniel Rudolf , Björn Sprungk

The parameters of a discrete stationary Markov model are transition probabilities between states. Traditionally, data consist in sequences of observed states for a given number of individuals over the whole observation period. In such a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-30 Alberto Pasanisi , Shuai Fu , Nicolas Bousquet

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

A finite ergodic Markov chain is said to exhibit cutoff if its distance to stationarity remains close to 1 over a certain number of iterations and then abruptly drops to near 0 on a much shorter time scale. Discovered in the context of card…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-10 Anna Ben-Hamou , Justin Salez

Simulated annealing - moving from a tractable distribution to a distribution of interest via a sequence of intermediate distributions - has traditionally been used as an inexact method of handling isolated modes in Markov chain samplers.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Radford M. Neal

Let $G$ be a finite group and let $H$ be a subgroup of $G$. The left-invariant random walk driven by a probability measure $w$ on $G$ is the Markov chain in which from any state $x \in G$, the probability of stepping to $xg \in G$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Edward Crane , Álvaro Gutiérrez , Erin Russell , Mark Wildon

This paper proposes a new type of recurrence where we divide the Markov chains into intervals that start when the chain enters into a subset A, then sample another subset B far away from A and end when the chain again return to A. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-24 Lars Holden

Applications of stochastic models often involve the evaluation of steady-state performance, which requires solving a set of balance equations. In most cases of interest, the number of equations is infinite or even uncountable. As a result,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-08 Shukai Li , Sanjay Mehrotra

This paper introduces new efficient algorithms for two problems: sampling conditional on vertex degrees in unweighted graphs, and sampling conditional on vertex strengths in weighted graphs. The algorithms can sample conditional on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-19 James Scott , Axel Gandy