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We present a physically-inspired model and an efficient algorithm to infer hierarchical rankings of nodes in directed networks. It assigns real-valued ranks to nodes rather than simply ordinal ranks, and it formalizes the assumption that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-14 Caterina De Bacco , Daniel B. Larremore , Cristopher Moore

Network inference approaches are now widely used in biological applications to probe regulatory relationships between molecular components such as genes or proteins. Many methods have been proposed for this setting, but the connections and…

Applications · Statistics 2014-06-03 Chris. J. Oates , Sach Mukherjee

Estimating how a treatment affects different individuals, known as heterogeneous treatment effect estimation, is an important problem in empirical sciences. In the last few years, there has been a considerable interest in adapting machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Christopher Tran , Keith Burghardt , Kristina Lerman , Elena Zheleva

This paper studies off-policy evaluation (OPE) in the presence of unmeasured confounders. Inspired by the two-way fixed effects regression model widely used in the panel data literature, we propose a two-way unmeasured confounding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Shuguang Yu , Shuxing Fang , Ruixin Peng , Zhengling Qi , Fan Zhou , Chengchun Shi

We consider a correlated random coefficient panel data model with two-way fixed effects and interactive fixed effects in a fixed T framework. We propose a two-way mean group (TW-MG) estimator for the expected value of the slope coefficient…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-15 Xun Lu , Liangjun Su

Classical causal and statistical inference methods typically assume the observed data consists of independent realizations. However, in many applications this assumption is inappropriate due to a network of dependences between units in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Rohit Bhattacharya , Daniel Malinsky , Ilya Shpitser

We improve a known result on the strong consistency of M-estimates of the regression parameters in a linear model for independent and identically distributed random errors under some mild conditions.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Xinghui Wang , Shuhe Hu

Recent advances in causal inference have seen the development of methods which make use of the predictive power of machine learning algorithms. In this paper, we develop novel double machine learning (DML) procedures for panel data in which…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-03 Paul S. Clarke , Annalivia Polselli

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effect is an important task in causal inference with wide application fields. It has also attracted increasing attention from machine learning community in recent years. In this work, we reinterpret the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-26 Ran Chen , Hanzhong Liu

Measuring treatment effects in observational studies is challenging because of confounding bias. Confounding occurs when a variable affects both the treatment and the outcome. Traditional methods such as propensity score matching estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-23 Bevan I. Smith , Charles Chimedza

A fundamental aspect of relational data, such as from a social network, is the possibility of dependence among the relations. In particular, the relations between members of one pair of nodes may have an effect on the relations between…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-06 Peter D. Hoff

To tackle ever-increasing city traffic congestion problems, researchers have proposed deep learning models to aid decision-makers in the traffic control domain. Although the proposed models have been remarkably improved in recent years,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-10 Hyunwook Lee , Cheonbok Park , Seungmin Jin , Hyeshin Chu , Jaegul Choo , Sungahn Ko

Point process modeling is gaining increasing attention, as point process type data are emerging in numerous scientific applications. In this article, motivated by a neuronal spike trains study, we propose a novel point process regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-10 Xiwei Tang , Lexin Li

We study a model of learning on social networks in dynamic environments, describing a group of agents who are each trying to estimate an underlying state that varies over time, given access to weak signals and the estimates of their social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-07-19 Rafael M. Frongillo , Grant Schoenebeck , Omer Tamuz

We develop new econometric methods for estimation and inference in high-dimensional panel data models with interactive fixed effects. Our approach can be regarded as a non-trivial extension of the very popular common correlated effects…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-11 Maximilian Ruecker , Michael Vogt , Oliver Linton , Christopher Walsh

Researchers now routinely use AI or other machine learning methods to estimate latent variables of economic interest, then plug-in the estimates as covariates in a regression. We show both theoretically and empirically that naively treating…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-01 Laura Battaglia , Timothy Christensen , Stephen Hansen , Szymon Sacher

Motivated by value function estimation in reinforcement learning, we study statistical linear inverse problems, i.e., problems where the coefficients of a linear system to be solved are observed in noise. We consider penalized estimators,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Bernardo Avila Pires , Csaba Szepesvari

Influence functions approximate the effect of training samples in test-time predictions and have a wide variety of applications in machine learning interpretability and uncertainty estimation. A commonly-used (first-order) influence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Samyadeep Basu , Philip Pope , Soheil Feizi

Estimating network formation models with degree heterogeneity raises two problems in empirical networks. First, agents that send no links, receive no links, or link to all remaining agents can make the fixed-effects MLE fail to exist.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-04 Zizhong Yan , Jingrong Li , Yi Zhang

We introduce a dynamic distribution regression panel data model with heterogeneous coefficients across units. The objects of primary interest are functionals of these coefficients, including predicted one-step-ahead and stationary…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-31 Ivan Fernandez-Val , Wayne Yuan Gao , Yuan Liao , Francis Vella