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Related papers: The boundary non-Crossing probabilities for Slepia…

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We propose an approach to compute the boundary crossing probabilities for a class of diffusion processes which can be expressed as piecewise monotone (not necessarily one-to-one) functionals of a standard Brownian motion. This class…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Liqun Wang , Klaus Pötzelberger

For $0<q< d$ fixed let $W^{[q,d]}=(W^{[q,d]}_t)_{t\in {[q,d]}}$ be a $(q,d)$-Slepian-process defined as centered, stationary Gaussian process with continuous sample paths and covariance \begin{align*} C_{W^{[q,d]}}(s,s+t) =…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Wolfgang Bischoff , Andreas Gegg

We derive explicit formulas for probabilities of Brownian motion with jumps crossing linear or piecewise linear boundaries in any finite interval. We then use these formulas to approximate the boundary crossing probabilities for general…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-16 Jinghai Shao , Liqun Wang

In this paper we study approximations for boundary crossing probabilities for the moving sums of i.i.d. normal random variables. We propose approximating a discrete time problem with a continuous time problem allowing us to apply developed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Jack Noonan , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

In this paper we investigate the boundary non-crossing probabilities of a fractional Brownian motion considering some general deterministic trend function. We derive bounds for non-crossing probabilities and discuss the case of a large…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-01 Enkelejd Hashorva , Yuliya Mishura , Oleg Seleznjev

We propose an approach to approximate the boundary crossing probabilities for general one-dimensional diffusion processes, and derive the convergence rate for this approximation scheme. There results are based on the explicit expression of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-28 Jinghai Shao , Liqun Wang

The boundary crossing probability of a Poisson process with $n$ jumps is a fundamental quantity with numerous applications. We present a fast $O(n^2 \log n)$ algorithm to calculate this probability for arbitrary upper and lower boundaries.

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-16 Amit Moscovich , Boaz Nadler

This paper derives several formulae for the probability that a Wiener process, which has a stochastic drift and random variance, crosses a one-sided stochastic boundary within a finite time interval. A non-explicit formula is first obtained…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-04 Yoann Potiron

In this paper, we establish a relationship between the asymptotic form of conditional boundary crossing probabilities and first passage time densities for diffusion processes. Namely, we show that, under broad assumptions, the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-18 Konstantin A. Borovkov , Andrew N. Downes

One problem of wide interest involves estimating expected crossing-times. Several tools have been developed to solve this problem beginning with the works of Wald and the theory of sequential analysis. An extension of his approach is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Mark Brown , Victor de la Pena , Tony Sit

We show that simple explicit formulas can be obtained for several relevant quantities related to the laws of the uniformly sampled Brownian bridge, Brownian meander and three dimensional Bessel process. To prove such results, we use the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-11 Mathieu Rosenbaum , Marc Yor

We study boundary non-crossing probabilities $$ P_{f,u} := \mathrm P\big(\forall t\in \mathbb T\ X_t + f(t)\le u(t)\big) $$ for continuous centered Gaussian process $X$ indexed by some arbitrary compact separable metric space $\mathbb T$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-16 Enkelejd Hashorva , Yuliya Mishura , Georgiy Shevchenko

Motivated by an approximation problem from mathematical finance, we analyse the stability of the boundary crossing probability for the multivariate Brownian motion process, with respect to small changes of the boundary. Under broad…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-11 S. McKinlay , K. Borovkov

The independent interval approximation of the excursion time distributions for Gaussian processes has been used in physics and engineering. A new but related approach matches the expected value of the clipped Slepian to the expected value…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Henrik Bengtsson , Krzysztof Podgorski

We analyze here different forms of fractional relaxation equations of order {\nu}\in(0,1) and we derive their solutions both in analytical and in probabilistic forms. In particular we show that these solutions can be expressed as crossing…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-14 Luisa Beghin

Several classical results on boundary crossing probabilities of Brownian motion and random walks are extended to asymptotically Gaussian random fields, which include sums of i.i.d. random variables with multidimensional indices,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Hock Peng Chan , Tze Leung Lai

We propose a discrete time discrete space Markov chain approximation with a Brownian bridge correction for computing curvilinear boundary crossing probabilities of a general diffusion process on a finite time interval. For broad classes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Vincent Liang , Konstantin Borovkov

The paper deals with the asymptotic behavior of the bridge of a Gaussian process conditioned to stay in $n$ fixed points at $n$ fixed past instants. In particular, functional large deviation results are stated for small time. Several…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-06 L. Caramellino , B. Pacchiarotti

We introduce and study the model of simply generated non-crossing partitions, which are, roughly speaking, chosen at random according to a sequence of weights. This framework encompasses the particular case of uniform non-crossing…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-30 Igor Kortchemski , Cyril Marzouk

Let B_0(s,t) be a Brownian pillow with continuous sample paths, and let h,u:[0,1]^2\to R be two measurable functions. In this paper we derive upper and lower bounds for the boundary non-crossing probability \psi(u;h):=P{B_0(s,t)+h(s,t) \le…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-14 Enkelejd Hashorva
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