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We introduce Probabilistic Dependency Graphs (PDGs), a new class of directed graphical models. PDGs can capture inconsistent beliefs in a natural way and are more modular than Bayesian Networks (BNs), in that they make it easier to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-22 Oliver Richardson , Joseph Y Halpern

We consider situations where data have been collected such that the sampling depends on the outcome of interest and possibly further covariates, as for instance in case-control studies. Graphical models represent assumptions about the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-06 Vanessa Didelez , Svend Kreiner , Niels Keiding

The use of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) to represent conditional independence relations among random variables has proved fruitful in a variety of ways. Recursive structural equation models are one kind of DAG model. However,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Peter L. Spirtes

In recent years, there have been intense research efforts to develop efficient methods for probabilistic inference in probabilistic influence diagrams or belief networks. Many people have concluded that the best methods are those based on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Ross D. Shachter , Stig K. Andersen , Kim-Leng Poh

A graphical model is a statistical model that is associated to a graph whose nodes correspond to variables of interest. The edges of the graph reflect allowed conditional dependencies among the variables. Graphical models admit…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-09 Mathias Drton , Marloes H. Maathuis

Research in transportation frequently involve modelling and predicting attributes of events that occur at regular intervals. The event could be arrival of a bus at a bus stop, the volume of a traffic at a particular point, the demand at a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-08-14 Narayanan U. Edakunni , Aditi Raghunathan , Abhishek Tripathi , John Handley , Fredric Roulland

Numerous formalisms and dedicated algorithms have been designed in the last decades to model and solve decision making problems. Some formalisms, such as constraint networks, can express "simple" decision problems, while others are designed…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-10-13 C. Pralet , T. Schiex , G. Verfaillie

We provide a framework for modeling social network formation through conditional multinomial logit models from discrete choice and random utility theory, in which each new edge is viewed as a "choice" made by a node to connect to another…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-22 Jan Overgoor , Austin R. Benson , Johan Ugander

We outline a representation for discrete multivariate distributions in terms of interventional potential functions that are globally normalized. This representation can be used to model the effects of interventions, and the independence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-05-14 Mark Schmidt , Kevin Murphy

Bayesian networks are directed acyclic graphs representing independence relationships among a set of random variables. A random variable can be regarded as a set of exhaustive and mutually exclusive propositions. We argue that there are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Dekang Lin

Gaussian graphical models represent the backbone of the statistical toolbox for analyzing continuous multivariate systems. However, due to the intrinsic properties of the multivariate normal distribution, use of this model family may hide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Henrik Nyman , Johan Pensar , Jukka Corander

Graph Neural Networks (GNN) have recently gained popularity in the forecasting domain due to their ability to model complex spatial and temporal patterns in tasks such as traffic forecasting and region-based demand forecasting. Most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Abishek Sriramulu , Nicolas Fourrier , Christoph Bergmeir

Dynamic networks consist of interconnected dynamical systems. The subsystems can be viewed as transformations of input signals into output signals, where signals flow from one system into another through interconnections. The signal flows…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-17 E. M. M. , Kivits , Paul M. J. Van den Hof

Dependency networks (Heckerman et al., 2000) are potential probabilistic graphical models for systems comprising a large number of variables. Like Bayesian networks, the structure of a dependency network is represented by a directed graph,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-05 Kazuya Takabatake , Shotaro Akaho

We describe a graphical model for probabilistic relationships---an alternative to the Bayesian network---called a dependency network. The graph of a dependency network, unlike a Bayesian network, is potentially cyclic. The probability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 David Heckerman , David Maxwell Chickering , Christopher Meek , Robert Rounthwaite , Carl Kadie

The lack of studying the complex organization of directed network usually limits to the understanding of underlying relationship between network structures and functions. Structural controllability and structural predictability, two…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-31 Fei Jing , Chuang Liu , Jian-Liang Wu , Zi-Ke Zhang

Random graphs are more and more used for modeling real world networks such as evolutionary networks of proteins. For this purpose we look at two different models and analyze how properties like connectedness and degree distributions are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Klemens Taglieber , Uta Freiberg

The transition away from carbon-based energy sources poses several challenges for the operation of electricity distribution systems. Increasing shares of distributed energy resources (e.g. renewable energy generators, electric vehicles) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-15 Francesco Fusco , Bradley Eck , Robert Gormally , Mark Purcell , Seshu Tirupathi

The structure of large-scale social networks has predominantly been articulated using generative models, a form of average-case analysis. This chapter surveys recent proposals of more robust models of such networks. These models posit…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-08-03 Tim Roughgarden , C. Seshadhri

The analysis of practical probabilistic models on the computer demands a convenient representation for the available knowledge and an efficient algorithm to perform inference. An appealing representation is the influence diagram, a network…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Ross D. Shachter