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We examine the linear regression problem in a challenging high-dimensional setting with correlated predictors where the vector of coefficients can vary from sparse to dense. In this setting, we propose a combination of probabilistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-13 Roman Parzer , Peter Filzmoser , Laura Vana-Gür

Single Index Models (SIMs) are simple yet flexible semi-parametric models for classification and regression. Response variables are modeled as a nonlinear, monotonic function of a linear combination of features. Estimation in this context…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-01 Ravi Ganti , Nikhil Rao , Rebecca M. Willett , Robert Nowak

This paper introduces and develops a novel variable importance score function in the context of ensemble learning and demonstrates its appeal both theoretically and empirically. Our proposed score function is simple and more straightforward…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-01-27 Ernest Fokoué

The quantification and inference of predictive importance for exposure covariates have recently gained significant attention in the context of interpretable machine learning. Contemporary scientific investigations often involve data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-31 Zitao Wang , Nian Si , Zijian Guo , Molei Liu

Value-at-Risk (VaR) estimation at high confidence levels is inherently a rare-event problem and is particularly sensitive to tail behavior and model misspecification. This paper studies the performance of two simulation-based VaR estimation…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-16 Aditri

While norm-based and leverage-score-based methods have been extensively studied for identifying "important" data points in linear models, analogous tools for nonlinear models remain significantly underdeveloped. By introducing the concept…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Prakash Palanivelu Rajmohan , Fred Roosta

Interval-valued data receives much attention due to its wide applications in the fields of finance, econometrics, meteorology and medicine. However, most regression models developed for interval-valued data assume observations are mutually…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-31 Tingting Huang

Sparse linear regression -- finding an unknown vector from linear measurements -- is now known to be possible with fewer samples than variables, via methods like the LASSO. We consider the multiple sparse linear regression problem, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-28 Ali Jalali , Pradeep Ravikumar , Sujay Sanghavi

The focus of modern biomedical studies has gradually shifted to explanation and estimation of joint effects of high dimensional predictors on disease risks. Quantifying uncertainty in these estimates may provide valuable insight into…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Zhe Fei , Yi Li

In modern data analysis, sparse model selection becomes inevitable once the number of predictors variables is very high. It is well-known that model selection procedures like the Lasso or Boosting tend to overfit on real data. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Tino Werner

Importance sampling is a well developed method in statistics. Given a random variable $X$, the problem of estimating its expected value $\mu$ is addressed. The standard approach is to use the sample mean as an estimator $\bar x$. In…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-09 Georg Hofmann

Quantifying variable importance is essential for answering high-stakes questions in fields like genetics, public policy, and medicine. Current methods generally calculate variable importance for a given model trained on a given dataset.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Jon Donnelly , Srikar Katta , Cynthia Rudin , Edward P. Browne

Variable selection and dimension reduction are two commonly adopted approaches for high-dimensional data analysis, but have traditionally been treated separately. Here we propose an integrated approach, called sparse gradient learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-07-02 Gui-Bo Ye , Xiaohui Xie

The present work provides an application of Global Sensitivity Analysis to supervised machine learning methods such as Random Forests. These methods act as black boxes, selecting features in high--dimensional data sets as to provide…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-22 Giulia Vannucci , Roberta Siciliano , Andrea Saltelli

Machine learning optimization often depends on stochastic gradient descent, where the precision of gradient estimation is vital for model performance. Gradients are calculated from mini-batches formed by uniformly selecting data samples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Corentin Salaün , Xingchang Huang , Iliyan Georgiev , Niloy J. Mitra , Gurprit Singh

Accurate identification of important objects in the scene is a prerequisite for safe and high-quality decision making and motion planning of intelligent agents (e.g., autonomous vehicles) that navigate in complex and dynamic environments.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Jiachen Li , Haiming Gang , Hengbo Ma , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Chiho Choi

High dimensional Vector Autoregressions (VAR) have received a lot of interest recently due to novel applications in health, engineering, finance and the social sciences. Three issues arise when analyzing VAR's: (a) The high dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Sagnik Halder , George Michailidis

Reliable estimation of feature contributions in machine learning models is essential for trust, transparency and regulatory compliance, especially when models are proprietary or otherwise operate as black boxes. While permutation-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-24 Albert Dorador

In this paper, we consider the classic measurement error regression scenario in which our independent, or design, variables are observed with several sources of additive noise. We will show that our motivating example's replicated…

Applications · Statistics 2012-07-10 David J. Biagioni , Ryan Elmore , Wesley Jones

Among the most popular variable selection procedures in high-dimensional regression, Lasso provides a solution path to rank the variables and determines a cut-off position on the path to select variables and estimate coefficients. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 X. Jessie Jeng , Huimin Peng , Wenbin Lu
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