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We propose a method for inferring the conditional independence graph (CIG) of a high-dimensional Gaussian vector time series (discrete-time process) from a finite-length observation. By contrast to existing approaches, we do not rely on a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-28 Alexander Jung

A pattern of a sequence is a sequence of integer indices with each index describing the order of first occurrence of the respective symbol in the original sequence. In a recent paper, tight general bounds on the block entropy of patterns of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-11-15 Gil I. Shamir

We construct several new spaces of quantum sequences and their quantum families of maps in sense of So{\l}tan. Then, we introduce noncommutative distributional symmetries associated with these quantum maps and study simple relations between…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2015-05-12 Weihua Liu

Conformal prediction is a powerful post-hoc framework for uncertainty quantification that provides distribution-free coverage guarantees. However, these guarantees crucially rely on the assumption of exchangeability. This assumption is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 M. Stocker , W. Małgorzewicz , M. Fontana , S. Ben Taieb

Predictive constructions are a powerful way of characterizing the probability law of stochastic processes with certain forms of invariance, such as exchangeability or Markov exchangeability. When de Finetti-like representation theorems are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-16 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone

We consider a general method for the approximation of the distribution of a process conditioned to not hit a given set. Existing methods are based on particle system that are failable, in the sense that, in many situations , they are not…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 William Oçafrain , Denis Villemonais

Let $\bm X=(X_1,...,X_d)$ be a random vector, whose components are not necessarily independent nor are they required to have identical distribution functions $F_1,...,F_d$. Denote by $N_s$ the number of exceedances among $X_1,...,X_d$ above…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-09 Michael Falk , Diana Tichy

In this paper we investigate translated cone exchange transformations, a new family of piecewise isometries and renormalize its first return map to a subset of its partition. As a consequence we show that the existence of an embedding of an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Pedro Peres , Ana Rodrigues

It is well known that, under standard assumptions, initial value problems for fractional ordinary differential equations involving Caputo-type derivatives are well posed in the sense that a unique solution exists and that this solution…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-09-04 Kai Diethelm

We investigate how to model exchangeability with choice functions. Exchangeability is a structural assessment on a sequence of uncertain variables. We show how such assessments are a special indifference assessment, and how that leads to a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-03-07 Arthur Van Camp , Gert de Cooman

General Central limit theorem deals with weak limits (in type) of sums of row-elements of array random variables. In some situations as in the invariance principle problem, the sums may include only parts of the row-elements. For strictly…

Given well-shuffled data, can we determine whether the data items are statistically (in)dependent? Formally, we consider the problem of testing whether a set of exchangeable random variables are independent. We will show that this is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Marcus Hutter

We prove bounds on statistical distances between high-dimensional exchangeable mixture distributions (which we call \emph{permutation mixtures}) and their i.i.d. counterparts. Our results are based on a novel method for controlling $\chi^2$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Yanjun Han , Jonathan Niles-Weed

Exchangeable models for countable vertex-labeled graphs cannot replicate the large sample behaviors of sparsity and power law degree distribution observed in many network datasets. Out of this mathematical impossibility emerges the question…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-24 Harry Crane , Walter Dempsey

Introduced by M\"uller et al. in their seminal paper \cite{muller}, fractional stochastic dominance (SD) offers a nuanced approach to ordering distributions. In this paper, we propose a fundamentally new framework by replacing the fixed…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-13 Ehsan Azmoodeh , Ozan Hür

Weak convergence of maxima of dependent sequences of identically distributed continuous random variables is studied under normalizing sequences arising as subsequences of the normalizing sequences from an associated iid sequence. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Klaus Herrmann , Marius Hofert , Johanna G. Neslehova

A crucial assumption in most statistical learning theory is that samples are independently and identically distributed (i.i.d.). However, for many real applications, the i.i.d. assumption does not hold. We consider learning problems in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-10 Rui Ray Zhang , Xingwu Liu , Yuyi Wang , Liwei Wang

Sets of desirable gambles constitute a quite general type of uncertainty model with an interesting geometrical interpretation. We give a general discussion of such models and their rationality criteria. We study exchangeability assessments…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-10 Gert de Cooman , Erik Quaeghebeur

Probabilistic argumentation is an alternative to causal modeling with Bayesian networks. Probabilistic argumentation structures (PAS) are defined on families of compatible frames (f.c.f). This is a generalization of the usual multivariate…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-09 Juerg Kohlas

We obtain an almost sure bound for oscillation rates of empirical distribution functions for stationary causal processes. For short-range dependent processes, the oscillation rate is shown to be optimal in the sense that it is as sharp as…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Wei Biao Wu
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