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Modelling, parameter identification, and simulation play an important role in systems biology. Usually, the goal is to determine parameter values that minimise the difference between experimental measurement values and model predictions in…
We prove identifiability of parameters for a broad class of random graph mixture models. These models are characterized by a partition of the set of graph nodes into latent (unobservable) groups. The connectivities between nodes are…
Accurate representations of unknown and sub-grid physical processes through parameterizations (or closure) in numerical simulations with quantified uncertainty are critical for resolving the coarse-grained partial differential equations…
Structural parameter identifiability is a property of a differential model with parameters that allows for the parameters to be determined from the model equations in the absence of noise. One of the standard approaches to assessing this…
This paper studies the problems of identifiability and estimation in high-dimensional nonparametric latent structure models. We introduce an identifiability theorem that generalizes existing conditions, establishing a unified framework…
State-space models are dynamical systems defined by a latent and an observed process. In ecology, stochastic state-space models in discrete time are most often used to describe the imperfectly observed dynamics of population sizes or animal…
A novel framework is introduced to formalize identifiability in well-specified but ill-posed linear regression models. The framework is distribution-free and accommodates highly correlated features that may or may not relate to the…
Mathematical modelling is a widely used approach to understand and interpret clinical trial data. This modelling typically involves fitting mechanistic mathematical models to data from individual trial participants. Despite the widespread…
Heterogeneity is a dominant factor in the behaviour of many biological processes. Despite this, it is common for mathematical and statistical analyses to ignore biological heterogeneity as a source of variability in experimental data.…
This technical report considers worst-case robustness analysis of a network of locally controlled uncertain systems with uncertain parameter vectors belonging to the ellipsoid sets found by identification procedures. In order to deal with…
Deciding feasibility of large systems of linear equations and inequalities is one of the most fundamental algorithmic tasks. However, due to data inaccuracies or modeling errors, in practical applications one often faces linear systems that…
Using mathematical models to assist in the interpretation of experiments is becoming increasingly important in research across applied mathematics, and in particular in biology and ecology. In this context, accurate parameter estimation is…
We study the robustness of system estimation to parametric perturbations in system dynamics and initial conditions. We define the problem of sensitivity-based parametric uncertainty quantification in dynamical system estimation. The main…
Representing and quantifying uncertainty in physical parameterisations is a central challenge in weather and climate modelling, and approaches are often developed separately for different timescales. Here, we introduce a unified framework…
Structural identifiability is an important property of parametric ODE models. When conducting an experiment and inferring the parameter value from the time-series data, we want to know if the value is globally, locally, or non-identifiable.…
Models for complex systems are often built with more parameters than can be uniquely identified by available data. Because of the variety of causes, identifying a lack of parameter identifiability typically requires mathematical…
Linear compartmental models are a widely used tool for analyzing systems arising in biology, medicine, and more. In such settings, it is essential to know whether model parameters can be recovered from experimental data. This is the…
We discuss issues of structural and practical identifiability of partially observed differential equations which are often applied in systems biology. The development of mathematical methods to investigate structural non-identifiability has…
Successful predictions are among the most compelling validations of any model. Extracting falsifiable predictions from nonlinear multiparameter models is complicated by the fact that such models are commonly sloppy, possessing sensitivities…
This paper presents a data-driven algorithm for simultaneous system identification and parameter estimation in control-affine nonlinear systems. Parameter estimation is achieved by training a data-driven predictive model using state-action…