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A number of algorithms have been developed to solve probabilistic inference problems on belief networks. These algorithms can be divided into two main groups: exact techniques which exploit the conditional independence revealed when the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Ross D. Shachter , Mark Alan Peot

We study the fundamental tradeoffs between statistical accuracy and computational tractability in the analysis of high dimensional heterogeneous data. As examples, we study sparse Gaussian mixture model, mixture of sparse linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Jianqing Fan , Han Liu , Zhaoran Wang , Zhuoran Yang

Recovering Markov boundary -- the minimal set of variables that maximizes predictive performance for a response variable -- is crucial in many applications. While recent advances improve upon traditional constraint-based techniques by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Khoa Nguyen , Bao Duong , Viet Huynh , Thin Nguyen

The p_1 model is a directed random graph model used to describe dyadic interactions in a social network in terms of effects due to differential attraction (popularity) and expansiveness, as well as an additional effect due to reciprocation.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Sonja Petrović , Alessandro Rinaldo , Stephen E. Fienberg

In this paper we study saturated fractions of factorial designs under the perspective of Algebraic Statistics. We define a criterion to check whether a fraction is saturated or not with respect to a given model. The proposed criterion is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-01 Roberto Fontana , Fabio Rapallo , Maria-Piera Rogantin

To improve the efficiency of Monte Carlo estimation, practitioners are turning to biased Markov chain Monte Carlo procedures that trade off asymptotic exactness for computational speed. The reasoning is sound: a reduction in variance due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-03 Jackson Gorham , Lester Mackey

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a powerful tool for sampling from complex probability distributions. Despite its versatility, MCMC often suffers from strong autocorrelation and the negative sign problem, leading to slowing down the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-05 Synge Todo

We introduce the Markov missing graph (MMG), a novel framework that imputes missing data based on undirected graphs. MMG leverages conditional independence relationships to locally decompose the imputation model. To establish the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 Yanjiao Yang , Yen-Chi Chen

We comment on some conceptual and and technical problems related to computational mechanics, point out some errors in several papers, and straighten out some wrong priority claims. We present explicitly the correct algorithm for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-09 Peter Grassberger

Order-preserving couplings are elegant tools for obtaining robust estimates of the time-dependent and stationary distributions of Markov processes that are too complex to be analyzed exactly. The starting point of this paper is to study…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-02 Lasse Leskelä

A wide class of ``counting'' problems have been studied in Computer Science. Three typical examples are the estimation of - (i) the permanent of an $n\times n$ 0-1 matrix, (ii) the partition function of certain $n-$ particle Statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ravi Kannan

Discrete time random dynamical systems with countably many maps which admit countable Markov partitions on complete metric spaces such that the resulting Markov systems are uniform continuous and contractive are considered. A notion of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Ivan Werner

We present in this paper a novel non-parametric approach useful for clustering Markov processes. We introduce a pre-processing step consisting in mapping multivariate independent and identically distributed samples from random variables to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Gautier Marti , Frank Nielsen , Philippe Very , Philippe Donnat

Statistical models that involve latent Markovian state processes have become immensely popular tools for analysing time series and other sequential data. However, the plethora of model formulations, the inconsistent use of terminology, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-04 Sina Mews , Jan-Ole Koslik , Roland Langrock

We provide a comprehensive overview of latent Markov (LM) models for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data. The main assumption behind these models is that the response variables are conditionally independent given a latent process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-16 F. Bartolucci , A. Farcomeni , F. Pennoni

This paper introduces new efficient algorithms for two problems: sampling conditional on vertex degrees in unweighted graphs, and sampling conditional on vertex strengths in weighted graphs. The algorithms can sample conditional on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-19 James Scott , Axel Gandy

Marginal models involve restrictions on the conditional and marginal association structure of a set of categorical variables. They generalize log-linear models for contingency tables, which are the fundamental tools for modelling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-10 Tamas Rudas , Wicher Bergsma

With a sequence of regressions, one may generate joint probability distributions. One starts with a joint, marginal distribution of context variables having possibly a concentration graph structure and continues with an ordered sequence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Kayvan Sadeghi , Nanny Wermuth

Predictive constructions are a powerful way of characterizing the probability law of stochastic processes with certain forms of invariance, such as exchangeability or Markov exchangeability. When de Finetti-like representation theorems are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-16 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone

This survey article gives an elementary introduction to the algebraic approach to Markov process duality, as opposed to the pathwise approach. In the algebraic approach, a Markov generator is written as the sum of products of simpler…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-21 Anja Sturm , Jan M. Swart , Florian Völlering