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We consider Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for calculating conditional p values of statistical models for count data arising in Box-Behnken designs. The statistical model we consider is a discrete version of the first-order model in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Satoshi Aoki , Takayuki Hibi , Hidefumi Ohsugi

Markov basis for statistical model of contingency tables gives a useful tool for performing the conditional test of the model via Markov chain Monte Carlo method. In this paper we derive explicit forms of Markov bases for change point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-14 Mitsunori Ogawa , Akimichi Takemura

We consider conditional exact tests of factor effects in designed experiments for discrete response variables. Similarly to the analysis of contingency tables, Markov chain Monte Carlo methods can be used for performing exact tests,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-14 Satoshi Aoki

The methodology of Markov basis initiated by Diaconis and Sturmfels(1998) stimulated active research on Markov bases for more than ten years. It also motivated improvements of algorithms for Grobner basis computation for toric ideals, such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-02 Hisayuki Hara , Satoshi Aoki , Akimichi Takemura

We consider conditional tests for non-negative discrete exponential families. We develop two Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms which allow us to sample from the conditional space and to perform approximated tests. The first…

Computation · Statistics 2017-07-27 Roberto Fontana , Francesca Romana Crucinio

In this paper we study the computation of Markov bases for contingency tables whose cell entries have an upper bound. In general a Markov basis for unbounded contingency table under a certain model differs from a Markov basis for bounded…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-01-19 Fabio Rapallo , Ruriko Yoshida

Markov chain models are used in various fields, such behavioral sciences or econometrics. Although the goodness of fit of the model is usually assessed by large sample approximation, it is desirable to use conditional tests if the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-11 Akimichi Takemura , Hisayuki Hara

To evaluate a fitting of a statistical model to given data, calculating a conditional $p$ value by a Markov chain Monte Carlo method is one of the effective approaches. For this purpose, a Markov basis plays an important role because it…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-06 Satoshi Aoki , Takayuki Hibi

We present a computational approach for generating Markov bases for multi-way contingency tables whose cells counts might be constrained by fixed marginals and by lower and upper bounds. Our framework includes tables with structural zeros…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-21 Adrian Dobra

We consider Markov basis arising from fractional factorial designs with three-level factors. Once we have a Markov basis, $p$ values for various conditional tests are estimated by the Markov chain Monte Carlo procedure. For designed…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-11-22 Satoshi Aoki , Akimichi Takemura

In two-way contingency tables we sometimes find that frequencies along the diagonal cells are relatively larger(or smaller) compared to off-diagonal cells, particularly in square tables with the common categories for the rows and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-29 Hisayuki Hara , Akimichi Takemura , Ruriko Yoshida

In this paper, we evaluate the challenges and best practices associated with the Markov bases approach to sampling from conditional distributions. We provide insights and clarifications after 25 years of the publication of the fundamental…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 Félix Almendra-Hernández , Jesús A. De Loera , Sonja Petrović

Markov kernels play a decisive role in probability and mathematical statistics theories, and are an extension of the concepts of sigma-field and statistic. Concepts such as independence, sufficiency, completeness, ancillarity or conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-28 Agustín G. Nogales

We consider conditional exact tests of factor effects in designed experiments for discrete response variables. Similarly to the analysis of contingency tables, a Markov chain Monte Carlo method can be used for performing exact tests, when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Satoshi Aoki , Akimichi Takemura

It is known that a Markov basis of the binary graph model of a graph $G$ corresponds to a set of binomial generators of cut ideals $I_{\widehat{G}}$ of the suspension $\widehat{G}$ of $G$. In this paper, we give another application of cut…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-15 Satoshi Aoki , Takayuki Hibi , Hidefumi Ohsugi

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

We give an expository review of applications of computational algebraic statistics to design and analysis of fractional factorial experiments based on our recent works. For the purpose of design, the techniques of Gr\"obner bases and…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-09 Satoshi Aoki , Akimichi Takemura

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have become a cornerstone of many modern scientific analyses by providing a straightforward approach to numerically estimate uncertainties in the parameters of a model using a sequence of random…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-03-10 Joshua S. Speagle

Markov chains are a class of probabilistic models that have achieved widespread application in the quantitative sciences. This is in part due to their versatility, but is compounded by the ease with which they can be probed analytically.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Eddie Seabrook , Laurenz Wiskott

Constraint-based methods are one of the main approaches for causal structure learning that are particularly valued as they are asymptotically guaranteed to find a structure that is Markov equivalent to the causal graph of the system. On the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-24 Ehsan Mokhtarian , Sina Akbari , AmirEmad Ghassami , Negar Kiyavash
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