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We develop a general framework for extracting highly uniform bounds on local stability for stochastic processes in terms of information on fluctuations or crossings. This includes a large class of martingales: As a corollary of our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-05 Morenikeji Neri , Thomas Powell

Characterising the capacity region for a network can be extremely difficult. Even with independent sources, determining the capacity region can be as hard as the open problem of characterising all information inequalities. The majority of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-07-12 Satyajit Thakor , Terence Chan , Alex Grant

In this work, we consider the problem of building distribution-free prediction intervals with finite-sample conditional coverage guarantees. Conformal prediction (CP) is an increasingly popular framework for building such intervals with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Rohan Hore , Rina Foygel Barber

This work provides some general theorems about unconditional and conditional weak convergence of empirical processes in the case of Poisson sampling designs. The theorems presented in this work are stronger than previously published…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Leo Pasquazzi

This work considers the problem of resilient consensus where stochastic values of trust between agents are available. Specifically, we derive a unified mathematical framework to characterize convergence, deviation of the consensus from the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Michal Yemini , Angelia Nedić , Andrea Goldsmith , Stephanie Gil

Three similar convergence notions are considered. Two of them are the long established notions of convergent dynamics and incremental stability. The other is the more recent notion of contraction analysis. All three convergence notions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-06 Duc N. Tran , Björn S. Rüffer , Christopher M. Kellett

We establish weak limits for the empirical entropy regularized optimal transport cost, the expectation of the empirical plan and the conditional expectation. Our results require only uniform boundedness of the cost function and no…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-18 Alberto González-Sanz , Shayan Hundrieser

Sublinear expectations for uncertain processes have received a lot of attention recently, particularly methods to extend a downward-continuous sublinear expectation on the bounded finitary functions to one on the non-finitary functions. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Alexander Erreygers

How predictable a word is can be quantified in two ways: using human responses to the cloze task or using probabilities from language models (LMs).When used as predictors of processing effort, LM probabilities outperform probabilities…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Sathvik Nair , Byung-Doh Oh

We develop a new method for generating prediction sets that combines the flexibility of conformal methods with an estimate of the conditional distribution $P_{Y \mid X}$. Existing methods, such as conformalized quantile regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-10 Vincent Plassier , Alexander Fishkov , Mohsen Guizani , Maxim Panov , Eric Moulines

In this paper we provide a conceptual overview of latent variable models within a probabilistic modeling framework, an overview that emphasizes the compositional nature and the interconnectedness of the seemingly disparate models commonly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-11 Rick Farouni

We describe five types of results concerning information and concentration of discrete random variables, and relationships between them, motivated by their counterparts in the continuous case. The results we consider are information…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-25 Oliver Johnson

The algorithmic theory of randomness is well developed when the underlying space is the set of finite or infinite sequences and the underlying probability distribution is the uniform distribution or a computable distribution. These…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Peter Gacs

The arm of this paper is to establish the strong law of large numbers (SLLN) of $m$-dependent random variables under the framework of sub-linear expectations. We establish the SLLN for a sequence of independent, but not necessarily…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Wang-Yun Gu , Li-Xin Zhang

We study randomized variants of two classical algorithms: coordinate descent for systems of linear equations and iterated projections for systems of linear inequalities. Expanding on a recent randomized iterated projection algorithm of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-06-19 D. Leventhal , A. S. Lewis

Calibration$\unicode{x2014}$the problem of ensuring that predicted probabilities align with observed class frequencies$\unicode{x2014}$is a basic desideratum for reliable prediction with machine learning systems. Calibration error is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-02 Eugène Berta , Sacha Braun , David Holzmüller , Francis Bach , Michael I. Jordan

Composite likelihood has shown promise in settings where the number of parameters $p$ is large due to its ability to break down complex models into simpler components, thus enabling inference even when the full likelihood is not tractable.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-21 Claudia Di Caterina , Davide Ferrari

In this article we give an extention of the L^2-theory of anisotropic singular perturbations for elliptic problems. We study a linear and some nonlinear problems involving L^p data (1<p<2). Convergences in pseudo Sobolev spaces are proved…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-04-15 Chokri Ogabi

The relationship between overparameterization, stability, and generalization remains incompletely understood in the setting of discontinuous classifiers. We address this gap by establishing a generalization bound for finite function classes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Jonas von Berg , Adalbert Fono , Massimiliano Datres , Sohir Maskey , Gitta Kutyniok

We revisit the problem of condensation for independent, identically distributed random variables with a power-law tail, conditioned by the value of their sum. For large values of the sum, and for a large number of summands, a condensation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-03 Claude Godrèche