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Mitigating climate change demands a transition towards renewable electricity generation, with wind power being a particularly promising technology. Long periods either of high or of low wind therefore essentially define the necessary amount…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-07 Juliane Weber , Mark Reyers , Christian Beck , Marc Timme , Joaquim G. Pinto , Dirk Witthaut , Benjamin Schäfer

Fluctuations represent a major challenge for the incorporation of electric power from large wind-farms into power grids. Wind farm power output fluctuates strongly in time, over various time scales. Understanding these fluctuations,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2014-12-24 Richard J. A. M. Stevens , Charles Meneveau

Renewable energy sources provide a constantly increasing contribution to the total energy production worldwide. However, the power generation from these sources is highly variable due to their dependence on meteorological conditions.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-05 Thordis Thorarinsdottir , Anders Løland , Alex Lenkoski

In the transition to a renewable energy system, the occurrence of low-wind-power events receives increasing attention. We analyze the frequency and duration of such events for onshore wind power in Germany, based on 40 years of reanalysis…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-13 Nils Ohlendorf , Wolf-Peter Schill

US wind power generation has grown significantly over the last decades, in line with the number and average size of operating turbines. However, wind power density has declined, both measured in terms of wind power output per rotor swept…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-26 Peter Regner , Katharina Gruber , Sebastian Wehrle , Johannes Schmidt

Wind and solar power are known to be highly influenced by weather events and may ramp up or down abruptly. Such events in the power production influence not only the availability of energy, but also the stability of the entire power grid.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-07-20 M. Anvari , G. Lohmann , M. Wächter , P. Milan , E. Lorenz , D. Heinemann , M. Reza Rahimi Tabar , Joachim Peinke

This paper addresses the problem of predicting a wind farm's power generation when no or few statistical data is available. The study is based on a time-series wind speed model and on a simple dynamic model of a DFIG wind turbine including…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Herman Bayem , Yannick Phulpin , Philippe Dessante , Julien Bect

Aggregated stochastic characteristics of geographically distributed wind generation will provide valuable information for secured and economical system operation in electricity markets. This paper focuses on the uncertainty set prediction…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-08 Xiaopeng Li , Jiang Wu , Zhanbo Xu , Kun Liu , Jun Yu , Xiaohong Guan

Wind turbines operating in the atmospheric boundary layer are constantly exposed to time-varying flow conditions. These disturbances often occur on similar time scales to wind-turbine controllers, which may interfere with wind-farm control…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-23 Nathaniel J. Wei , Adina Y. Fleisher , John W. Kurelek , Marcus N. Hultmark

Wind farms can be regarded as complex systems that are, on the one hand, coupled to the nonlinear, stochastic characteristics of weather and, on the other hand, strongly influenced by supervisory control mechanisms. One crucial problem in…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-22 Tobias Braun , Matthias Waechter , Joachim Peinke , Thomas Guhr

We study short-term prediction of wind speed and wind power (every 10 minutes up to 4 hours ahead). Accurate forecasts for these quantities are crucial to mitigate the negative effects of wind farms' intermittent production on energy…

The European energy system will undergo major transformations in the coming decades to implement mitigation measures and comply with the Paris Agreement. In particular, the share of weather-dependent wind generation will increase…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-23 Bastien Cozian , Corentin Herbert , Freddy Bouchet

Wind is the principal driver in the wind erosion models. The hourly wind speed data were generally required for precisely wind erosion modeling. In this study, a simple method to generate hourly wind speed data from daily wind statistics…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-05-16 Zhongling Guo

There is increasing interest in very short-term and higher-resolution wind power forecasting (from minutes to hours ahead), especially offshore. Statistical methods are of utmost relevance, since weather forecasts cannot be informative for…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-07 Amandine Pierrot , Pierre Pinson

The size distributions of power outages are shown to depend on the stress, or the proximity of the load of an electrical grid to complete breakdown. Using the data for the U.S. between 2002-2017, we show that the outage statistics are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-12 Soumyajyoti Biswas , Lucas Goehring

Modeling power-grid systems has got a major importance in present days as transformation to renewable energy sources requires the complete re-design of energy transmission. Renewable energy sources can be located quite far from their…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-01-17 Bálint Hartmann , Géza Ódor , Kristóf Benedek , István Papp

The variability of wind-generated electricity can be reduced by aggregating the outputs of wind generation plants spread over a large geographic area. In this chapter we utilize Monte Carlo simulations to investigate upper bounds on the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-08-23 Mark Handschy , Stephen Rose , Jay Apt

We investigate the interaction of many wind turbines in a wind farm with a focus on their electrical power production. The operational data of two offshore wind farms with a ten minute and a ten second time resolution, respectively, are…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-07 Edgar Jungblut , Henrik M. Bette , Thomas Guhr

We describe the correlation structure of wind power fluctuations in a farm of 80 turbines, sampled over 5 years. We report the presence of universal, collective, and nonlinear correlations, responsible for the excess persistency and…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-07 Samy E. Lakhal , J. E. Sardonia , M. M. Bandi

Large eddy simulations of wind farms are performed to study the effects of wind turbine row alignment with respect to the incoming flow direction. Various wind farms with fixed stream-wise spacing (7.85 rotor diameters) and varying lateral…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2014-05-06 Richard J. A. M. Stevens , Dennice F. Gayme , Charles Meneveau
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