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We investigate SIR models with vital dynamics, reinfection, and randomness at the transmission coefficient and recruitment rate. Initially, we conduct an extensive analysis of the autonomous scenario, covering aspects such as local and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Javier López-de-la-Cruz , Alexandre N. Oliveira-Sousa

This paper investigates asymptotic behavior of a stochastic SIR epidemic model, which is a system with degenerate diffusion. It gives sufficient conditions that are very close to the necessary conditions for the permanence. In addition,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-24 N. T. Dieu , D. H. Nguyen , N. H. Du , G. Yin

To get a good understanding of a dynamical system, it is convenient to have an interpretable and versatile model of it. Timed discrete event systems are a kind of model that respond to these requirements. However, such models can be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Lénaïg Cornanguer , Christine Largouët , Laurence Rozé , Alexandre Termier

We propose a systematic method to derive the asymptotic behaviour of the persistence distribution, for a large class of stochastic processes described by a general Fokker-Planck equation in one dimension. Theoretical predictions are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Jean Farago

Networked epidemic models have been widely adopted to describe propagation phenomena. The endemic equilibrium of these models is of great significance in the field of viral marketing, innovation dissemination, and information diffusion.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-22 Fangzhou Liu , Shaoxuan Cui , Xianwei Li , Martin Buss

We study the long-time behavior of solutions of the SIRS model, a reaction-diffusion system that appears in epidemiology to describe the spread of epidemics. We allow the system to be heterogeneous periodic. Under some hypotheses on the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-02-02 Romain Ducasse , Maxime Laborde

We explore the emergence of persistent infection in a closed region where the disease progression of the individuals is given by the SIRS model, with an individual becoming infected on contact with another infected individual within a given…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2018-06-13 Promit Moitra , Kanishk Jain , Sudeshna Sinha

We study the phase transition from the persistence phase to the extinction phase for the SIRS (susceptible/ infected/ refractory/ susceptible) model of diseases spreading on random networks. By studying temporal evolution and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-19 Mohammed Ali Saif

We numerically address the stability analysis of linear age-structured population models with nonlocal diffusion, which arise naturally in describing dynamics of infectious diseases. Compared to Laplace diffusion, models with nonlocal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Dimitri Breda , Simone De Reggi , Rossana Vermiglio

A model describing the dynamics related to the spreading of non-lethal infectious diseases in a fixed-size population is proposed. The model consists of a non-linear delay-differential equation describing the time evolution of the increment…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-10-05 A. Noviello , F. Romeo , R. De Luca

A random variable X is strictly stable if a sum of independent copies of X has the same distribution as X up to scaling, and is stable (in the broad sense) if the sum has the same distribution as X up to both scaling and shifting. Steutel…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-25 Matthew Aldridge

We study the permanence and impermanence for discrete-time Kolmogorov systems admitting a carrying simplex. Sufficient conditions to guarantee permanence and impermanence are provided based on the existence of a carrying simplex.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Mats Gyllenberg , Jifa Jiang , Lei Niu , Ping Yan

We study Bayes procedures for the problem of nonparametric drift estimation for one-dimensional, ergodic diffusion models from discrete-time, low-frequency data. We give conditions for posterior consistency and verify these conditions for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-01 Frank van der Meulen , Harry van Zanten

In this paper we consider an SIRS epidemic model under a general assumption of density-dependent mortality. We prove the global stability of the disease-free equilibrium and propose a Lyapunov function that allows to demonstrate the global…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Alberto d'Onofrio , Piero Manfredi , Ernesto Salinelli

This paper is concerned with the conditions of existence and nonexistence of traveling wave solutions (TWS) for a class of discrete diffusive epidemic models. We find that the existence of TWS is determined by the so-called basic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-17 Ran Zhang , Jinliang Wang , Shengqiang Liu

The infection dynamics of a population under stationary isolation conditions is modeled. It is underlined that the stationary character of the isolation measures can be expected to imply that an effective SIR model with constant parameters…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-19 Alejandro Cabo Montes de Oca , Nana Geraldine Cabo Bizet

This article shows how to specify and construct a discrete, stochastic, continuous-time model specifically for ecological systems. The model is more broad than typical chemical kinetics models in two ways. First, using time-dependent hazard…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-30 Andrew J. Dolgert

We study species abundance in the empirical plant-pollinator mutualistic networks exhibiting broad degree distributions, with uniform intra-group competition assumed, by the Lotka-Volterra equation. The stability of a fixed point is found…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-25 Hyun Woo Lee , Jae Woo Lee , Deok-Sun Lee

A dynamic model of a society is studied where each person is an uncorrelated and non-interacting random walker. A dynamical random graph represents the acquaintance network of the society whose nodes are the individuals and links are the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 S. S. Manna

We consider the problem of `discrete-time persistence', which deals with the zero-crossings of a continuous stochastic process, X(T), measured at discrete times, T = n(\Delta T). For a Gaussian Stationary Process the persistence (no…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 George C. M. A. Ehrhardt , Alan J. Bray , Satya N. Majumdar
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