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Causal inference methods for observational data are increasingly recognized as a valuable complement to randomized clinical trials (RCTs). They can, under strong assumptions, emulate RCTs or help refine their focus. Our approach to causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-14 Carlo Berzuini , Davide Luciani , Hiren C. Patel

To maximize clinical benefit, clinicians routinely tailor treatment to the individual characteristics of each patient, where individualized treatment rules are needed and are of significant research interest to statisticians. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-23 Trinetri Ghosh , Yanyuan Ma , Rui Song , Pingshou Zhong

Background: Predicting the efficacy of combination therapies is a critical challenge in clinical decision-making, particularly for diseases requiring multi-drug regimens. Traditional evidence synthesis methods, such as component network…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-31 Dipayan Sengupta , Saumya Panda

Big longitudinal observational databases present the opportunity to extract new knowledge in a cost effective manner. Unfortunately, the ability of these databases to be used for causal inference is limited due to the passive way in which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-07-21 Jenna Reps , Zhaoyang Guo , Haoyue Zhu , Uwe Aickelin

Motivation: Spontaneous adverse event reports have a high potential for detecting adverse drug reactions. However, due to their dimension, exploring such databases requires statistical methods. In this context, disproportionality measures…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-19 Matthieu Marbac , Pascale Tubert-Bitter , Mohammed Sedki

Hypergraphs model higher-order relations that drive real-world decisions, from drug prescriptions to recommendations. A central structural signal in such data, beyond what pairwise relations can express, is interaction compositionality:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Kyrie Zhao , Zehong Wang , Tianyi Ma , Fang Wu , Xiangru Tang , Pietro Lio , Sheng Wang , Yanfang Ye

The Cox regression model and its associated hazard ratio (HR) are frequently used for summarizing the effect of treatments on time to event outcomes. However, the HR's interpretation strongly depends on the assumed underlying survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-10 Pablo Martinez-Camblor , Todd A. MacKenzie , A. James O'Malley

Causal inference on time series data is a challenging problem, especially in the presence of unobserved confounders. This work focuses on estimating the causal effect between two time series that are confounded by a third, unobserved time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-19 Felix Schur , Jonas Peters

Despite extensive safety assessments of drugs prior to their introduction to the market, certain adverse drug reactions (ADRs) remain undetected. The primary objective of pharmacovigilance is to identify these ADRs (i.e., signals). In…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Louis Dijkstra , Tania Schink , Ronja Foraita

Matching is a commonly used causal inference study design in observational studies. Through matching on measured confounders between different treatment groups, valid randomization inferences can be conducted under the no unmeasured…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-20 Jeffrey Zhang , Siyu Heng

Covariate imbalance between treatment groups makes it difficult to compare cumulative incidence curves in competing risk analyses. In this paper we discuss different methods to estimate adjusted cumulative incidence curves including inverse…

Despite the versatility of generalized linear mixed models in handling complex experimental designs, they often suffer from misspecification and convergence problems. This makes inference on the values of coefficients problematic. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 Angela Andreella , Jelle Goeman , Jesse Hemerik , Livio Finos

Interactions between pieces of information (entities) play a substantial role in the way an individual acts on them: adoption of a product, the spread of news, strategy choice, etc. However, the underlying interaction mechanisms are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-02 Gaël Poux-Médard , Julien Velcin , Sabine Loudcher

We consider the problem of learning causal directed acyclic graphs from an observational joint distribution. One can use these graphs to predict the outcome of interventional experiments, from which data are often not available. We show…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-18 Jonas Peters , Joris Mooij , Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schölkopf

Residual coherence is a graphical tool for selecting potential second-order interaction terms as functions of a single time series and its lags. This paper extends the notion of residual coherence to account for interaction terms of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-05 Xuze Zhang , Benjamin Kedem

Adverse Drug Reactions (ADRs) are characterized within randomized clinical trials and postmarketing pharmacovigilance, but their molecular mechanism remains unknown in most cases. Aside from clinical trials, many elements of knowledge about…

Marginal structural models are a popular tool for investigating the effects of time-varying treatments, but they require an assumption of no unobserved confounders between the treatment and outcome. With observational data, this assumption…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 Matthew Blackwell , Soichiro Yamauchi

Models notoriously suffer from dataset biases which are detrimental to robustness and generalization. The identify-emphasize paradigm shows a promising effect in dealing with unknown biases. However, we find that it is still plagued by two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Bowen Zhao , Chen Chen , Qian-Wei Wang , Anfeng He , Shu-Tao Xia

Process mining provides methods to analyse event logs generated by information systems during the execution of processes. It thereby supports the design, validation, and execution of processes in domains ranging from healthcare, through…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Mehdi Acheli , Daniela Grigori , Matthias Weidlich

Background: Accurate survival prediction in breast cancer is essential for patient stratification and personalized therapy. Integrating gene expression data with clinical factors may enhance prognostic performance and support precision…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-26 Robert Amevor , Emmanuel Kubuafor , Dennis Baidoo , Junaidu Salifu , Koshali Muthunama Gonnage , Onyedikachi Joshua Okeke
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