Related papers: Fast and Robust Parametric Estimation for Time Ser…
This paper deals with the problem of outliers in high frequency observation data from diffusion processes. Robust estimation methods are needed because the inclusion of outliers can lead to incorrect statistical inference even in the…
Complex simulator-based models are now routinely used to perform inference across the sciences and engineering, but existing inference methods are often unable to account for outliers and other extreme values in data which occur due to…
As the use of machine learning in high impact domains becomes widespread, the importance of evaluating safety has increased. An important aspect of this is evaluating how robust a model is to changes in setting or population, which…
We propose a robust inferential procedure for assessing uncertainties of parameter estimation in high-dimensional linear models, where the dimension $p$ can grow exponentially fast with the sample size $n$. Our method combines the…
This paper proposes a wavelet-based method for analysing periodic autoregressive moving average (PARMA) time series. Even though Fourier analysis provides an effective method for analysing periodic time series, it requires the estimation of…
In this article, we consider an imputation method to handle missing response values based on semiparametric quantile regression estimation. In the proposed method, the missing response values are generated using the estimated conditional…
This work proposes a new procedure for estimating the non-stationary spatial covariance function for Spatial-Temporal Deformation. The proposed procedure is based on a monotonic function approach. The deformation functions are expanded as a…
Shapelet-based algorithms are widely used for time series classification because of their ease of interpretation, but they are currently outperformed by recent state-of-the-art approaches. We present a new formulation of time series…
We propose a new finite sample corrected variance estimator for the linear generalized method of moments (GMM) including the one-step, two-step, and iterated estimators. Our formula additionally corrects for the over-identification bias in…
This paper develops theory for feasible estimators of finite-dimensional parameters identified by general conditional quantile restrictions, under much weaker assumptions than previously seen in the literature. This includes instrumental…
The advancement and scaling of quantum technology has made the learning and identification of quantum systems and devices in highly-multidimensional parameter spaces a pressing task for a variety of applications. In many cases, the…
In the classic measurement error framework, covariates are contaminated by independent additive noise. This paper considers parameter estimation in such a linear errors-in-variables model where the unknown measurement error distribution is…
AI models, including both time-series-specific and general-purpose Foundation Models (FMs), have demonstrated strong potential in time-series forecasting across sectors like finance. However, these models are highly sensitive to input…
In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…
We introduce innovative inference procedures for analyzing time series data. Our methodology enables density approximation and composite hypothesis testing based on Whittle's estimator, a widely applied M-estimator in the frequency domain.…
We propose a general solution to the problem of robust Bayesian inference in complex settings where outliers may be present. In practice, the automation of robust Bayesian analyses is important in the many applications involving large and…
This paper provides some extended results on estimating parameter matrix of several regression models when the covariate or response possesses weaker moment condition. We study the $M$-estimator of Fan et al. (Ann Stat 49(3):1239--1266,…
Robust estimation of the covariance matrix and detection of outliers remain major challenges in statistical data analysis, particularly when the proportion of contaminated observations increases with the size of the dataset. Outliers can…
Multivariate location and scatter matrix estimation is a cornerstone in multivariate data analysis. We consider this problem when the data may contain independent cellwise and casewise outliers. Flat data sets with a large number of…
This paper studies parameter estimation using L-moments, an alternative to traditional moments with attractive statistical properties. The estimation of model parameters by matching sample L-moments is known to outperform maximum likelihood…