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This work develops a multivariate extension of the Fixed Rank Kriging (FRK) framework for spatial prediction in settings where multiple spatial processes may provide complementary information. The goal is to preserve the computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Gaia Caringi , Piercesare Secchi

Kriging (or Gaussian process regression) is a popular machine learning method for its flexibility and closed-form prediction expressions. However, one of the key challenges in applying kriging to engineering systems is that the available…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-23 Jialei Chen , Zhehui Chen , Chuck Zhang , C. F. Jeff Wu

Forecasts support decision making in a variety of applications. Statistical models can produce accurate forecasts given abundant training data, but when data is sparse, rapidly changing, or unavailable, statistical models may not be able to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Thomas McAndrew , Nutcha Wattanachit , G. Casey Gibson , Nicholas G. Reich

This article focuses on drawing computationally-efficient predictive inference from Gaussian process (GP) regressions with a large number of features when the response is conditionally independent of the features given the projection to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-27 Samuel Gailliot , Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Roger D. Peng

In this work, we propose a new Gaussian process regression (GPR) method: physics information aided Kriging (PhIK). In the standard data-driven Kriging, the unknown function of interest is usually treated as a Gaussian process with assumed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-17 Xiu Yang , Guzel Tartakovsky , Alexandre Tartakovsky

Nested nonparametric processes are vectors of random probability measures widely used in the Bayesian literature to model the dependence across distinct, though related, groups of observations. These processes allow a two-level clustering,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Federico Camerlenghi , Riccardo Corradin , Andrea Ongaro

Gaussian processes are frequently deployed as part of larger machine learning and decision-making systems, for instance in geospatial modeling, Bayesian optimization, or in latent Gaussian models. Within a system, the Gaussian process model…

Sensors are commonly deployed to perceive the environment. However, due to the high cost, sensors are usually sparsely deployed. Kriging is the tailored task to infer the unobserved nodes (without sensors) using the observed source nodes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Qianxiong Xu , Cheng Long , Ziyue Li , Sijie Ruan , Rui Zhao , Zhishuai Li

This article advocates the use of conformal prediction (CP) methods for Gaussian process (GP) interpolation to enhance the calibration of prediction intervals. We begin by illustrating that using a GP model with parameters selected by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-12 Aurélien Pion , Emmanuel Vazquez

Gaussian Processes (\textbf{GPs}) are flexible non-parametric models with strong probabilistic interpretation. While being a standard choice for performing inference on time series, GPs have few techniques to work in a streaming setting.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-22 Théo Galy-Fajou , Manfred Opper

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a gold standard for performance in online settings, such as sample-efficient control and black box optimization, where we need to update a posterior distribution as we acquire data in a sequential fashion.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-03 Samuel Stanton , Wesley J. Maddox , Ian Delbridge , Andrew Gordon Wilson

We propose a method for estimating the posterior distribution of a standard geostatistical model. After choosing the model formulation and specifying a prior, we use normal mixture densities to approximate the posterior distribution. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-10 Zepu Zhang

Processing sets or other unordered, potentially variable-sized inputs in neural networks is usually handled by aggregating a number of input tensors into a single representation. While a number of aggregation methods already exist from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Sergey Bartunov , Fabian B. Fuchs , Timothy Lillicrap

Many datasets are in the form of tables of binned data. Performing regression on these data usually involves either reading off bin heights, ignoring data from neighbouring bins or interpolating between bins thus over or underestimating the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-21 Michael Thomas Smith , Mauricio A Alvarez , Neil D Lawrence

We present two new approaches for point prediction with streaming data. One is based on the Count-Min sketch (CMS) and the other is based on Gaussian process priors with a random bias. These methods are intended for the most general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-05 Aleena Chanda , N. V. Vinodchandran , Bertrand Clarke

We consider bi-objective ranking and selection problems, where the goal is to correctly identify the Pareto optimal solutions among a finite set of candidates for which the two objective outcomes have been observed with uncertainty (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-29 Sebastian Rojas Gonzalez , Juergen Branke , Inneke van Nieuwenhuyse

I begin by summarizing key ideas of the paper under discussion. Then I will talk about a graphical modeling perspective, posterior contraction rates and alternative methods of aggregation. Moreover, I will also discuss possible applications…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-07-02 William Weimin Yoo

The combination of inducing point methods with stochastic variational inference has enabled approximate Gaussian Process (GP) inference on large datasets. Unfortunately, the resulting predictive distributions often exhibit substantially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Martin Jankowiak , Geoff Pleiss , Jacob R. Gardner

Combination of low-tensor rank techniques and the Fast Fourier transform (FFT) based methods had turned out to be prominent in accelerating various statistical operations such as Kriging, computing conditional covariance, geostatistical…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-23 Sergey Dolgov , Alexander Litvinenko , Dishi Liu

The use of weather index insurances is subject to spatial basis risk, which arises from the fact that the location of the user's risk exposure is not the same as the location of any of the weather stations where an index can be measured. To…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-01 Yiping Guo , Johnny Siu-Hang Li