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Related papers: Extracting Geography from Trade Data

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It is common wisdom that no nation is an isolated economic island. All nations participate in the global economy and are linked together through trade and finance. Here we analyze international trade network (ITN), being the network of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-22 Agata Fronczak

Logistic regression is an important statistical tool for assessing the probability of an outcome based upon some predictive variables. Standard methods can only deal with precisely known data, however many datasets have uncertainties which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-09 Nicholas Gray , Scott Ferson

We use information geometry, in which the local distance between models measures their distinguishability from data, to quantify the flow of information under the renormalization group. We show that information about relevant parameters is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-12-05 Archishman Raju , Benjamin B. Machta , James P. Sethna

In this paper we analyze the gravity model in the world passenger air-transport network. We show that in the standard form the model is inadequate to correctly describe the relationship between passenger flows and typical geo-economic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-28 Tomasz Ryczkowski , Agata Fronczak , Piotr Fronczak

In the study of economic networks, econometric approaches interpret the traditional Gravity Model specification as the expected link weight coming from a probability distribution whose functional form can be chosen arbitrarily, while…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-15 Marzio Di Vece , Diego Garlaschelli , Tiziano Squartini

We study the diffusion of shocks in the global financial cycle and global liquidity conditions to emerging and developing economies. We show that the classification according to their external trade patterns (as commodities' net exporters…

General Economics · Economics 2021-12-09 Jorge Carrera , Gabriel Montes-Rojas , Fernando Toledo

Discrete optimal transportation problems arise in various contexts in engineering, the sciences and the social sciences. Often the underlying cost criterion is unknown, or only partly known, and the observed optimal solutions are corrupted…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-13 Andrew M. Stuart , Marie-Therese Wolfram

Recent strides in economic complexity have shown that the future economic development of nations can be predicted with a single "economic fitness" variable, which captures countries' competitiveness in international trade. The predictions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-03 Yucheng Ye , Shuqi Xu , Manuel Sebastian Mariani , Linyuan Lü

The \emph{World Trade Web} (WTW), the network defined by the international import/export trade relationships, has been recently shown to display some important topological properties which are tightly related to the Gross Domestic Product…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-02-06 D. Garlaschelli , M. I. Loffredo

In this paper, we explore the topic of graph learning from the perspective of the Irregularity-Aware Graph Fourier Transform, with the goal of learning the graph signal space inner product to better model data. We propose a novel method to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-16 Benjamin Girault , Eduardo Pavez , Antonio Ortega

We introduce two exotic lattice models on a general spatial graph. The first one is a matter theory of a compact Lifshitz scalar field, while the second one is a certain rank-2 $U(1)$ gauge theory of fractons. Both lattice models are…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2022-11-30 Pranay Gorantla , Ho Tat Lam , Shu-Heng Shao

In the past two decades, the field of applied finance has tremendously benefited from graph theory. As a result, novel methods ranging from asset network estimation to hierarchical asset selection and portfolio allocation are now part of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-01 José Vinícius de Miranda Cardoso , Jiaxi Ying , Daniel Perez Palomar

We are given the adjacency matrix of a geometric graph and the task of recovering the latent positions. We study one of the most popular approaches which consists in using the graph distances and derive error bounds under various…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-13 Ery Arias-Castro , Antoine Channarond , Bruno Pelletier , Nicolas Verzelen

This study examines the effects of de-globalization trends on international trade networks and their role in improving forecasts for economic growth. Using section-level trade data from nearly 200 countries from 2010 to 2022, we identify…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-16 Thiago C. Silva , Paulo V. B. Wilhelm , Diego R. Amancio

We present functional forms allowing a broader range of analytic solutions to common economic equilibrium problems. These can increase the realism of pen-and-paper solutions or speed large-scale numerical solutions as computational…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-21 Michal Fabinger , E. Glen Weyl

Using the United Nations COMTRADE database \cite{comtrade} we construct the Google matrix $G$ of multiproduct world trade between the UN countries and analyze the properties of trade flows on this network for years 1962 - 2010. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-02 Leonardo Ermann , Dima L. Shepelyansky

In this paper, we investigate the mesoscale structure of the World Trade Network. In this framework, a specific role is assumed by short and long-range interactions, and hence by the distance, between countries. Therefore, we identify…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-15 Paolo Bartesaghi , Gian Paolo Clemente , Rosanna Grassi

We present an empirical analysis of the network formed by the trade relationships between all world countries, or World Trade Web (WTW). Each (directed) link is weighted by the amount of wealth flowing between two countries, and each…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-02-06 D. Garlaschelli , T. Di Matteo , T. Aste , G. Caldarelli , M. I. Loffredo

Evaluating the economies of countries and their relations with products in the global market is a central problem in economics, with far-reaching implications to our theoretical understanding of the international trade as well as to…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-09 Manuel Sebastian Mariani , Alexandre Vidmer , Matus Medo , Yi-Cheng Zhang

Value chain data is crucial to navigate economic disruptions, such as those caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine. Yet, despite its importance, publicly available value chain datasets, such as the ``World Input-Output…

General Economics · Economics 2023-08-08 Lea Karbevska , César A. Hidalgo
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