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Current meta-learning approaches focus on learning functional representations of relationships between variables, i.e. on estimating conditional expectations in regression. In many applications, however, we are faced with conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-25 Jean-Francois Ton , Lucian Chan , Yee Whye Teh , Dino Sejdinovic

We consider the problem of estimating the mean $f$ of a Gaussian vector $Y$ with independent components of common unknown variance $\sigma^{2}$. Our estimation procedure is based on estimator selection. More precisely, we start with an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-24 Yannick Baraud , Christophe Giraud , Sylvie Huet

The accurate representation of epistemic uncertainty is a challenging yet essential task in machine learning. A widely used representation corresponds to convex sets of probabilistic predictors, also known as credal sets. One popular way of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Mira Jürgens , Thomas Mortier , Eyke Hüllermeier , Viktor Bengs , Willem Waegeman

In frequentist inference, minimizing the Hellinger distance between a kernel density estimate and a parametric family produces estimators that are both robust to outliers and statistically efficienty when the parametric model is correct.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-12 Yuefeng Wu , Giles Hooker

As neural networks become more popular, the need for accompanying uncertainty estimates increases. There are currently two main approaches to test the quality of these estimates. Most methods output a density. They can be compared by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Laurens Sluijterman , Eric Cator , Tom Heskes

We study sparse linear regression over a network of agents, modeled as an undirected graph (with no centralized node). The estimation problem is formulated as the minimization of the sum of the local LASSO loss functions plus a quadratic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-23 Yao Ji , Gesualdo Scutari , Ying Sun , Harsha Honnappa

As an effective nonparametric method, empirical likelihood (EL) is appealing in combining estimating equations flexibly and adaptively for incorporating data information. To select important variables and estimating equations in the sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-02 Jiaqi Li , Liya Fu

The expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm and its variants are widely used in statistics. In high-dimensional mixture linear regression, the model is assumed to be a finite mixture of linear regression and the number of predictors is much…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-24 Ning Wang , Xin Zhang , Qing Mai

Classical penalized likelihood regression problems deal with the case that the independent variables data are known exactly. In practice, however, it is common to observe data with incomplete covariate information. We are concerned with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-04 Xiwen Ma , Bin Dai , Ronald Klein , Barbara E. K. Klein , Kristine E. Lee , Grace Wahba

We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

Given a sample $\{X_i\}_{i=1}^n$ from $f_X$, we construct kernel density estimators for $f_Y$, the convolution of $f_X$ with a known error density $f_{\epsilon}$. This problem is known as density estimation with Berkson error and has…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-30 James P. Long , Noureddine El Karoui , John A. Rice

For an AI system to be reliable, the confidence it expresses in its decisions must match its accuracy. To assess the degree of match, examples are typically binned by confidence and the per-bin mean confidence and accuracy are compared.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-14 Rebecca Roelofs , Nicholas Cain , Jonathon Shlens , Michael C. Mozer

Important information concerning a multivariate data set, such as clusters and modal regions, is contained in the derivatives of the probability density function. Despite this importance, nonparametric estimation of higher order derivatives…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-04 José E. Chacón , Tarn Duong

We develop methodology for valid inference after variable selection in logistic regression when the responses are partially observed, that is, when one observes a set of error-prone testing outcomes instead of the true values of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-17 Qinyan Shen , Karl Gregory , Xianzheng Huang

Penalized spline estimation with discrete difference penalties (P-splines) is a popular estimation method for semiparametric models, but the classical least-squares estimator is highly sensitive to deviations from its ideal model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-24 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stefan Van Aelst

We introduce a nonparametric way to estimate the global probability density function for a random persistence diagram. Precisely, a kernel density function centered at a given persistence diagram and a given bandwidth is constructed. Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-14 Joshua Lee Mike , Vasileios Maroulas

Subsampling methods aim to select a subsample as a surrogate for the observed sample. Such methods have been used pervasively in large-scale data analytics, active learning, and privacy-preserving analysis in recent decades. Instead of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-03 Jingyi Zhang , Cheng Meng , Jun Yu , Mengrui Zhang , Wenxuan Zhong , Ping Ma

Reconstruction of sets from a random sample of points intimately related to them is the goal of set estimation theory. Within this context, a particular problem is the one related with the reconstruction of density level sets and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-06 Paula Saavedra-Nieves , Rosa María Crujeiras

Estimation frameworks for statistical inference are preferred to hypothesis testing when quantifying uncertainty and precise estimation are more valuable than binary decisions about statistical significance. Study design for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

We investigate a data-driven approach to constructing uncertainty sets for robust optimization problems, where the uncertain problem parameters are modeled as random variables whose joint probability distribution is not known. Relying only…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Polina Alexeenko , Eilyan Bitar
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