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When random effects are correlated with sample design variables, the usual approach of employing individual survey weights (constructed to be inversely proportional to the unit survey inclusion probabilities) to form a pseudo-likelihood no…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Terrance D. Savitsky , Matthew R. Williams

The continuous extension of a discrete random variable is amongst the computational methods used for estimation of multivariate normal copula-based models with discrete margins. Its advantage is that the likelihood can be derived…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-10 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

We present a constructive approach to Bernstein copulas with an admissible discrete skeleton in arbitrary dimensions when the underlying marginal grid sizes are smaller than the number of observations. This prevents an overfitting of the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-04 Dietmar Pfeifer , Olena Ragulina

A construction of $p$-parameter Brownian sheet on the hypercube $C=[0,1]^p$ as a sum of $2^p$ independent Gaussian processes is obtained. The terms are closely related to Brownian pillows, and the probability laws of their $L^2(C)$ squared…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-09 A. Cabaña , E. M. Cabaña

The paper considers the problem of establishing data support for the simplifying assumption (SA) in a bivariate conditional copula model. It is known that SA greatly simplifies the inference for a conditional copula model, but standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-30 Evgeny Levi , Radu V Craiu

Missing observations are pervasive throughout empirical research, especially in the social sciences. Despite multiple approaches to dealing adequately with missing data, many scholars still fail to address this vital issue. In this paper,…

We have developed a frequentist approach for model selection which determines the consistency between any cosmological model and the data using the distribution of likelihoods from the iterative smoothing method. Using this approach, we…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-03-30 Hanwool Koo , Ryan E. Keeley , Arman Shafieloo , Benjamin L'Huillier

A recommender system based on ranks is proposed, where an expert's ranking of a set of objects and a user's ranking of a subset of those objects are combined to make a prediction of the user's ranking of all objects. The rankings are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-12 Simon Guillotte , François Perron , Johan Segers

Probability density estimation from observed data constitutes a central task in statistics. In this brief, we focus on the problem of estimating the copula density associated to any observed data, as it fully describes the dependence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Nunzio A. Letizia , Nicola Novello , Andrea M. Tonello

This paper analyzes the limit properties of the empirical process of $\alpha$-stable random variables with long range dependence. The $\alpha$-stable random variables are constructed by non-linear transformations of bivariate sequences of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Emanuele Taufer

We study when a given Gaussian random variable on a given probability space $(\Omega, {\cal{F}}, P) $ is equal almost surely to $\beta_{1}$ where $\beta $ is a Brownian motion defined on the same (or possibly extended) probability space. As…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-24 Ciprian Tudor

Continuous proportions measured on the same experimental unit often pose two challenges: interior outliers that inflate variance beyond the beta ceiling and residual dependence that invalidates independent-margin models. We introduce a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-14 Divan A. Burger , Janet van Niekerk , Peter C. le Roux , Morgan J. Raath-Krüger

In applications of Bayesian procedures, once a class of priors has been chosen, it may be tempting to fix the prior's hyperparameters from the data, in an empirical Bayes (EB) fashion, usually by their maximum marginal likelihood estimates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Stefano Rizzelli , Judith Rousseau , Sonia Petrone

Bayes factors for composite hypotheses have difficulty in encoding vague prior knowledge, as improper priors cannot be used and objective priors may be subjectively unreasonable. To address these issues I revisit the posterior Bayes factor,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-29 Frank Dudbridge

In this paper we develop and study adaptive empirical Bayesian smoothing splines. These are smoothing splines with both smoothing parameter and penalty order determined via the empirical Bayes method from the marginal likelihood of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-18 Paulo Serra , Tatyana Krivobokova

We discuss the so-called "simplifying assumption" of conditional copulas in a general framework. We introduce several tests of the latter assumption for non- and semiparametric copula models. Some related test procedures based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Alexis Derumigny , Jean-David Fermanian

Suppose that X_1,X_2,...,X_n are independent and identically Bernoulli(theta) distributed. Also suppose that our aim is to find an exact confidence interval for theta that is the intersection of a 1-\alpha/2 upper confidence interval and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Paul Kabaila

Copulas are a powerful tool to model dependence between the components of a random vector. One well-known class of copulas when working in two dimensions is the Farlie-GumbelMorgenstern (FGM) copula since their simple analytic shape enables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Christopher Blier-Wong , Hélène Cossette , Etienne Marceau

We propose a score test for dependence predictability in conditional copulas that is robust to temporal instabilities. Our semiparametric procedure accommodates flexible dynamics in the marginal processes and remains agnostic about the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-03 Alexander Mayer , Tatsushi Oka , Dominik Wied

Probability integral transforms (PITs) and empirical $p$-values are widely used to assess the calibration of predictive distributions. While exact PIT values are uniformly distributed under correct model specification, practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Jakub Lis
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