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Like mean, quantile and variance, mode is also an important measure of central tendency and data summary. Many practical questions often focus on "Which element (gene or file or signal) occurs most often or is the most typical among all…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-03 Keming Yu , Katerina Aristodemou

Testing whether a probability distribution is compatible with a given Bayesian network is a fundamental task in the field of causal inference, where Bayesian networks model causal relations. Here we consider the class of causal structures…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-04 Aditya Kela , Kai von Prillwitz , Johan Aberg , Rafael Chaves , David Gross

In this paper we study Bayesian supervised learning models proposed by L\^e in \cite{Le2025}. We show the existence of Bayesian inversions on universal Bayesian supervised learning models $(\mathcal{P}(\mathcal{Y})^{\mathcal{X}}, \mu,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Hông Vân Lê

Neural networks are the cornerstone of modern machine learning, yet can be difficult to interpret, give overconfident predictions and are vulnerable to adversarial attacks. Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide some alleviation of these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 August Arnstad , Leiv Rønneberg , Geir Storvik

Bayes's rule deals with hard evidence, that is, we can calculate the probability of event $A$ occuring given that event $B$ has occurred. Soft evidence, on the other hand, involves a degree of uncertainty about whether event $B$ has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Edward Yu

We propose a new class of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) that can be trained using noisy data of variable fidelity, and we apply them to learn function approximations as well as to solve inverse problems based on partial differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Xuhui Meng , Hessam Babaee , George Em Karniadakis

There has been increasing interest in modeling survival data using deep learning methods in medical research. In this paper, we proposed a Bayesian hierarchical deep neural networks model for modeling and prediction of survival data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-20 Dai Feng , Lili Zhao

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a probabilistic interpretation for deep learning models by imposing a prior distribution over model parameters and inferring a posterior distribution based on observed data. The model sampled from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Van-Anh Nguyen , Tung-Long Vuong , Hoang Phan , Thanh-Toan Do , Dinh Phung , Trung Le

Given a set of possible models (e.g., Bayesian network structures) and a data sample, in the unsupervised model selection problem the task is to choose the most accurate model with respect to the domain joint probability distribution. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Sanjoy Dasgupta , Leonard Schulman

Motivated by the statistical evaluation of complex computer models, we deal with the issue of objective prior specification for the parameters of Gaussian processes. In particular, we derive the Jeffreys-rule, independence Jeffreys and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Rui Paulo

In this paper, we provide new complexity results for algorithms that learn discrete-variable Bayesian networks from data. Our results apply whenever the learning algorithm uses a scoring criterion that favors the simplest model able to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 David Maxwell Chickering , Christopher Meek , David Heckerman

Bayesian network (BN) structure discovery algorithms typically either make assumptions about the sparsity of the true underlying network, or are limited by computational constraints to networks with a small number of variables. While these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-14 Luke Duttweiler , Sally W. Thurston , Anthony Almudevar

Testing the validity of probabilistic models containing unmeasured (hidden) variables is shown to be a hard task. We show that the task of testing whether models are structurally incompatible with the data at hand, requires an exponential…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Dan Geiger , Azaria Paz , Judea Pearl

Learning the structure of Bayesian networks from data is known to be a computationally challenging, NP-hard problem. The literature has long investigated how to perform structure learning from data containing large numbers of variables,…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-25 Marco Scutari , Claudia Vitolo , Allan Tucker

Bayesian neural networks attempt to combine the strong predictive performance of neural networks with formal quantification of uncertainty associated with the predictive output in the Bayesian framework. However, it remains unclear how to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-12 Takuo Matsubara , Chris J. Oates , François-Xavier Briol

Three classes of algorithms to learn the structure of Bayesian networks from data are common in the literature: constraint-based algorithms, which use conditional independence tests to learn the dependence structure of the data; score-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-10 Marco Scutari , Catharina Elisabeth Graafland , José Manuel Gutiérrez

Which neural networks are similar is a fundamental question for both machine learning and neuroscience. Here, it is proposed to base comparisons on the predictive distributions of linear readouts from intermediate representations. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Heiko H. Schütt

Deep neural networks have been successful in diverse discriminative classification tasks, although, they are poorly calibrated often assigning high probability to misclassified predictions. Potential consequences could lead to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-06 John Mitros , Arjun Pakrashi , Brian Mac Namee

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) treat neural network weights as random variables, which aim to provide posterior uncertainty estimates and avoid overfitting by performing inference on the posterior weights. However, the selection of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Tsai Hor Chan , Dora Yan Zhang , Guosheng Yin , Lequan Yu

We study Bayesian hypernetworks: a framework for approximate Bayesian inference in neural networks. A Bayesian hypernetwork $\h$ is a neural network which learns to transform a simple noise distribution, $p(\vec\epsilon) = \N(\vec 0,\mat…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-26 David Krueger , Chin-Wei Huang , Riashat Islam , Ryan Turner , Alexandre Lacoste , Aaron Courville
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