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In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

Inference of evolutionary trees and rates from biological sequences is commonly performed using continuous-time Markov models of character change. The Markov process evolves along an unknown tree while observations arise only from the tips…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-01 Elizabeth S. Allman , Cecile Ane , John A. Rhodes

Covariance matrix estimation is a fundamental statistical task in many applications, but the sample covariance matrix is sub-optimal when the sample size is comparable to or less than the number of features. Such high-dimensional settings…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Huiqin Xin , Sihai Dave Zhao

We show how random matrix theory can be applied to develop new algorithms to extract dynamic factors from macroeconomic time series. In particular, we consider a limit where the number of random variables N and the number of consecutive…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-19 Małgorzata Snarska

This paper considers the problem of estimating the population spectral distribution from a sample covariance matrix in large dimensional situations. We generalize the contour-integral based method in Mestre (2008) and present a local moment…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-05 Weiming Li , Jianfeng Yao

This paper is concerned with exploring the microscopic basis for the discrete versions of the standard replicator equation and the adjusted replicator equation. To this end, we introduce frequency-dependent selection -- as a result of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-19 Archan Mukhopadhyay , Sagar Chakraborty

In populations competing for resources, it is natural to ask whether consuming fewer resources provides any selective advantage. To answer this question, we propose a Wright- Fisher model with two types of individuals: the inefficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-11 Adrian Gonzalez Casanova , Veronica Miro Pina , Juan Carlos Pardo

Covariance estimation for matrix-valued data has received an increasing interest in applications. Unlike previous works that rely heavily on matrix normal distribution assumption and the requirement of fixed matrix size, we propose a class…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-20 Yichi Zhang , Weining Shen , Dehan Kong

We propose and analyze a self-adaptive version of the $(1,\lambda)$ evolutionary algorithm in which the current mutation rate is part of the individual and thus also subject to mutation. A rigorous runtime analysis on the OneMax benchmark…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-12-03 Benjamin Doerr , Carsten Witt , Jing Yang

This paper describes a data reduction technique in case of a markov chain of specified order. Instead of observing all the transitions in a markov chain we record only a few of them and treat the remaining part as missing. The decision…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-17 Atanu Kumar Ghosh , Arnab Chakraborty

This paper analyses a $(1,\lambda)$-Evolution Strategy, a randomised comparison-based adaptive search algorithm, on a simple constraint optimisation problem. The algorithm uses resampling to handle the constraint and optimizes a linear…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-12-09 Alexandre Chotard , Anne Auger , Nikolaus Hansen

We propose a class of evolutionary models that involves an arbitrary exchangeable process as the breeding process and different selection schemes. In those models, a new genome is born according to the breeding process, and then a genome is…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Jüri Lember , Chris Watkins

We investigate the $\Lambda$-Seed-Bank-Wright-Fisher process, a model describing allele frequency dynamics in populations exhibiting both skewed offspring distributions and dormancy. By performing a change of measure, we condition this…

Under a markovian evolutionary process, the expected number of substitutions per site (also called branch length) that have occurred when a sequence has evolved from another according to a transition matrix $P$ can be approximated by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-12-16 Marta Casanellas , Anna Kedzierska

In high-dimensional multivariate regression problems, enforcing low rank in the coefficient matrix offers effective dimension reduction, which greatly facilitates parameter estimation and model interpretation. However, commonly-used…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Yiyuan She , Kun Chen

Evolutionary analyses of large populations commonly incorporate stochasticity through temporal variation in selection while treating genetic transmission as fixed. Much less attention has been given to stochasticity in transmission itself.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-24 Elisa Heinrich-Mora , Marcus Feldman

We propose a principled method for projecting an arbitrary square matrix to the non-convex set of asymptotically stable matrices. Leveraging ideas from large deviations theory, we show that this projection is optimal in an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Wouter Jongeneel , Tobias Sutter , Daniel Kuhn

We study the rank of the instantaneous or spot covariance matrix $\Sigma_X(t)$ of a multidimensional continuous semi-martingale $X(t)$. Given high-frequency observations $X(i/n)$, $i=0,\ldots,n$, we test the null hypothesis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-04 Markus Reiß , Lars Winkelmann

The modeling of time series is becoming increasingly critical in a wide variety of applications. Overall, data evolves by following different patterns, which are generally caused by different user behaviors. Given a time series, we define…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Wenjie Hu , Jianping Huang , Liang Wu , Yang Yang , Zongtao Liu , Zhanlin Sun , Bingshen Yao , Ke Chen

We present a method for estimating sparse high-dimensional inverse covariance and partial correlation matrices, which exploits the connection between the inverse covariance matrix and linear regression. The method is a two-stage estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Samuel Erickson , Tobias Rydén