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Related papers: P\'olya urns with immigration at random times

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An urn contains black and red balls. Let $Z_n$ be the proportion of black balls at time $n$ and $0\leq L<U\leq 1$ random barriers. At each time $n$, a ball $b_n$ is drawn. If $b_n$ is black and $Z_{n-1}<U$, then $b_n$ is replaced together…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-27 Patrizia Berti , Irene Crimaldi , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

We take a unified approach to central limit theorems for a class of irreducible urn models with constant replacement matrix. Depending on the eigenvalue, we consider appropriate linear combinations of the number of balls of different…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-29 Gopal K. Basak , Amites Dasgupta

Adaptive randomly reinforced urn (ARRU) is a two-color urn model where the updating process is defined by a sequence of non-negative random vectors $\{(D_{1,n}, D_{2,n});n\geq1\}$ and randomly evolving thresholds which utilize accruing…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-27 Giacomo Aletti , Andrea Ghiglietti , Anand Vidyashankar

We study preferential attachment mechanisms in random graphs that are parameterized by (i) a constant bias affecting the degree-biased distribution on the vertex set and (ii) the distribution of times at which new vertices are created by…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-09 Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Peter Orbanz

We introduce and discuss a special type of feedback interacting urn model with deterministic interaction. This is a generalisation of the very well known Eggenberger and Polya (1923) urn model. In our model, balls are added to a particular…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Krishanu Maulik , Manit Paul

The fringe of a B-tree with parameter $m$ is considered as a particular P\'olya urn with $m$ colors. More precisely, the asymptotic behaviour of this fringe, when the number of stored keys tends to infinity, is studied through the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-23 Brigitte Chauvin , Danièle Gardy , Nicolas Pouyanne , Dai-Hai Ton-That

We study several exactly solvable Polya-Eggenberger urn models with a \emph{diminishing} character, namely, balls of a specified color, say $x$ are completely drawn after a finite number of draws. The main quantity of interest here is the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Hsien-Kuei Hwang , Markus Kuba , Alois Panholzer

In the classical Polya urn problem, one begins with $d$ bins, each containing one ball. Additional balls arrive one at a time, and the probability that an arriving ball is placed in a given bin is proportional to $m^\gamma$, where $m$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-01 Jeremy Chen

It is known that in an irreducible small P\'olya urn process, the composition of the urn after suitable normalization converges in distribution to a normal distribution. We show that if the urn also is balanced, this normal convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Svante Janson , Nicolas Pouyanne

In this work we generalize Polya urn schemes with possibly infinitely many colors and extend the earlier models described in [4, 5, 7]. We provide a novel and unique approach of representing the observed sequence of colors in terms a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-17 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Debleena Thacker

Drawing (a multiset of) coloured balls from an urn is one of the most basic models in discrete probability theory. Three modes of drawing are commonly distinguished: multinomial (draw-replace), hypergeometric (draw-delete), and Polya…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Bart Jacobs

We introduce an extension of the P\'olya tree approach for constructing distributions on the space of probability measures. By using optional stopping and optional choice of splitting variables, the construction gives rise to random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Wing H. Wong , Li Ma

We consider statistical inference in the density estimation model using a tree-based Bayesian approach, with Optional P\'olya trees as prior distribution. We derive near-optimal convergence rates for corresponding posterior distributions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Ismaël Castillo , Thibault Randrianarisoa

We study the infinite urn scheme when the balls are sequentially distributed over an infinite number of urns labelled 1,2,... so that the urn $j$ at every draw gets a ball with probability $p_j$, $\sum_j p_j=1$. We prove functional central…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Mikhail Chebunin , Sergei Zuyev

We derive a simple expression for the tail-asymptotics of an explosive birth process at a fixed observation time conditioned on non-explosion. Using the well-established exponential embedding, we apply this result to compute the tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-24 Thomas Gottfried , Stefan Grosskinsky

We describe an approach that allows us to deduce the limiting return times distribution for arbitrary sets to be compound Poisson distributed. We establish a relation between the limiting return times distribution and the probability of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-08-26 N. Haydn , S. Vaienti

We consider a Polya urn, started with b black and w white balls, where b>w. We compute the probability that there are ever the same number of black and white balls in the urn, and show that it is twice the probability of getting no more…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-17 Timothy C. Wallstrom

An urn model of Diaconis and some generalizations are discussed. A convergence theorem is proved that implies for Diaconis' model that the empirical distribution of balls in the urn converges with probability one to the uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Siegmund , Benjamin Yakir

We consider a mean-field dynamical urn model, defined by rules which give the rate at which a ball is drawn from an urn and put in another one, chosen amongst an assembly. At equilibrium, this model possesses a fluid and a condensed phase,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 C. Godreche , J. M. Luck

For the most general Polya urn schemes, we establish the almost sure convergence of its composition. The only requirement is that there are always enough balls of both colors, so that the extractions can be indefinitely pursued according to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Ricardo Vélez
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